Showing posts with label house. Show all posts
Showing posts with label house. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

House Intel Committee releases unredacted FISA memo

Former British spy Christopher Steele provided false dossier information to the FBI and the FBI pushed the info to a FISA court on behalf of Fusion GPS, memo shows


WASHINGTON (INTELLIHUB) — The U.S, House of Representatives Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence released the highly controversial Foreign Surveillance Intelligence Act (FISA) memo on Friday, which contains bombshell information suggesting that the entire Trump-Russia collusion narrative was fabricated, pushed, and paid for by the opposition during the run-up to the 2016 Presidential Election and that the FBI went along with it.


Without further ado, here is the full memo:



A small amount of information pertaining to the surveillance of Carter Page was redacted.


©2018. INTELLIHUB.COM. All Rights Reserved.

The post House Intel Committee releases unredacted FISA memo appeared first on Intellihub.

Monday, December 11, 2017

CNN And WaPo Working On 20-40 Sexual Misconduct Stories

CNN and Washington Post are working on exposing "20-30 congressional members" for sexual harassment, claims Michael Trujillo, former LA City Commissioner and Hillary Clinton"s California Field Director during her 2008 bid for the White House. 



Michael Trujillo



Former Wall St. Journal reporter Neil King adds to Trujillo"s figure, saying he hears the number "may top 40"



Trujillo - a political advisor who has worked on over 39 political and legislative campaigns across the country, and was dubbed part of the "Clinton"s Dream Team" by MSNBC, made the claim late last week. If true, this would implicate over 10% of male members of congress - unless woman are on the list - which, in any event, would likely lead to a massive self-draining of at least part of the swamp.



Rep Al Franken (D-MN)


Word of the potential new allegations comes on the heels of several high profile retirements in the wake of sexual misconduct claims. Last Thursday, Senator Al Franken announced his resignation:



Franken denied the validity of the eight allegations against him, stating "some of the allegations against me are simply not true. Others I remember differently." 


The day before Franken announced his resignation, 88-year-old Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) "retired" as the longest serving House member and founding member of the Black Caucus. House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi had encouraged the House Ethics Cmte to "proceed expeditiously" as it investigates accusations against Conyers. The review began after reports Conyers reached a $27k settlement with a former aide who said she was fired for rejecting his sexual advances; since then, Conyers has been accused of harassment by other women. Conyers has acknowledged the settlement but denied sexual harassment claims.


Republican Congressman Trent Franks (R-AZ) also announced his resignation last week while under threat of an ethics probe for a sexual harassment allegation lodged by a woman in his office after Franks who says he offered her $5 million to be a surrogate mother for his children, and that she and another female employee were worried that he wanted to have sex as a means of impregnating them. 








Andrea Lafferty, the executive director of the Traditional Values Coalition, said that one of the women approached by Mr. Franks told her about the encounter last year, and said that Mr. Franks entreated her repeatedly to be a surrogate mother, at one point offering $5 million.


 


“She rebuffed him many times,” Ms. Lafferty said. -NYT



The allegations against Franks caused Speaker Paul Ryan to meet with him and ask for his resignation.




Meanwhile, Senator and former Clinton running mate Tim Kaine (D-VA) thinks Franken"s resignation sets a new precedent. As Vanity Fair notes:








Given that Congress’s Office of Compliance—the only recourse staffers have to report abuse—is all but explicitly designed to protect lawmakers, a reckoning over sexual harassment on Capitol Hill is long overdue. Democrats, unlike Republicans, are mostly cheering the sea change, even as some wonder whether Franken’s resignation may have set a harsh new precedent. “This does establish a new standard for this body,” Senator Tim Kaine told reporters on Thursday. “And that standard is: behavior before you were elected is fair game for determining whether you should be here.” He added, “If that’s the standard, we have to be committed to trying to apply that in an evenhanded way.”



