Showing posts with label Mexico. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mexico. Show all posts

Sunday, April 29, 2018

‘Caravan’ a Deliberate Attempt to Exploit U.S. Laws and Undermine National Sovereignty

If they’ve already been permitted by government authorities to enter and freely traverse Mexico, they’ve already escaped the danger and oppression they claim to need asylum from. (Pueblo sin Fronteras/Twitter)


“Some people ‘associated with’ Central American caravan have entered U.S. illegally, federal officials say,” the Los Angeles Times “reports” in an agenda piece designed to elicit requisite sympathy for political advantage. “A pregnant woman and some children as young as 4 were detected entering the U.S. through a canyon that authorities described in a statement as dark, treacherous and ‘notorious for human and drug smuggling.’”


The first question one might ask is how the hell border security is so lax that this can happen. We know the “caravan” is coming and the canyon is a well-known route. If a pregnant woman (whose child will be a “birthright citizen” if allowed to stay) and children (who will all become wards of the U.S. taxpayers if they are) can make it through to our side under such conditions, it’s fair to ask how many blind eyes are deliberate, especially with recent reports of U.S. federal and local oath-breakers turning a profit off human smuggling.


What’s the reason we have government again?


“Attorney General Jeff Sessions called the caravan ‘a deliberate attempt to undermine our laws and overwhelm our system,’ pledging to send more immigration judges to the border to resolve cases if needed,” the Associated Press reports.


Why? If they enter the country illegally, if their first act is one of in-your-face criminality, why would it be in the interests of “securing the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity” to spend untold millions deciding which of the lawbreakers are to be admitted and then caring for them after they are?


It’s not like all options for lawful entry have been closed off to “asylum seekers” – they’re just being manipulated by open borders subversives to create an incident at the expense of both exploited foreigners and national sovereignty.


“Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen said asylum claims will be resolved ‘efficiently and expeditiously’ but said the asylum-seekers should seek it in the first safe country they reach, including Mexico,” the AP report notes.


Yeah. Once they’re in Mexico, which chose to admit them, they can go to the consulate and make their case. Not that once they’re in a “safe” country they really have one.  Trying to pressure and embarrass us, Mexico created this problem. They should be made to own it.


There are other dynamics in play here as well.  If simply being impoverished and living in primitive squalor and tyranny qualifies someone to come here, we need to open our doors to billions from around the world, just to be logically consistent. That’ll suit just fine “no-brainers” Blair Overstreet and Matt Dunn (quoted in the LA Times report), who are eager to open their apartment to a “refugee.”.


Not that most of the transplants will have private accommodations offered. And that, of course, will swamp the lifeboat and we’ll soon all be one big Third World hell hole — with the exception of our elite globalist rulers. And wait ‘til you get a load of their “commonsense guns safety laws.”


That will be OK for those with an alien understanding of the relationship between people and government. Having demonstrated their utter inability at self rule in their native land, they’re here to overwhelm us with their “diverse” ways. And those of us who resist will be branded intolerant, xenophobes, haters…


Which makes it fair to ask if we’re so evil, why are they running toward us rather than away from us?


It’s also fair to ask if “refugees” won’t stand fight for their country, what makes anyone think they’ll stand and fight for ours? In truth, they don’t have to. The oath for naturalized citizens was changed three years ago to where they no longer be expected to “bear arms on behalf of the United States” or “perform noncombatant service in the Armed Forces of the United States” when required by the law.”


Let the country continue to be swarmed and Balkanized, and we may find no such aversion to bearing arms against the United States.


Also see: How Will Mass ‘Migrant’ Crossing Not Be an Unprovoked Foreign Attack?


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If you believe in the mission of Oath Keepers, to defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic, please make a donation to support our work.  You can donate HERE.


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David Codrea’s opinions are his own. See “Who speaks for Oath Keepers?”


The post ‘Caravan’ a Deliberate Attempt to Exploit U.S. Laws and Undermine National Sovereignty appeared first on Oath Keepers.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

How Will Mass ‘Migrant’ Crossing Not Be an Unprovoked Foreign Attack?

“Somos Resistencia…” Just what we need — foreign nationals who say they’re dissatisified with their culture to come here and “resist” ours. The world has seen the raised fist before and it’s never stood for American freedom. (Pueblos Sin Fronteras/Facebook)


“Migrant ‘caravan’ at U.S.-Mexico border prepares for mass crossing,” Reuters reported Thursday. “Hundreds of Central American migrants from a caravan that crossed Mexico reunited in Tijuana on Wednesday and planned to cross the border together this weekend in defiance of threats by U.S. President Donald Trump to repel them.”


If allowed to happen, the criminal invasion – and ultimately that’s what it is – will be a direct result of a chain of circumstances aided and abetted by the Mexican government in violation of its own laws.  Mexican law requires foreign nationals be in their country legally and that their presence be beneficial. It is a criminal offense there to aid and abet illegal immigration.


Pueblo sin Fronteras, coordinator of the “caravan,” solicits donations via Paypal but is not listed as a nonprofit on Guidestar. It does not show up on the California Secretary of State business search (Paypal locates them in La Crescenta). Its website domain registrar is hidden behind a proxy. To find out more, we can turn to supportive ”mainstream”  puff pieces, or alternatively, to sites alleging indirect Soros ties.


The other and more significant player on the U.S. side of the border is the state of California, with its sanctuary policies and its opposition to federal enforcement efforts. What happens if leftist federal judges on the 9th Circuit issue an injunction forbidding enforcement? What the options will there be if the state decides to intervene with more than rhetoric?


Chances are this will play out for the cameras and be exploited to feed a meme that further smears those opposed to open borders as violent xenophobes and racists. There are those who wouldn’t mind at all if this results in a bit of for-the-cameras violence — or more than a bit.


Global humanitarian crises will not be solved by subverting U.S. law and culturally terraforming the Republic. But the “organizers” have brought things to the point where an honest, humane desire to solve the plight of such people is used against those who would help, meaning there are those who are cynically exploiting “refugee” pawns and domestic useful idiots to advance a political agenda.


The government of Mexico knows this, and there need to be serious repercussions taken against the ungrateful, in-bed-with-the-cartels officials if they force this on us. They need us a lot more than we need them.


More importantly, this country needs to start acting like one.  But the differences between open borders subversives and political opportunist /cheap labor sellouts vs. Americans who want their country back are irreconcilable.


A rational U.S. policy for admitting foreign nationals could not be simpler: Look to the Preamble to the Constitution.  If government policy — on anything — fails to “form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity,” then government is violating “the supreme Law of the Land.”


