Showing posts with label Upside. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Upside. Show all posts

Thursday, July 6, 2017

Emerging Markets about to Submerge?



Emerging Markets (EEM) has done well this year, gaining over twice as much as the S&P 500 (17% -vs- 7%). These gains have Emerging markets facing resistance dating back to the highs in 2008 and a couple of other important resistance lines in the chart below.


Emerging markets monthly (EEM) kimble charting solutions


CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE 


Emerging markets have been a downside leader since 2008 and an upside leader since early 2016. EEM is testing triple resistance with momentum lofty.


If support would give way at (2), selling pressure could pick up speed, leaving room for Emerging markets to “submerge!” Important price point at (2) for this key market. The tight jam EEM finds itself at right now, could create a good deal of movement, when it resolves this narrowing pattern!


Bulls so much need EEM here to breakout to the upside!




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Monday, April 24, 2017

FX Volatility Crashes As Traders Unwind "Existential Euro" Hedges

Heading into today"s vote, FX options markets had seen massive demand for downside protection against a result that threatened the euro"s existence. That didn"t happen and so those hedges are being unwound en masse with the biggest drop in EURUSD implied vols in history...




Close up, 1mo EURUSD vols erased all the damage from the last few weeks" fears...




And Risk-Reversals (which measure the skew or relative demand for downside protection over upside), have spiked back to near "normal" levels...




Notably EURJPY (which was one of the biggest movers tonight) has begun to fade quite significantly...




Retracing 50% of its spike as the world wakes up to debt ceiling concerns and what the ECB will do...