An interesting comment by Kaine... Now that the Russiagate investigation appears to be stalling out and Special Counsel Robert Mueller"s team revealed to be highly politicized and stacked with several anti-Trump investigators, it"s apparently time for the President"s enemies to shift the narrative again - as several Trump accusers are holding a press conference Monday morning to call for a congressional investigation into sexual misconduct. 



The women are uniting for the first time to demand the probe and share details of their allegations against the President, according to the release. The press conference will be hosted by a documentary group that previously released a film about allegations against Trump.



Eight Trump Accusers


The President has denied the allegations, while the White House said in October that its official position is that all of the women are lying. Trump called the allegations "total fiction" when they emerged in October, 2016 - weeks before the election - the first such claims against Trump in his 50 year career. 


"These are stories that are made up, these are total fiction. You"ll find out that, in the years to come, these women that stood up, it was all fiction," Trump said. "They were made up. I don"t know these women, it"s not my thing to do what they say."


So - it appears we"re in for quite the show; with CNN and WaPo rumored to have 20-40 stories in the works against members of congress, while a gaggle of Trump accusers assemble to rehash claims which first surfaced weeks before the 2016 election. Time for more popcorn and a barrage of very angry Trump tweets. 









Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Democrat Lawmaker Will Try To Force The House To Vote To Impeach Trump TODAY

House Dem Sit-In


Texas representative, Al Green, a liberal lawmaker, says he’ll force the House to vote Wednesday on impeaching President Donald Trump. Despite suggestions from the Republicans and Democrats that he let it go, Green says he’s going to move forward anyway.


Green says in a letter that he’s wanting a vote on impeachment because “we now have a bigot in the White House who incites hatred and hostility.” But, even other Democrats agree that there is no evidence of impeachable offenses. House minority leader Nancy Pelosi even said that any impeachment effort should await hard evidence Trump has committed an impeachable offense.


According to USA Today, Green’s resolution accuses Trump of causing “harm to American society.” It cites his support for banning Muslim immigrants and comments defending participants in a white supremacists’ rally after this year’s riot in Charlottesville, Virginia.  Green also argued that Trump’s conduct in the White House (while admittedly not criminal) had amounted to “high misdemeanor” and warranted removal from the Oval Office. “For too long, we have allowed our civility to prevent us from confronting the invidious incivility of President Donald J. Trump,” he said.




But his impeachment vote doesn’t have a chance at succeeding. Even if a majority of the House votes to impeach the president, the Senate would need a 2/3 majority in order for the motion to pass. Republicans control both houses right now.


Other Democrats have warned the prematurity of this vote could hinder any future chances of impeachment. Isn’t it fascinating how now Democrats are suddenly concerned with the Constitution and Trump’s alleged violations thereof? They gave Barack Obama unbridled power and now that it’s in the hands of someone they dislike, they melt down.


“In doing this, hatred disguised as acceptable political correctness has festered in our body politic and polluted our discourse to our detriment,” Green said. “It divides and damages the social fabric of our country in ways that obstruction of justice cannot. It causes unparalleled destruction to our society in the long- and short-term that will not easily heal.”  Green had pressed for a vote on articles of impeachment back in October, but pressure from fellow Democrats stopped him from moving forward.


For more information on the executive powers that Democrats awarded Obama, and Trump inherited, click here. 

Tuesday, December 5, 2017

Democratic Congressman Conyers "Retires, Not Resigns" As Sexual Misconduct Allegations Build

Careful to explain to those that care, Michigan Democrat Congressman John Conyers says he will "retire" from Congress today, and is "not resigning," following a growing list of sexual misconduct allegations. Conyers is endorsing his son, John Conyers III, to replace him in Congress.


“He is not resigning. He is going to retire,” Ian Conyers told the newspaper. “His doctor advised him that the rigor of another campaign would be too much for him just in terms of his health.”



Conyers, 88, is the longest serving House member and was one of the founding members of the Congressional Black Caucus.