If oath-breaking representatives weren’t ignoring and subverting the Second Amendment every chance they get, we’d have the border problem pretty much solved peaceably via “a well regulated militia” standing guard to discourage and deter things getting out of hand:


“The supposed quietude of a good man allures the ruffian; while on the other hand, arms like laws discourage and keep the invader and the plunderer in awe, and preserve order in the world as well as property.”


But that’s the last thing those who would fundamentally transform the Republic want to see happen, with “the security of a free State” via an armed citizen populace being the thing they fear most.


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If you believe in the mission of Oath Keepers, to defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic, please make a donation to support our work.  You can donate HERE.


—–


David Codrea’s opinions are his own. See “Who speaks for Oath Keepers?”


The post How Will Mass ‘Migrant’ Crossing Not Be an Unprovoked Foreign Attack? appeared first on Oath Keepers.

Tuesday, April 3, 2018

Donald Trump Proposes Guarding Border with the Military

by Charlie Spiering   3 Apr 2018


President Donald Trump said he is currently having discussions in his administration to deploy military resources on the southern border.


Making his remarks during a lunch meeting at the White House with the presidents of Baltic nations, as Gen. James Mattis sat beside him at the table, Trump said, “I’ve been speaking with Gen. Mattis. We’re going to be doing things militarily,” adding, “Until we can have a wall and proper security, we’re going to be guarding our border with the military.”


The president did not detail specific plans for policing the border but appeared eager to make it happen after Democrats stalled progress on his long-promised border wall.


“That’s a big step,” Trump said. “We really haven’t done that before, certainly not very much before.”


Trump confirmed in an afternoon press conference on Tuesday that he does intend to use military force to secure the border.


“We are preparing to have the military to secure our border between Mexico and the United States,” Trump said when reporters questioned him for more details. He said he would be meeting with Mattis and other security officials to discuss the issue soon.


The omnibus spending deal included less than $1.6 billion for border structures but an impressive $700 billion for the Pentagon in FY2018.



Read more at Breitbart


 


 


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Daily Dose Of IRONY: Mexico Deports 400 Caravan Marchers For Entering Country Illegally


One of the biggest bits of news on all mainstream media channels is the caravan of illegal immigrants heading toward the United States border with Mexico intending to demand entry into the country. But from this big story comes a heavy dose of irony as Mexico deports 400 marchers for entering Mexico illegally.


According to The Daily Wire, when the caravan crossed the Mexican-Guatemalan border, the group’s leaders praised Mexican officials for stepping aside and allowing them entry. “Refugee Caravan knocking down borders yesterday in Huehuetan! Immigration agents abandoned the post when they knew we were coming. The people celebrated this first little victory!” they said on Facebook.



Before setting out on the journey, the migrants were organized into groups of 10 to 15 people, and a leader was designated for each group. Five groups were then banded together in what organizers call a sector. While there are organizers from Pueblos Sin Fronteras leading the way, much of the effort to get to the US border is in the hands of the migrants themselves. –BuzzFeed


But according to CNN, in its statement, the Mexican Foreign Ministry said the caravan is mainly made up of people from Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador and that around 400 caravan participants who did not enter the country of Mexico lawfully had been repatriated to their countries of origin “with the strict legal framework.”


“Under no circumstance does the government of Mexico promote illegal migration,” it said.  The ministry said the circumstances of the caravan differed from those of previous years in that “the Mexican immigration authorities have proceeded to offer refuge in some cases, as well as other necessary protective measures.”


The caravan set off on March 25 for a 1,900-mile trek and is expected to hit the U.S.-Mexico border by the end of the week. President Donald Trump hasn’t seemed to be impressed with Mexico’s attempts to stop the caravan either, but it looks like the laws in our Southern neighbor’s nation have worked in this instance.




Mexico “does not make immigration decisions for the United States or any other nation,” the statement went on to say, adding that the respective authorities “will decide whether to authorize or not the entry of those who are part of the caravan.”


The Mexican President, Enrique Peña Nieto, did speak regarding NAFTA. He said that he continues to look for a resolution that will, ”benefit the development of the three countries (Mexico, the US, and Canada) that are negotiating with NAFTA.”

Mexican migrant caravan continues, plans to cross at Baja California

OAXACA, Mex. (INTELLIHUB) — Several hours after Mexican government officials vowed to disband a caravan of hundreds of migrants who are currently marching toward the U.S. border and and planning on entering America through Baja, California, the march organizer ,Pueblos Sin Fronteras, declared the caravan would continue onward to and across the border.


Migrants could be seen collecting donations from motorists to continue their trek into the U.S.


“Mainly from Honduras and Guatemala, migrants stop at some points on the highway to ask for support from motorists and to continue their way to #Tijuana to cross to the U.S.,” one Tweet reads.




Another Tweet reads: “Central American migrants continue their way in the migrant caravan 2018 with the intention of achieving the American dream and stopped at Tapanatepec to ask for cooperation to the motorists to continue their path.”




In an unexpected twist of fate, Mexican authorities help feed the migrants.




However, the Mexican government plans to split up the caravan on Wednesday in Oaxaca but a prominent migrant organizer maintains the march will continue as promised.


On Monday, national security correspondent for BuzzFeed Adolfo Flores tweeted: “Mexican immigration authorities said they plan on disbanding the Central American caravan by Wednesday in Oaxaca. The most vulnerable will get humanitarian visas.”




More images…






Will the migrant caravan make it into the United States?




©2018. INTELLIHUB.COM. All Rights Reserved.


Shepard Ambellas is an opinion journalist, analyst, and the founder and editor-in-chief of Intellihub News & Politics (Intellihub.com). Shepard is also known for producing Shade: The Motion Picture (2013) and appearing on Travel Channel’s America Declassified (2013). Shepard is a regular contributor to Infowars. Shepard is the leading journalist covering the Las Vegas Massacre, logging over 1100+ hours, 160+ reports, during his ongoing investigation. Read more from Shep’s World. Follow Shep on Facebook. Subscribe to Shep’s YouTube channel.


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Monday, April 2, 2018

Trump: Mexico must stop immigrant ‘caravans’

President Trump early Monday pressed Mexico to stop immigrant “caravans” trying to reach the United States.


“Mexico has the absolute power not to let these large ‘Caravans’ of people enter their country,” Trump wrote on Twitter.


“They must stop them at their Northern Border, which they can do because their border laws work, not allow them to pass through into our country, which has no effective border laws…..”




Via The Hill




Featured Image: Arlington National Cemetery/Flickr

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Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Border Patrol officials react to getting funds for ‘fencing’

(INTELLIHUB) — President Donald Trump asked for $25 billion to build the massive concrete border wall he’s been talking about for years but Congress recently only allotted $1.6 billion for the project which will upgrade some technology and fencing in what has become the latest sham from Washington to plague the American people.


