Showing posts with label Breakout. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Breakout. Show all posts

Thursday, August 10, 2017

Transports could be repeating 1999 & 2007 now!



Below looks at the Dow Jones Transportation Index since 1994. Is it possible that the Transports index is repeating the patterns that were created back in 1999 & 2007? Below is an update on a potential pattern that we have been sharing with members for months.



Dow Transports index chris kimble chart


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In 1999, Transports closed slightly higher than in 1998, which appeared that a bullish breakout was in play. Quickly the index reversed and broke support at (1), which was followed by a good deal of selling pressure, driving the index much lower. The breakout was nothing more than a fake out in 1999.


In 2008, Transports closed slightly higher than in 2007, which appeared that a bullish breakout was in play. Quickly the index reversed and broke support at (2), which was followed by a good deal of selling pressure, driving the index much lower. The breakout was nothing more than a fake out in 2008.


Over the past couple of years, the pattern in the transports looks a good deal like it did in 1999 & 2007. As we have been sharing with members for month, the odds of a repeat are low, yet if the pattern we are sharing would happen to be correct, the impact could be quite large.


At this time the Transports index is testing rising support at (3). Even if the pattern do not repeat, if support would give way at (3), it could encourage selling in this important index.


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Thursday, July 6, 2017

Emerging Markets about to Submerge?



Emerging Markets (EEM) has done well this year, gaining over twice as much as the S&P 500 (17% -vs- 7%). These gains have Emerging markets facing resistance dating back to the highs in 2008 and a couple of other important resistance lines in the chart below.


Emerging markets monthly (EEM) kimble charting solutions


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Emerging markets have been a downside leader since 2008 and an upside leader since early 2016. EEM is testing triple resistance with momentum lofty.


If support would give way at (2), selling pressure could pick up speed, leaving room for Emerging markets to “submerge!” Important price point at (2) for this key market. The tight jam EEM finds itself at right now, could create a good deal of movement, when it resolves this narrowing pattern!


Bulls so much need EEM here to breakout to the upside!




This information is coming to you from Kimble Charting Solutions. This is the home of the Power of the Pattern where we provide concise, timely and actionable chart pattern analysis and commentary so in very little time you know the pattern at hand and action to take.   We are honored by your interest in our chart pattern analysis.  



 Send us an email if you would like to see sample reports or a trial period to test drive our Premium or Weekly Research



Website: KIMBLECHARTINGSOLUTIONS.COM




Questions: Email services@kimblechartingsolutions.com or call us toll free 877-721-7217 international 714-941-9381

Friday, April 7, 2017

Gold Bugs breakout, very bullish says Joe Friday


Since the first day after Christmas last year (12/27/16), the metals space has been a great place to be. Below looks at performance of several metals assets compared to the S&P 500 since this date.


Gold Bugs


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Premium and Metals members went long this sector by purchasing GDXJ on 12/27/16, due to an upside breakout. Even though the S&P is getting a ton of press about doing well and near all-time highs, its performance since 12/27/16 (Up 3.8%), is lagging the metals space by a large percentage!


Below looks at the Gold Bugs/S&P 500 Ratio-


HUI/SPY ratio


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Joe Friday Just The Facts; A upside breakout above pennant pattern resistance at (3), would suggest continued out performance by Gold Miners is in play and should attract buying pressure to mining companies.


Full disclosure; Premium and Metals members own miners at this time.


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Website: KIMBLECHARTINGSOLUTIONS.COM

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Strong markets struggling at breakout levels of late


The S&P 500, Banks, Small Caps and Transportation indices continue to climb higher, as the long-term trend remains up. The two charts below, look at performance over the past month and how each index is testing long-term breakout levels.


The chart below looks at how the above mentioned indices have performed over the past 30-days.


S&P 500 , russell banks transports


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These key markets are a little soft the past 30-days. The Power of the Pattern below looks at where this softness is taking place.


S&P 500 Russell 2000 transportation Banks


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Multi-year trends remain up for each of the indices above, as they create a series of higher lows and higher highs.


Each are testing key breakout levels at each (1), where a little softness has taken place the past month. Transports index (lower right) could be creating a pattern similar to what it did in 1999 and 2007. The odds of Transports creating an identical pattern to the 1999 and 2007 highs is low for sure. If Transports would turn weak at (1), bulls might want to keep a tight stop on positions.


Great news for the bulls if these breakout at (1). If they would breakout, each should attract buyers. Bulls don’t care to see weakness start taking place at each (1). Will be very interesting where each of these are 30 days from now!



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Friday, March 3, 2017

Nasdaq & Russell attempting 15-year breakouts, says Joe Friday


The strong rallies over the past several months have pushed each of these up to test 15-year breakout levels. If they do breakout it would be something neither has  been able to do for a long time and would send a very positive risk on message.


Joe Friday Just The Facts; Each are testing breakout levels at the same time. The risk on trade in stocks, would not want to see rising wedge support give way, like both did back in 2007.


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Nasdaq and Russell 2000 near breakout