House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) have both said Conyers should step aside in light of the sexual misconduct allegations leveled against him. Rep. James Clyburn (D-S.C.), the assistant Democratic leader who is also a member of the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC) with Conyers, has also said the Michigan lawmaker should resign.


As a reminder, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi had encouraged the House Ethics Cmte to "proceed expeditiously" as it investigates accusations against Conyers.


The review began after reports Conyers reached a $27k settlement with a former aide who said she was fired for rejecting his sexual advances; since then, Conyers has been accused of harassment by other women.


Conyers has acknowledged the settlement but denied sexual harassment claims.


Conyers concluded:


“My legacy will continue through my children."



We are not so sure about that Mr. Conyers, we suspect your families legacy will be tarnished with your alleged actions.


As The Hill reports,Ian Conyers, who also serves as a Michigan state senator, also told the Times that he plans to run for John Conyers"s seat in Michigan"s 13th Congressional District.


“I’m absolutely going to file for his seat. The work of our congressional district, where I come out of, has to continue,” Ian Conyers said.


 


“We have got to have someone who has depth and experience but also historical understanding of what it takes to fight this type of evil in Washington.”



In the interview, the state senator refused to defend the alleged actions of his great uncle.


“I stand with my uncle in terms of his belief of no specific wrongdoing,” Ian Conyers told the newspaper. “However, those things need to have their day in court.”










Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Flynn Used White House Position To Lobby For Mid-East Nuclear Reactors: WSJ

Rumors that former National Security Adviser Mike Flynn might be the next former Trump administration official to be indicted by Special Counsel Robert Mueller have been circulating for weeks now. Last week was no exception, with US media reporting that Flynn’s legal team had decided to stop cooperating with the White House council and President Donald Trump’s administration.  Now, in the latest Flynn development to arrive Tuesday evening, the WSJ reports on Flynn’s push during his brief tenure in the administration to convince President Trump to support a plan to build roughly a dozen nuclear power plants across the Middle East.


Private-sector backers of a controversial Middle East nuclear plan worked with former national security adviser Mike Flynn to promote it inside the White House, to the point of sending him a draft memo for the president to sign authorizing the project.


 


At issue was a proposal to build dozens of nuclear reactors, billed by its backers as a “Marshall Plan for the Middle East.” Before joining the White House, Mr. Flynn, a retired lieutenant general, had advised some of the U.S. companies involved in the plan in his capacity as a consultant.



At the heart of the issue is whether Flynn abused his position within the administration to help benefit his consulting clients.


Mr. Flynn’s efforts to promote the plan included telling a National Security Council staffer to create an official directive detailing the plan for President Donald Trump to sign, according to people familiar with the matter. He also brought the project to the attention of a key administration ally, these people say.



That said, if passed, the plan was projected to generate $250 billion in revenue for U.S. companies. However, according to WSJ, the memo never made it to the president’s desk. But this may not matter: Mueller is separately investigating Flynn’s work before he joined the White House as part of a probe into whether he improperly concealed financial ties to Turkey and to Russia.


In response, a White House spokesman said “the White House and National Security Council have rigorous processes in place to ensure that all outside proposals are thoroughly evaluated for their potential legal and policy implications.” In his White House disclosure forms, Flynn revealed his relationship with two of the companies involved in the project, but didn’t reveal any payments. He later amended those forms, saying a third company paid him more than $5,000. He said his relationship with the companies ended in December 2016.



Details of Flynn’s work promoting the project from inside the White House first became public in September. But this latest report sheds light on exactly how far Flynn about how far it progressed inside the administration, and how Flynn’s former staffer continued to promote it after he left office in February after misleading Vice President Mike Pence about his conversations with the Russian ambassador, Sergei Lavrov.


In addition to Mueller’s probe, the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform is investigating Flynn’s relationship with the companies involved and to what extent his prior consulting career overlapped with his role of one report, though it’s not clear exactly which companies were involved, according to WSJ which also reminds us that two ranking House Democrats said in September that Flynn appeared to violate federal law by failing to disclose details of his work for the firms on his security-clearance interview and renewal application in 2016.