According to the President, some of the construction will begin as early as Monday.


Crews will be fixing “existing walls and existing fences,” he explained.


(Photo credit: Bill Morrow/Flickr)

©2018. INTELLIHUB.COM. All Rights Reserved.


Shepard Ambellas is an opinion journalist, analyst, and the founder and editor-in-chief of Intellihub News & Politics (Intellihub.com). Shepard is also known for producing Shade: The Motion Picture (2013) and appearing on Travel Channel’s America Declassified (2013). Shepard is a regular contributor to Infowars. Shepard is the leading journalist covering the Las Vegas Massacre, logging over 1100+ hours, 160+ reports, during his ongoing investigation. Read more from Shep’s World. Follow Shep on Facebook. Subscribe to Shep’s YouTube channel.


The post Border Patrol officials react to getting funds for ‘fencing’ appeared first on Intellihub.

Monday, March 12, 2018

Why Mexico May Be The Best ‘Bug-Out Location’ You’ve Never Considered

Why Mexico May Be The Best ‘Bug-Out Location’ You’ve Never Considered

Image source: Pixabay.com


A bug-out plan is something that every seasoned prepper has, but developing a good bug-out plan is another thing entirely. For most of us, the hardest part of that is coming up with a place to go, in the case of an emergency. If you don’t have enough money to build a cabin in the woods, you might have some trouble coming up with a good destination.


This is right where many of us are. We know we need a place to bug out to, but we don’t have the money to “do it right” (however you may define that). So, unless we have family living in the country, we are either left with the idea of bugging out to the woods or having to just move down the road and hope we can find a place good to stop. Neither of those solutions are very good, as they don’t guarantee us a safe refuge where we can wait out the disaster.


What we all need is a place affordable that we can go to, in the event that circumstances demand that we leave our homes. At the same time, it would be nice if that were a place where the government wasn’t likely to be able to find us, just in case that’s an issue. While it won’t work for everyone, Mexico is a good potential destination for many to bug out to.


During the Vietnam War, many draft dodgers headed north to Canada, where they sat out the war. If they could do that, we can head south just as well. While Mexico may not be as much like the United States as Canada is, it is also a considerably cheaper place to live. Besides, who doesn’t like Mexican food?


I’ve spent a fair amount of time in Mexico through the years, including a trip that I just got back from. While Mexico isn’t my only potential bug-out destination, it has been part of our planning for years. For us, it is ideal for a number of reasons, especially considering how close we live to the border.


What’s so Good About Mexico?


Situated directly south of our border, Mexico is a close location to bug out to, for at least part of the country. It is also cheaper to live in Mexico, than it is in the United States. Depending on what level of comfort you want, you can actually live extremely inexpensively in Mexico (like $400 per month), if you are willing to forgo a lot of the comforts and technology that we are accustomed to.


That’s not to say that those aren’t available in Mexico — they are. But unlike things here at home, that level of comfort is not a requirement for life. You can find people living in Mexico in homemade shacks which look much like some of the survival shelters that people talk about making out of pallet wood in a post-apocalyptic world. You also can find the highest forms of luxury, if you can afford it.


What’s Wrong with Bugging Out to Mexico?


On the flip side of the coin, if you’re going to bug out to Mexico, you’d better start learning Spanish now. While Mexican schools teach English as part of their curriculum, most people won’t admit to understanding it, even if they do. That’s not to insult us, but rather to avoid being insulted by us, if they say something wrong. They don’t want to speak English, unless they are sure they can do it right.


Mexico is not perfect. There is a fair amount of drug-related violence and crime in the country. So you need to be cautious about where you choose to go. You’re actually better off going deeper into Mexico than staying near the border. Most of the violence is in the northern part of the country.


The other problem of going to Mexico is the difficulty of buying property. Foreigners are only allowed to buy property that is more than 25 miles from any border, as well as 25 miles from any body of water. You can get around this, by the simple expedient of hiring a Mexican lawyer to establish a trust and have the trust buy the land or buildings. That trust can exist for 99 years, holding that property longer than you’re going to need it.


The other important thing you need to be aware of in Mexico is that it is illegal to import firearms. While people do it all the time, if you get caught, it’s a 20-year jail sentence. So you may want to limit yourself to other weapons, rather than guns.


How to Make Bugging Out to Mexico Practical


Before seriously considering Mexico as a bug-out destination, I’d recommend traveling to Mexico at least once, to see what it is like. Don’t go to the tourist destinations, as that’s not where you’re going to want to bug out to, unless you have a lot of money. Pick a city and visit it, looking around to see where the cheaper places to live are.


You’ll want to establish yourself in Mexico, either buying or renting property there to be used as a bug-out retreat. Just like anywhere you would want to use, you need to establish a location, build a cache and make sure that you have the right equipment and supplies in place.


Make several trips down there, getting to know the people, the area and what resources are available. If you move down to the southern part of the country, you’ll find a lot of fruit trees growing, which can be a source of food. It’s not unusual for people to have avocado, coconut and mango trees growing on their property.


Things left alone and unsecured in Mexico tend to get stolen. So, you’ll need to have someone watching your property down there. This can easily be accomplished by building a relationship with neighbors, who are used to looking out for each other. The Mexican people are warm and friendly and once you know them, ready to do what they can to help.


What advice would you add? Share it in the section below:

Sunday, March 11, 2018

Monday, December 25, 2017

No Peace In Our Times: The Inevitability Of War

Via GEFIRA,


“While people are saying, peace and safety, destruction will come on them suddenly, as labor pains on a pregnant woman, and they will not escape.”


Are you, man or woman of Christian and European heritage, aware of this prophecy or do you prefer to live in a fancy world of happy-clappy wishful thinking that the brotherhood of men is about to put an end to human conflict once and for all? Though Christmastide is a time of merrymaking, it may also be a period of reflection. The Birth that we celebrate on Christmas Day was perceived by some as such a threat as to justify the Massacre of the Innocents. Peace and good will were closely intertwined with discord and hostility. Do you think we are living in better times? Do you think we are living in Fukuyama’s end of history?



War has persisted throughout history ever since the dawn of mankind. That’s probably the best indicator that it will persist for all eternity. Why should it cease? War for the purposes of this text is not merely the outright hostilities, the firing guns and resounding battle cries. It is a constant strife that is being played out on a day-to-day basis which now and again erupts into its dramatic form of the opposing armies acting on the theatre of war. Why do we broaden the definition of war? If only because casualties – and we mean loss of lives – are not necessarily the highest during the time of the roaring guns. Those sustained during the periods of peace may be just as high or even higher. Case in point: the Yeltsin era in Russia lasting for roughly ten years. Within that decade, life expectancy plummeted from 70 down to 60, which means that the country’s loss of lives amounted to the magnitude comparable to that during any war, which is millions. This loss of life was brought about by social and economic reforms i.e. steps taken supposedly to make the living standards better and these were demanded or suggested or advised by the powers outside Russia. The result? Closed down factories, laid off employees, poverty and the attendant disease and demise of many. Were these not regular hostilities?


War has persisted throughout history in one form or another, though we are only made aware of it acutely when we can smell gunpowder, see ruined buildings and maimed bodies. Yet war is the pith and core of existence. We live by it, we draw from it, and, on a more positive note, it tests our character. The Iliad, Beowulf, Chanson de Roland, Das Nibelungenlied, Jerusalem Delivered, El Cid, the Battle of Kosovo epic circle, and, and, and, to mention only European literary monuments, they are all about adversity, combat, heroic deeds or cowardly misconduct. Why haven’t our poets and bards composed works of goodness, peace and harmony? Being ones of us, they knew the human psyche and they knew that we wouldn’t feel attracted to stories of goodness and love and charity; they knew that if we had paradise on earth, peaceful coexistence and tolerance of everything, we would have nothing to write about or, to put it in modern terms, nothing to make films about.



Think about it. All literary and religious stuff is about conflict, serious and bitter conflict. Our play and entertainment are all about conflict. Look at the popularity of computer war games, at the popularity of sports which are but epitomes of battles and rivalries; look at the popularity of crime stories, at the popularity of – mind you – Star Wars movie series, as if world wars did not fully satisfy our militant fantasizing! We are hardwired for experiencing conflict in one way or another, much though nowadays we are trying to convince ourselves that the opposite is true. Medieval Christian chroniclers, who most often were Christian priests, i.e. preachers of love and charity, rebuked princes for idly staying at home rather than leading their warriors and knights on conquests. Islam was no better in this respect. The first two or so centuries from its inception were characterized by militant conquests: there were no apostles of Good News but rather mounted warriors wielding curved swords. It is only now that we are squeamish about armed conflicts and frown upon crusades or the conquest of the Americas. And yet we do it in a hypocritical way: we have removed words like war, military campaign or intervention from our polite vocabulary and we call these phenomena spreading or saving democracy, preventing humanitarian disasters, defending prosecuted minorities and what not. Nonetheless, by whatever name a rose is known, it is still a rose.


War runs in our blood. We are biologically designed for conflict, for struggle, for overcoming adversity. No globalization, no unification of nations, no removal of class, religious, racial, economic differences will ever do away with war. Conflict in general and war in particular is a result of (i) biology which manifests itself in (ii) economy and (iii) ideology.


(i) The otherwise scientifically-minded Western Man knows it very well as he firmly believes in the evolutionary mechanism i.e. the differentiation of species and struggle for existence. The animal world – and we are part of it, just an extension – is all about fight for survival, competing for females, guarding one’s breeding and hunting grounds. Genetically related individuals (individuals related by blood, as men of old would have said) form in-groups (families, clans, tribes, nations), where loyalty to its members has a top survival value. Heroic literature exploits the motif of loyalty and its moral counterpart, which is treason, to the full. That is how the biological mechanism of in-group loyalty and out-group exclusion has sublimated into ideas, and these have found reflection in works of art and, broadly, ideology, and in all this which is generally referred to as culture. Nations are a biological phenomenon. Ethnicity, not only race, can be determined by looking into genes! No wonder then that ethnic differences are the main fault lines along which conflicts arise. True, different human groups may from time to time exist as neighbours, never really merging with each other, but inevitably their coexistence must end in an eruption of hostilities.


A note here. Some say humans behave according to the dictates of the culture they live in or are born into, hence a change of cultural surroundings will result in the change of the individual’s behaviour, as if man were a piece of malleable stuff to be shaped at will. Wrong. Culture in its broadest sense is the sublimation of biology, not the other way round. Man creates culture; culture does not create man. Islam practised by white Europeans would look entirely different than Islam practised by Arabs and, similarly, Christianity practised by Arabs would not resemble that practised by Europeans.


(ii) In their daily struggle for survival human groups compete for the scarcity of resources and land. This economic competition is yet another powerful source of conflict and, eventually, war. Economy, i.e. the struggle to survive on a daily basis, brings into conflict also the interests of the members of the in-group. Some are employers, others are employees: some make a living from capital, others from labour. There arises a clash between the haves and the have-nots, ending up in violent revolutions. The dispossessed or simply less affluent members of society attempt to rid the well-to-do of their property, the latter defend themselves. A dream of a peaceful coexistence dictated creating a classless society where everybody’s income had to be levelled. That led to civil wars and ultimate impoverishment of whole nations, from Cuba to North Korea. The French revolutionaries, once they launched guillotining people, including their co-revolutionists, just could not stop doing it. Much the same was true of the Russian Bolsheviks: on one hand they started murdering themselves (Comrade Stalin had Comrade Trotsky killed in the far-flung Mexico where the latter had spent years in exile) and purging the party ranks, on the other they starved their own people, peasants and workers, on whose behalf they began the revolution in the first place. The “achievements” of the medieval notorious inquisition pale in comparison to the millions butchered, tortured and imprisoned in concentration camps in Soviet Russia. Think of it: all that was done for the happiness of future generations of a classless and nationless society.


(iii) Ideology, as said above, is the expression of biological instincts. If it takes the form of a religion, it becomes a weapon by means of which a nation’s dominance, conquest, or privileged position is most powerfully explained by the will of a god or gods. To a believer this religious reality is stronger than the physical one. Consider Muslim suicidal attacks or Christian executions of physicians in front of American abortionist clinics. The survival value of a religion may raise one race above others to the status of a chosen people with all attendant consequences; it may create social strata like a caste system in India which, as it has a blessing from a godhead, it is unthinkable to change; it can fossilize the relationship of dominance and subservience. The Western Man tends to disregard religions as superstition so much that he does not accept the facts that believers of whatever faith are ready to sacrifice their life for a cause.