What’s more, since Flynn’s resignation, his former private-sector colleagues continued to lobby various federal agencies about the plan, recently meeting with Jared Kushner (whose role in the administration, according to NYT and WaPo, has been greatly diminished).


In its story, WSJ tries to lend the impression that Flynn prioritized his lobbying work over his duties as National Security Adviser. Much of Flynn’s work on the project, however, was routed through intermediaries, who spent much of their first weeks on the job coordinating Flynn’s lobbying pitch.


One of the people Mr. Flynn brought with him, former Army Col. Derek Harvey, said at a meeting during the first week of the new administration that Mr. Flynn had told him to develop a regional economic and energy plan for the Middle East. When staffers pointed out there was an NSC office that handled economic and energy issues, Mr. Harvey said Mr. Flynn had directed him to take the lead on the issue.


 


Mr. Harvey met with a private-sector backer of the nuclear plan the first week of the Trump administration. Days later, another of the project’s backers, Robert “Bud” McFarlane, a national security adviser to President Reagan, emailed documents to Mr. Flynn.



However, sources inside the White House and other lobbyists affiliated with the effort said Flynn’s work was carried out at Trump’s request. They added that Flynn had been invited to join their group in the summer of 2016, but that in December he said he wouldn’t participate.


In one incident that has drawn Mueller’s scrutiny, Flynn reportedly forwarded an email from McFarlane asking to prepare a package for the president to the NSA’s staff. Derek Harvey, one of Flynn’s subordinates, then told his staff to put the contents of the draft memo into an official “cabinet memo” from the president. There is no indication such a memo ever made it to Trump.


Yet unsurprisingly, Harvey – a close ally of Flynn’s - the administration’s senior Middle East adviser, was dismissed in July after clashes with NSC staffers. He is now senior adviser to the chairman of the House’s Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.


“It’s sad to see The Wall Street Journal attacking Republicans for promoting a policy, long supported by both Republican and Democratic administrations, of advocating overseas for American nuclear power,” said Jack Langer, a committee spokesman.


In summary, while the WSJ disburses numerous details about this lobbying efforts, the nature of Flynn’s exact crime is unclear: was his crime to abuse his position of power and push for a certain political outcome in exchange for some backdoor cash exchange? If so, is it also not time to also look at the Clinton Foundation, where the amount of money exchanged was orders of magnitude greater. Especially since while the implications of the article remain confusing, one thing is quite obvious: none of the above had anything to do with the Trump campaign, or the Russian government.









Wednesday, November 15, 2017

House Approves $700 Billion ‘Cash Cow for Weapons Companies’

(COMMONDREAMS)  In a bipartisan show of support for endless war and out-of-control military spending, the House of Representatives on Tuesday overwhelmingly approved the nearly $700 billion National Defense Authorization Act of 2018 that aims to boost war outlays by $80 billion—an amount that critics noted would easily cover the costs of free public college tuition and other initiatives that are frequently dismissed as too expensive.


The final vote tally was 357-70, with 127 Democrats throwing their support behind the bill. Sixty-seven Democrats—including Reps. Barbara Lee of California, Keith Ellison of Minnesota, and John Conyers of Michigan—voted against the legislation.


In addition to providing cash for 90 F-35 jets—20 more than President Donald Trump requested—the measure also approves more than $12 billion for the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency, a massive boost in funding that comes amid soaring tensions between the United States and North Korea.


As the Associated Press notes, the legislation additionally “includes money for as many as 28 additional Ground-Based Interceptors, which are anti-missile missiles that would be launched from underground silos in Alaska in the event the U.S. decided to try to shoot down a North Korean missile heading toward the United States. The interceptors are designed to directly hit the enemy missile outside the Earth’s atmosphere, obliterating it by the force of impact.”