Some of the systems have been advanced for the sole purpose of blessing the whole of humanity with a pretense of introducing an age of eternal peace and brotherhood. Recall the French and Bolshevik revolutions, globalism or economic and political unions of all types. They are all doomed to fail as they run counter to biological reality, which is constant differentiation and the resulting strife. A new ideology (religion) must first overcome the resistance of the followers of the old one(s), and then or even while ousting the old beliefs, it itself splits into new sub-movements of the first original one. Consider Christianity with its many denominations and the socialist or communist movements, Christianity’s archenemy, which ended up with as many heresies. The movement of whatever kind begins with conflict with ideological out-groups and ends up as a house divided against itself. And then, again, the biologically-conditioned in-group loyalty and out-group exclusion prevail: Catholic, Muslim or communist nations are very often bitter enemies. The shared faith or ideology lose to blood ties.


Is there a solution to wars? Everlasting peace? None, really.


Consider uniting the peoples of the earth in one “nation” (globalization) in the hope of achieving everlasting peace. Quite apart from the feasibility of such an idea and the fact that there will be resistance to it, one nation is no guarantee of a life without conflicts. After all, all homogeneous nations have experienced civil wars. Just one example. The English people were torn by the War of the Roses, then the Cromwellian revolution, then a part of the nation settled down in North America and rebelled against their brothers on the old continent only to wage a fratricidal war of secession among themselves. Much the same story can be told about all other nations around the globe. So, if a nation’s life is rife with conflict, how much more the life of an artificial one, like the Soviet or European Union?


Consider uniting the peoples of the earth by imposing on them one religion, ideology, or a universal lack thereof or indifference (which nowadays goes by the name of tolerance) to all beliefs. Again, we know from history such an attempt is doomed to fail. Remember the initially universal Christianity: one did not have to wait long till it produced Arianism and other heresies, then it split into Orthodox and Western branches; the Western branch gave rise to a number of heresies and split into Catholics and Protestants, who in turn gave rise to numerous denominations thereof. Much the same held good for political ideologies (a form of lay religion) where the socialist or communist movement kept dividing itself into opposing and hostile factions, like national or international socialism, communism, Marxism, Leninism, Trotskyism, Maoism, Eurocommunism (Gramscians), liberation theology (social Christianity)… Russian Communists used military intervention to quell the aspirations of Czechoslovak communists; Comrade Tito was hated by Stalinists, and Chairman Mao was insulted by Stalin for a purpose. Any global ideology with all-encompassing tolerance is sure to follow that way. No doubt about it.


Man thought that religion would overcome national sentiment. Man thought lay ideologies would overcome national sentiment. Both failed miserably. Supposedly suppressed or eradicated national feelings all of a sudden revive as was the case at the outset of the First World War, when socialist parties previously renouncing nationalism turned out to be patriotic; when international soviet communism adopted national colouring during the Great Patriotic War and so on.


Consider uniting the peoples of the earth economically. That, too, will inevitably lead to differentiation in the level of affluence and the resulting tensions between the top and the bottom dogs, sparking social unrest, violent clashes and then revolutions. And we should not forget that also here we may have a hard time deciding whether we develop our global economy according to free market ideas of Austrian school, Keynesian economics, socialist welfare and, and, and…


Eternal peace is not only impossible but also undesirable. Eternal peace and brotherhood of men would mean stagnation, lack of development, death. Yes, there is life because there is death.


All these factors – biological, ideological and economic – are prime movers behind conflict and war. Nations or social classes, ideologies or economic interests, they all exist, keep splitting and competing with each other. When present-day democracies come to blows with regimes as they call them, they only prove that war is inevitable and do not even see that those ‘regimes’ fight against democracies with precisely the same amount of conviction of waging the righteous, if not holy, war.


The modern Western man may laugh at the medieval methods of suppressing dissent or at the fatwas issued by ayatollahs, thinking himself above such measures, but he is none wiser. He moves in the same biological treadmill of eternal – internal, ethnic, sectarian, political, religious, social and even marital! – strife. The enemy is called names – heretic, fascist, racist, imperialist, colonizer, dictator – is burnt at the stake, excluded from polite society, judged by a court or becomes anathema. His right to free speech is denied by the Index Librorum Prohibitorum or political correctness or you name it. War rather than brotherhood. To feel good we all need the bad guys somewhere around. To combat the bad guys gives us a purpose in life. To think of it, only very few of us realise that we ourselves are the bad guys (kafirs, infidels, aggressors) for those whom we regard as bad guys. In a noble attempt to impose our righteous ways on others we meet with resistance. Resistance means conflict and conflict ultimately results in war. That’s the eternal circle of life and death described in The Iliad, Beowulf, Chanson de Roland, Das Nibelungenlied, Jerusalem Delivered, El Cid, the Battle of Kosovo epic circle. We have not been born for a life in liberty, equality and brotherhood. These words only reflect sentimental fantasizing enshrined in the wishful thinking of human rights, but have nothing to do with reality.


To forestall Christian believers’ opposition to the observations described above, let us remind them of Christ’s words, which read: “You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. Such things must happen.” If they are true believers, they had better repeat after the psalmist: “Praise be to the Lord, my Rock, who trains my hands for war, my fingers for battle.” The realist atheists and agnostics as scientifically-minded people should not stand in need of being convinced that war is part and parcel of our earthly existence.









Saturday, December 23, 2017

Mexico Suffers Deadliest Year Ever: Violence Hits Cabo, Tourist Havens

Local authorities near the beautiful tourist town of Los Cabos on the Baja California peninsula found six bodies suspended from three different bridges this week.



Authorities did not want to comment on the details surrounding how the men got onto the bridges, but Reuters suspects “drug gangs”, who often hang the bodies of their murdered rivals in public for intimidation purposes.


According to official data in November, there were more murders in October in Mexico than any other month over the past 20-years.


Mexico is on track to have the deadliest year ever since modern records began. In the first 10-months of 2017, there were more than 20,878 murders nationwide, as many in the war-torn country have blamed President Enrique Pena Nieto’s failure to tackle drug violence.


One local prosecutor said in a statement to Reuters,




Two bodies were found on a bridge in Las Veredas, near Los Cabos International Airport, and two on a different bridge on the highway between Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo, local prosecutors said in a statement.


 


In a separate statement, the prosecutors said two further bodies were found on a third bridge near the airport.





The latest spree of violent crime has surged in Baja California, especially around the multi-national resorts of Los Cabos, with yearly visits attracting more than one million foreigners. To make matters worse, Los Cabos police chief Juan Manuel Mayorga was assassinated last week, as the once calm resort town descends into chaos.


Hotel Prices in Los Cabos (as of 12-21-17) have collapsed amid the violence spiraling out of control in the area.



In August, a hail of automatic gunfire killed three and wounded two others at a popular Mexican beach resort in Los Cabos.



Earlier this week, authorities in the northern state of Chihuahua reported a massacre of 12 killed in armed clashes between two rival drug gangs.


Carlos Mendoza Davis, the governor state of Baja California, said the authorities are investigating the recent surge in violence around the Los Cabos area.


Reuters further elaborates on Baja California and Los Cabos’s deadly year.




Homicides have more than doubled in Baja California Sur this year, with 409 people killed through October, from 192 in all of 2016. In June authorities said they had found a mass grave with the bodies of 11 men and three women near Los Cabos.




Assuming that Mexico descends further into chaos, broke Americans who are looking for an all inclusive vacation might want to checkout Los Cabos. Hotels rooms are being heavily discounted as drug violence penetrates the popular resort town. As for Mexico as a whole, it’s a complete mess, and this is the reason why President Trump wants to build the wall.









WORLD SILVER PRODUCTION: 3 Charts You Won’t See Anywhere Else

SRSrocco


By the SRSrocco Report,


The rate at which global silver production increased over the past century is quite astonishing.  When Columbus arrived in America (1492), the world was only producing 7 million oz of silver a year.  Today, the world"s largest primary silver mine, Fresnillo"s Sauicto Mine, produced three times that amount in just one year (22 million oz, 2016).  Yes, we have come along way in 500 years.


Just think about that for a minute.  One silver mine last year produced three times the global amount in 1493.  According to the U.S. Bureau of Mines 1930 Report on Summarized Data of Silver Production, the average annual silver production in the world from 1493 to 1600 was 6.9 million oz (Moz).  If we look at the following chart, we can see how world silver production increased over the past 500+ years:



As we can see, average annual world silver production increased from 6.9 Moz during 1493-1600, to 13 Moz from 1600-1700, 18 Moz from 1700-1800, 51 Moz from 1800-1900, 274 Moz from 1900-2000 and a stunning 722 Moz from 2000-2017.  Again, these figures represent the average annual silver production for each time period.


In the current period, 2000-2017, the world has produced 103 times more silver per year than from 1493-1600.  However, the next chart shows the total silver production for each period.  From 1493-1600, the world produced a total of 747 Moz of silver, compared to 13,000 Moz (13 billion oz) in just 18 years from 2000-2017:



Now, the reason the last silver bar on the right of the chart is lower than the previous one has to do with comparing 18 years worth of silver production (2000-2017) versus 50 years (1950-2000).  It took 50 years to produce 17,061 Moz during 1950-2000 versus 13,000 Moz in the 18 years from 2000-2017.


If we compare world silver production from the different periods, here is the result:


Percentage Of World Silver Production (1493-2017)


2000-2017 = 26.4%


1950-2017 = 61%


1900-2017 = 82%


While a little more than a quarter of all world silver production (1493-2017) was produced in the past 18 years, 82% were produced since 1900.  That is a lot of silver.  It turns out that 40.4 billion oz was produced from 1900-2017 out of the total 49.3 billion oz produced since 1493.  Interestingly, more than half of that silver was consumed in industrial silver applications.  I will be writing more about that in future articles.


The last chart I find quite interesting.  If we go back a little more than a century, the United States was the largest silver producer in the world.  In 1915, the U.S. produced 75 Moz of silver out of the total 189 Moz mined in the world that year:



Thus, in 1915, the U.S. produced 40% of all world silver production.  Mexico came in second in 1915 by producing 39.3 Moz.  However, U.S. silver production in 2017 will only be 34 Moz versus the estimated 870 Moz globally.  Thus, U.S. silver production only accounts for 4% of world mine supply versus 40% back in 1915.  What a change in 100 years.


Lastly, the U.S. imports approximately 22% of world mine production each year.  That is 193 Moz of the total 870 Moz in 2017.  While domestic mine supply is only 34 Moz, the United States has to import more than a fifth of global mine production to meet its silver market demand.


If you haven"t checked out our new PRECIOUS METALS INVESTING section or our new LOWEST COST PRECIOUS METALS STORAGE page, I highly recommend you do.


Check back for new articles and updates at the SRSrocco Report.

Friday, December 22, 2017

Nigeria, Venezuela, & USA - "We"re Worse Off Today Than 50 Years Ago"

Fifty years ago, the world was a very different place.


PCs and smartphones were the stuff of Sci-Fi and numerous nations found themselves at crucial crossroads in their evolution.


While Russia and US could arguably be back in another Cold War, Pew Research asked 43,000 around the world whether life is better (or worse) now than 50 years ago.


The results may surprise you...



At a country level, some of the most positive assessments of progress over the past 50 years are found in Vietnam (88% say life is better today), India (69%) and South Korea (68%) – all societies that have seen dramatic economic transformations since the late 1960s, not to mention the end of armed conflict in the case of Vietnam. A majority in Turkey (65% better) also share a sense of progress over the past five decades. In some of the more developed countries, publics also report that life is better today, including 65% in Japan and Germany, and 64% in the Netherlands and Sweden.


But not everyone is convinced that life today is an improvement over the past.


Americans are split on this issue: 41% say life is worse while 37% say better. Though the divide is, as with everything else today, extremely partisan...



Meanwhile, half or more in countries ranging from Italy (50%) and Greece (53%) to Nigeria (54%) and Kenya (53%) to Venezuela (72%) and Mexico (68%) say life is worse today.


There are wide variations in the assessment of the last 50 years across the globe...



Latin Americans stand out for their widespread negative assessment of progress over the past half-century. Venezuelans and Mexicans (72% and 68% life is worse) are the most downbeat, but nowhere in the region do more than half say life has improved for people like themselves.


Across the Middle East and North Africa, views of life today compared with 50 years ago vary substantially by country. Turkey reports the most progress in the region, with 65% saying life is better, followed by Israel, where 52% say the same about their country. Tunisians, Jordanians and Lebanese tend to say life has gotten worse for people like them, with Tunisians expressing the most widespread negativity (60%).


In sub-Saharan Africa, comparative assessments of present and past are more evenly divided. A median of 46% say life today is worse than five decades ago, compared with 42% who think life is better. Positive ratings of progress range from 47% “better” in South Africa to 36% in Ghana.


Nigeria and Kenya are the only countries surveyed in the region where more than half say life is worse (54% and 53%, respectively).


Europeans tend to see the past half-century as a period of progress. A regional median of 53% describes life as better today, compared with 30% who take the opposite view. Upbeat assessments are most common in Germany (65% better), the Netherlands (64%), Sweden (64%), Poland (62%) and Spain (60%). Greeks (53% worse) and Italians (50%) are the least convinced that life is better than 50 years ago.


The Asia-Pacific region is home to some of the most favorable assessments of progress. Vietnam (88% better) stands out, but views of life today vs. the past are also quite rosy in India (69%), South Korea (68%) and Japan (65%). Filipinos are the least sanguine about progress, with fewer than half (43%) saying life is better.