The House vote sets the stage for the Senate to debate the legislation shortly after Thanksgiving before sending it to Trump’s desk. Because the measure far exceeds the $549 billion ceiling set by the Budget Control Act, “House and Senate leaders must strike a budget deal that increases the caps in order to boost defense spending as prescribed by the bill,” Politico reports.


Commentators were quick to slam the House for approving such a massive gift to the military while “Flint still doesn’t have drinking water, we are told we cannot have affordable single-payer, free college education is too costly, we do not have money to help the homeless, we do not have money to fix our infrastructure.”










By Jake Johnson / Creative Commons / Common Dreams / Report a typo


This article was chosen for republication based on the interest of our readers. Anti-Media republishes stories from a number of other independent news sources. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect Anti-Media editorial policy.

Monday, November 6, 2017

Pentagon Says Securing North Korean Nuclear Sites Would Require "Ground Invasion"

With President Donald Trump arriving in Japan today to kick off a 10-day Asia tour, the Washington Post is reporting that the only way to locate and secure all of North Korea’s nuclear weapons sites “with complete certainty” would be a ground invasion, and in the event of conflict, Pyongyang could use biological and chemical weapons, the Pentagon told lawmakers in a newly released assessment of what war on the Korean Peninsula might look like.


The Pentagon, in a letter to lawmakers, said that a full discussion of U.S. capabilities to “counter North Korea’s ability to respond with a nuclear weapon and to eliminate North Korea’s nuclear weapons located in deeply buried, underground facilities” is best suited for a classified briefing.


 


The letter also said that Pentagon leaders “assess that North Korea may consider the use of biological weapons” and that the country “has a long-standing chemical weapons program with the capability to produce nerve, blister, blood and choking agents."


 


The Pentagon repeated that a detailed discussion of how the United States would respond to the threat could not be discussed in public.


 


The letter noted that Seoul, the South Korean capital, is a densely populated area with 25 million residents. 



The Pentagon’s candid assessment appears to validate claims made by former White House Chief Strategist Steve Bannon, who famously said in an interview with the American Prospect before he was forced out of his White House job that there are no “good” military options for toppling the Kim regime. A ground invasion, he said, would lead to millions of casualties in the South Korean capital of Seoul from conventional weapons fire.



It’s release also coincides with the president’s push to rally the North’s neighbors in the region to do more to punish the restive Kim regime, which conducted a test of a hydrogen bomb - also its sixth nuclear test overall - in early September.


The North has been notably quiet since Sept. 15, when it launched a medium-range missile over the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido. Aside from the usual condemnations of military drills involving US and South Korean, and threats that the North is seriously considering testing a hydrogen bomb over the Pacific. Some have speculated that a partial collapse at the North’s Pyunggye-ri nuclear testing facility has been partly responsible for the delays.



The letter to lawmakers was written by Rear Adm. Michael J. Dumont, the vice director of the Pentagon’s Joint Staff, in response to a request for information from two House members about “expected casualty assessments in a conflict with North Korea,” including for civilians and U.S. and allied forces in South Korea, Japan and Guam.


In the letter, Dumont explains how a ground invasion would unfold.


Any operation to pursue North Korean nuclear weapons would likely be spearheaded by U.S. Special Operations troops. Last year, President Barack Obama and then-Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter gave U.S. Special Operations Command a new, leading role coordinating the Pentagon’s effort to counter weapons of mass destruction. SOCOM did not receive any new legal authorities for the mission but gained influence in how the military responds to such threats.


 


Elite U.S. forces have long trained to respond in the case of a so-called “loose nuke” in the hands of terrorists. But senior officials said SOCOM is increasingly focused on North Korea.



Given the difficulty and tremendous potential for casualities that would accompany a ground invasion, Dumont affirmed that the military supports the present strategy of pursuing a diplomatic solution to the simmering standoff between the North and the US.


Dumont said the military backs the current U.S. strategy on North Korea, which is led by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and focuses on ratcheting up economic and diplomatic pressure as the primary effort to get North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to stop developing nuclear weapons. Tillerson, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and the Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr., have emphasized that during trips to Seoul this year.