In North America, Canadians widely report progress over the past five decades (55%) while fewer Americans (37%) say the same about life in their country.


In the U.S., Republicans are more likely to say life is better today, compared with Democrats – an attitudinal shift in the wake of Donald Trump’s election as president in November 2016.









Thursday, December 21, 2017

Mexico’s Drug Violence: Six Corpses Found Hanging From 3 Bridges Near Tourist Location

mexicosign


Well-known tourist spot Los Cabos in Mexico was currently the scene of a gruesome sight, but it’s unfortunately all too common for the area. Six corpses have been found hanging from three bridges and authorities believe the deaths to be drug cartel and gang-related.


The popular resort of Los Cabos is on the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and incorporates the two towns of Cabo San Lucas and Jose del Cabo – the latter of which is the municipal seat. The economy of the area is highly driven by tourism and welcomes millions of foreign visitors every year.


Authorities first discovered two bodies on Wednesday, December 20 swinging from a bridge in Las Veredas, near Los Cabos International Airport. They then found another two on a different bridge on the highway between Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo. Later on that day, two other bodies were then found on a third bridge near the airport, local prosecutors said in a statement.


Carlos Mendoza Davis, the governor of the state of Baja California Sur, condemned the incident on Twitter, saying: “I condemn these acts and any expression of violence. Today more than ever in #BCS we should be united.”




Homicides have more than doubled in Baja California Sur this year. 409 people have been killed through October, compared to 192 in all of 2016. Just last week, Los Cabos police chief Juan Manuel Mayorga was even shot dead, according to Reuters. Drug-related violence is set to make 2017 Mexico’s deadliest year in modern history, according to the Guardian. With the rise of the powerful Jalisco New Generation Cartel and disputes between other criminal groups fuelling the murder rates, there doesn’t seem to be any reason to suspect a lull in the violence. 


The Los Cabos area also made news earlier this year when authorities said they had found a mass grave in the nearby mountainous region of Valparaiso, where they discovered the bodies of 11 men and three women.

Tuesday, December 19, 2017

OPEC vs IEA: Who"s Right On Oil Prices?

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com,


Last week, the International Energy Agency made a lot of OPEC brows furrow when it warned that 2018 may not be a very happy new year for the cartel.



U.S. shale supply, the IEA said in its December Oil Market Report, is set to grow more than OPEC has estimated and this could be the undoing of the production cut that boosted prices this year.


OPEC, for its part, has insisted that U.S. shale production won’t grow as much as the IEA says, baffling some observers who now wonder who they should believe. But let’s put it another way: If the coach of a football team tells you that his team will win the cup because they’re the best, but the football association has estimated that the team is not the best one in the league, who would you believe?



OPEC has a history of underestimating U.S. shale. This underestimation led to the glut that sank prices in 2014. Now it stands to reason that the cartel is more cautious in its estimates of U.S shale oil developments, but this caution does not necessarily have to be reflected in comments. Let’s not forget that comments from OPEC officials—whether or not grounded in facts—have had a direct and immediate effect on prices from events such as the shutdown of the Forties pipeline network last week.


So, it would make sense to lean more towards what the IEA says, and it says that non-OPEC supply next year will probably rise by 1.6 million bpd—a 200,000 bpd upward revision on the previous OMR. U.S. shale production alone will, according to IEA’s latest estimate, grow by 870,000 bpd in 2018. Meanwhile, demand will rise by 1.3 million barrels daily next year, hinting at another glut in the making. 


Now, OPEC’s last forecast is that non-OPEC supply next year will rise by just 990,000 bpd next year to 58.81 million bpd, although the group does caution that any non-OPEC supply growth forecast involves considerable uncertainties regarding U.S. shale production growth. For the U.S. specifically, OPEC forecasts a 1.05-million-barrel daily supply growth next year, which will be partially offset by declines in producers such as Russia, China, and Mexico, among others.


That’s quite a discrepancy between IEA and OPEC figures, but it’s not the only one. The two more notably disagree on when the glut will be over. IEA is skeptical about it disappearing before the end of next year, while OPEC is upbeat, believing the market will return to balance in the second half of 2018 as demand growth accelerates. 


Sometimes OPEC’s forecasts sound like developments that the cartel can will into existence, and this market rebalancing forecast is one of these cases. It’s true that some OPEC members have been very diligent in their compliance to the lower production quotas. Others not so much, so those from the first group have actually cut more than they agreed to in order to compensate for the non-compliant ones.


Can the overachievers continue doing this to ensure the forecast materializes? They can, but they can’t do anything about U.S. shale, and it’s uncertain whether Russia will stay in the agreement after the end of June: Moscow has indicated it would rather quit as soon as politely possible. OPEC also has another problem that’s been there since the original deal, but recently has been garnering more attention. With oil prices higher, how long until one or more OPEC members decide to drop the deal and cash in on the price increase?









Friday, December 15, 2017

The "Unknown Unknowns" That Threaten U.S. Shale

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com,


Three years after the oil price crash, the U.S. shale patch is on its second growth phase and is expected to continue to increase its production, at least through the next five years.



The global oil markets have become increasingly dependent on U.S. tight oil supply - and the oil industry is still coming to grips with this new reality, Simon Flowers, Chairman and Chief Analyst at Wood Mackenzie, wrote in a recent article.


Current projections put the Permian on the forefront of the United States’ ability to deliver increased tight oil supply to the global markets. However, forecasts for the shale patch are as dynamic as production and drilling rates are. And some ‘known unknowns’ have been surfacing such as higher gas-to-oil ratios in some wells, and the parent/child wells issue, Flowers says.


Wood Mackenzie said last month that signs had started to show that intensified drilling in the Permian doesn’t deliver commensurate volumes of oil. Although WoodMac thinks that such setbacks could just be growing pains and Permian drillers could indeed ‘change the laws of physics’, it had warned three months ago that drillers might soon start to test the region’s geological limits. If exploration and production companies can’t overcome the geological constraints with tech breakthroughs, Permian production could peak in 2021, putting more than 1.5 million bpd of future production in question and potentially significantly influencing oil prices, WoodMac said in September.


In his December article, WoodMac’s Flowers included this observation in the Permian’s ‘known unknowns’:


“Growth might also be constrained by shareholders demanding that independents rein back from volume-driven targets.”



Those ‘known unknowns’ serve as a warning: the oil market can’t be complacent and just assume that the Permian boom will deliver as expected, according to Flowers. The Wolfcamp may be the star of the Permian, WoodMac says, but “there are more than likely ‘unknown unknowns’ out there too. And if there are, there’s not another Permian ready to step in; and conventional options will take time to crank into action.”


The Eagle Ford and the Bakken combined represent nearly half of the current U.S. tight oil production, according to Wood Mackenzie, which is expressing new doubts that those two plays could offer long-term commercial drilling inventory as operators move out beyond the sweet spots. Therefore, the analysts downgraded the growth rates for both plays from the mid-2020s, but have significantly upgraded the Permian growth pace, especially for the Wolfcamp basin.


If the Permian turns out to have ‘unknown unknowns’ alongside the ‘known unknowns’, the U.S. shale patch may not deliver as expected.


Currently, WoodMac’s supply/demand balance forecasts show that the U.S. and OPEC will “do battle for contestable demand that will climb to over 5 million b/d by 2024.”


The analysts believe that U.S. shale will take the lion’s share of that demand—90 percent—as its production will double to 9.6 million bpd by 2024 from 4.9 million bpd in 2017, while OPEC will be left with meeting less than 1 million bpd of that additional demand.


Three years after the oil price crash, the most unexpected outcomes in the global oil market are the second wave of U.S. shale growth, OPEC’s “zealous adherence” to the cuts, and the resilience of some non-OPEC non-U.S. producers, WoodMac says.


While Mexico, China, and Africa as a whole have been “heavy casualties” of the lower-for-longer oil prices, Russia, Canada, and the North Sea have surprised on the positive side by adapting remarkably well to the low oil prices. Russia is the “poster child” of this resilience. Canada is also doing well with Duvernay liquids where breakevens are competitive with U.S. plays, and with better uptime from oil sands projects. The North Sea has also been a positive surprise, with the UK leading the way with aggressive cost cuts that have helped to raise oil production, WoodMac says.


Still, U.S. tight oil, especially the Permian, will be the main growth story over the medium term, but ‘unknown unknowns’ may be lurking out there and could restrain the pace of that growth.









Wednesday, December 13, 2017

After Shocking Tillerson Reversal, North Korea Agrees "It Is Important To Avoid War"

Just two weeks after North Korea once again put the world on nuclear war alert by launching its most advanced Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) to date - which experts believe could reach New York or D.C. with a nuclear payload - Secretary of State Rex Tillerson in surprising statements Tuesday indicated that the US would be willing to hold talks with North Korea without any preconditions. 



And it appears the North may have already responded to the overture: according to comments from UN political affairs chief Feltman crossing the Reuters wire on Tuesday evening:


  • N.Korea agrees "it is important to avoid war. "

  • We have left the door open for negotiations. 

  • N.Korea did not offer any type of commitment to talks. 


In remarks given to the Atlantic Council think tank in Washington, Tillerson said, “We’re ready to talk anytime North Korea would like to talk and we’re ready to have the first meeting without preconditions." He stated his belief that it was "unrealistic" for North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons program before even coming to the table as they already have "too much invested in it." And it appears the statements are representative of a potential new course for the White House, as Tillerson added that President Trump "is very realistic about that as well."


"We are ready to talk anytime North Korea would like to talk. We are ready to have the first meeting without preconditions," Tillerson said. “Let’s just meet. We can talk about the weather if you want. We can talk about whether it’s going to be a square table or a round table if that’s what you’re excited about.” He added further, “And then we can begin to lay out a road map."


Earlier in the day the secretary of state said the administration was pleased with the "progress" so far in ramping up the "extreme" sanctions and diplomatic pressure on the isolated Communist nation, which has involved heightened UN sanctions and greater pressure from China as well. As evidence of the multi-national nature and effectiveness of the sanctions, Tiller said that over 22 countries have recalled their diplomats from Pyongyang, among them even nations like Mexico and Peru. 


He had also earlier referenced pressure through a regimen of US-South Korea military exercises in the region which the North sees as a threat, saying that, an “important part of our diplomatic success is that we have a strong military presence standing behind us so that if North Korea makes bad choices, we’re prepared.”


The timing of Tillerson"s potential overture is interesting: not only does it come two weeks after a missile launch that experts confirmed could reach much of the North American continent, but at a time when South Korea is feverishly preparing to host the upcoming Winter Olympic games in February 2018. 


Especially worrisome was Pyongyang"s recent November 28th ICBM launch was reported to have flown for 50 minutes on a very high trajectory reaching 4,500 km above the earth (more than ten times higher than the orbit of Nasa’s International Space Station) before coming down nearly 1,000 km from the launch site off the west coast of Japan. The test prompted the US Ambassador to China, Terry Branstad, to reiterate that Kim Jong Un"s provocative actions constitute “the biggest threat to humankind right now.”


Predictably, the US response has been to hold increased military exercises in the region with allies like Japan - as were conducted throughout Tuesday - though other world powers, Russia foremost among them, urged caution and restraint regarding heightened exercises which North Korea sees as saber rattling. However, even South Korea is now requesting that the US dial down its drills, as it worries its northern neighbor could maneuver to stir up trouble preceding or even during the Winter Olympics, set to be hosted in Pyeongchang County from February 9th through Feb 25th, followed by the Paralympic Winter Games. 


The site of the games is a mere 50 miles south of the heavily militarized border, making potential for a major incident as the global spotlight shines on the games an alarming possibility. According to reports, thousands of South Korean military and police personnel are conducting intense security drills preparing for scenarios ranging from bombings, to chemical weapons attacks, to hostage-taking situations. Some 5,000 military personnel are expected to be deployed to the games once they begin as Prime Minuster Lee Nak-yon vowed that the massive security show of force would ensure there are no “security loopholes.”


Meanwhile the South Korean government is reportedly urging the US to hold off on further regional military exercises and shows of force until after the games.


Furthermore, as we reported last night, the security drills come amid new reports that South Korea is asking the U.S. to put off staging two major military exercises until after the end of the Winter Paralympics in March. Those exercises infuriate the Pyongyang regime, which brands them a “rehearsal for war.”  No word yet whether the Pentagon will agree.


This comes amidst talk of what"s being called a "freeze-for-freeze" deal in which the North would agree to halt all missile launches and nuclear tests and in return the US would suspend all military exercises in the area. This is something both Moscow and Beijing are currently pushing hard for, and Tillerson"s remarks before the Atlantic Council today could signal that the White House is seriously considering the plan. 


At the very least, Tillerson"s statements open up a door at an opportune time in which all major powers invested in the region desire to see tensions relaxed, especially the South. His seemingly easygoing remarks, such as “Let’s just meet, we can talk about the weather if you want... so it is really about how do you begin the process of engagement" - appear to have provided just such an opening.