 


In contrast, President Trump, who goes unmentioned in the Pentagon letter, has taunted Kim as “Rocket Man” and expressed frustration with diplomatic efforts, hinting that he is considering preemptive military force.


 


“I told Rex Tillerson, our wonderful Secretary of State, that he is wasting his time trying to negotiate with Little Rocket Man,” Trump tweeted on Oct. 1, adding, “Save your energy Rex, we’ll do what has to be done!"


 


On Oct. 7, Trump added in additional tweets that North Korea had “made fools” of U.S. negotiators. “Sorry, but only one thing will work!” he said. 



Defense Secretary James Mattis and the Pentagon has often pointed to the massive risk that North Korean weaponry pose to South Koreans living In Seoul. But the military has never before publicly revealed so much about its plans for a hunt for North Korea’s underground weapons.


Air Force Col. Patrick Ryder, a Pentagon spokesman, said that Dumont and other Pentagon officials had no additional comment about the letter.


A senior US military official in South Korea told WaPo that while the 28,500 US troops in South Korea maintain a high degree of readiness, he “has to believe” that North Korea does not want a war, given all of the nations aligned against it.


“If you open the history books, this is not the first time that we’ve been in a heavy provocation cycle,” the official said. On the side of South Korea and the United States, he said, “there is no action taken without extreme consideration of not putting this in a position where a fight is going to happen."



Dumont’s letter also notes that “we have not seen any change in the offensive posture of North Korea’s forces."


A statement by 16 lawmakers, released simultaneously with the Pentagon letter, urged Trump to stop making “provocative statements” that impede diplomatic efforts and risk the lives of U.S. troops.


One lawmaker cited estimates that a ground invasion of the North would leave 300,000 people dead in the first couple of days.


The Pentagon’s “assessment underscores what we’ve known all along: There are no good military options for North Korea,” said the statement, organized by Lieu and Gallego and signed by 14 other members of Congress who are veterans, all but one of them Democrats. In a telephone interview, Lieu said that the intent of asking the Pentagon for information was to spell out the cataclysmic consequences of war with North Korea and the aftermath.


 


“It’s important for people to understand what a war with a nuclear power would look like,” said Lieu, citing estimates of 300,000 dead in the first few days alone. More than 100,000 Americans are potentially at risk.


 


Lieu, who spent part of his time in the Air Force on Guam preparing for military action against North Korea, called the letter a confirmation that a conflict would result in a “bloody, protracted ground war.” The Joint Chiefs, he believes, are “trying to send a message to the American public,” he said.


 


“This is grim,” Lieu said. “We need to understand what war means. And it hasn’t been articulated very well. I think they’re trying to articulate some of that."



The question now is: Will this report undermine Trump’s efforts to push the US’s allies in the Pacific to do more to peacefully pressure the Kim regime to abandon its nuclear weapons program. China and Russia have for months been pushing a plan that would see the North freeze its nuclear program in exchange for the US withdrawing its THAAD missile defense systems from South Korea.


The Kim regime has repeatedly said it will never give up its nuclear weapons, which it believes are essential for the survival of the regime.









Thursday, November 2, 2017

If American Federalism Were Like Swiss Federalism, There Would Be 1,300 States

Authored by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,


In a recent interview with Mises Weekends, Claudio Grass examined some of the advantages of the Swiss political system, and how highly decentralized politics can bring with it great economic prosperity, more political stability, and a greater respect for property rights. 


Since the Swiss political system of federalism is itself partially inspired by 19th-century American federalism, the average American can usually imagine in broad terms what the Swiss political system looks like. There are Swiss cantons, which are like the American states. And there is the Swiss federal legislature, which is like the American congress.


What the American tends to miss, however, is that the scale of political units in Switzerland is much, much smaller than that found in the United States. When a Swiss person talks about how Swiss politics is based largely around the cantonal level of government, what he"s really telling us is that Swiss politics is centered around a political unit that is often the size of a small American city. 


While we may often equate a Swiss canton with an American state, the truth is that even the smallest US state by population (Wyoming) is larger than all but four of the 26 Swiss cantons. 


In contrast, the largest Swiss canton (by population) is Zurich, with a population of 1.5 million. That makes it smaller than all but 11 US states. 


But most Swiss cantons are much smaller than this. Indeed, the median population for Swiss cantons is 234,000 people, or the size of Irving, Texas or Gilbert, Arizona. (The average is 324,000). The smallest canton boasts a mere 16,000 people. 


The physical size of Swiss cantons is much smaller as well, given that the entire size of Switzerland is smaller than West Virginia. Rhode Island, the smallest US state, is larger than all but five of the Swiss cantons. The largest Swiss canton, Graubunden, is about the size of Puerto Rico, and is smaller than Connecticut. 



Kantone_der_Schweiz.svg_.png


Obviously, then, in terms of size and scope, American states are much much larger than Swiss cantons in general. 


In the United States, the median population size for a state is 4.5 million, or more than 20 times the median size of a Swiss canton. (The average US population per state is 6.4 million). 


Needless, the say, in Switzerland, when we"re talking about the cantonal level, we really are talking about local government in contatrast to US states where even sparsely populated states like South Dakota are considerably larger than all but the two largest cantons, while being vastly larger in terms of physical geography. 


If the United States were composed of states approximating the median population size of Swiss cantons, the US would have over 1,300 states total. Each would have a population of around one-quarter of a million inhabitants. 


Given the small size of these political subdivisions, the potential for taxpayers "voting with their feet" is even greater than it is in the US, where it is already likely that migration patterns often show preferences for states with lower tax and regulatory burdens


Size and Political Representation 


The size of political jurisdictions has significant implications for political representation as well. 


In an earlier article titled "The US Should Have 10,000 Members of Congress" I noted that the United States has an exceptionally high politician-to-citizen ratio. 


That is, electoral districts (i.e., Congressional districts, for example) are absolutely huge by the standards of both Europe and Latin America. Moreover, they"re also huge by the standards of the 18th-century Americans who wrote the US constitution and the various state constitutions of the time. 


Specifically, in the United States, there are 535 Members of Congress who allegedly represent 320,000,000 people. This means there are 598,000 US residents per member of Congress. Meanwhile, in Germany, there are 130,000 residents per member of the national legislature. In Canada, the number of 99,000. In Switzerland, the number is 33,000. (The US is so off-the-charts, I"ve excluded it from this graph for the sake of scale): 


Moreover, the number of legislators compared to the overall size of the population is now tiny compared to what was expected at the time the US Constitution was written:


In 1790, members of congress represented on average 37,000 people. In Massachusetts in 1800, for example, there were 422,000 people sharing 16 members of Congress. Senators were not directly elected at the time, however, so if we include only members of the House, the average constituency size in Massachusetts in 1800 was 30,142. To reach a constituent size like this today, the US Congress would require 10,000 members.


 



legis1_1.jpg



(The size of the House of Representatives remains small today because Congress arbitrarily capped the total number of Representatives in the early twentieth century.) 


Nor is this just an issue for the national legislature. 


Electoral districts are also huge within US states, when compared to the number of members of cantonal legislatures in Switzerland. 



staterep_0.png


For example, in the US, the number of residents per state legislator ranges from 3,105 in New Hampshire up to a gargantuan 310,000 in California. 



swiss1.png


In Switzerland, the number of Swiss residents per cantonal legislator ranges from 8,200 in Zurich down to a miniscule 327 in Appenzell Innerhoden. 


But rather than look just at extremes, let"s consider a mid-sized Swiss canton and a mid-sized US state. 


In Indiana, for example, there are 6.6 million residents, and 150 legislators, which means there are about 43,000 residents per legislator. In the Swiss canton of Fribourg, with a population of 311,000, the cantonal legislature boasts 130 members. Thus, in Fribourg, there are approximately 2,400 residents per legislator. 


This means that even a mid-sized canton has far fewer residents per legislator than even the most representative legislature in the US, which is New Hampshire, with 3,100 residents per legislator. 


In other words, in Switzerland, it is entirely reasonable to expect that one"s cantonal representatives be familiar with one"s neighborhood, local culture, and local concerns. One might even expect to run into his legislator on the street, especially if he"s representing only 2,000 or so other people. The number of voters per legislator, of course, is even smaller. 


In the US, on the other hand, even a state legislator often represents a small city, in terms of his or her constituency size. 


Members of Congress are far worse, with each member representing a population equivalent in size to a Fresno, California, or Tucson, Arizona. 


Implications


When we look at differences in the size and scope of political and electoral jurisdictions, we find that in many cases, US jurisdictions are ten or twenty times the size of what they are in Switzerland. 


These vast differences in geography and demographics may highlight some of the realities that underpin many of the political and institutional differences that divide Americans and the Swiss. 


Both the United States and Switzerland employ a federal structure. In many ways, however, the Swiss political system is far more decentralized than is the American. There is no single executive in Switzerland, for example, and policy continues to be highly decentralized, with cantonal governments exercising large amounts of control and influence within the fields of naturalization, culture, public finance, and healthcare. 


Moreover, when we speak of the cantonal level in Switzerland, we"re really referring to what an American would recognize as the local level in politics. Swiss cantons are usually equal in size to a small American metropolitan area.


On top of this, political representation is hyper-democratic by modern American standards (but not necessarily historical American standards), with many cantonal legislators representing perhaps only 1,500 residents in many cases.1


The implications of this reality are significant. Given the small and local nature of government, and the smallness of electoral districts, voters have a completely different relationship with government institutions.


For example, when local government amenities are funded largely by one"s local cantonal government, this means that government services — including social benefits like healthcare subsidies — are funded not by some other anonymous taxpayer living hundreds or even thousands of miles away. A small cantonal size means taxpayer-funded amenities are funded by one"s neighbors, and other living nearby with whom one is likely to interact peacefully on a daily basis. In cases like this, it"s more difficult to see democratic politics as a matter of getting as much as one can get out of some distant, faceless "oppressor."  When important political institututions are close to home, and at a human scale, one might feel more inclined to take an additude of stewardship toward one"s community rather than an attitude of "take the money and run." 


In fact, constituency size has been shown to correlate to government spending in many cases, as shown in research by Mark Thornton, George S. Ford, and Marc Ulrich. See here and here


As Thornton et al. conclude: 


[T]he evidence is very suggestive that constituency size provides an explanation for much of the trend, or upward drift in government spending, because of the fixed-sized nature of most legislatures. Potentially, constituency size could be adjusted to control the growth of government.



Other factors mentioned by Thornton, et al. and others include:


  • Large constituencies increase the cost of running campaigns, and thus require greater reliance on large wealth interests for media buys and access to mass media. The cost of running a statewide campaign in California, for example, is considerably larger than the cost of running a statewide campaign in Vermont. Constituencies spread across several media markets are especially costly. 

  • Elected officials, unable to engage a sizable portion of their constituencies rely on large interest groups claiming to be representative of constituents. 

  • Voters disengage because they realize their vote is worth less in larger constituent groups. 

  • Voters disengage because they are not able to meet the candidate personally. 

  • Voters disengage because elections in larger constituencies are less likely to focus on issues that are of personal, local interest to many of the voters. 

  • The ability to schedule a personal meeting with an elected official is far more difficult in a large constituency than a small one. 

  • Elected officials recognize that a single voter is of minimal importance in a large constituency, so candidates prefer to rely on mass media rather than personal  interaction with voters. 

  • Larger constituent groups are more religiously, ethnically, culturally, ideologically, and economically diverse. This means elected officials from that constituent group are less likely to share social class, ethnic group, and other characteristics with a sizable number of their constituents. 

  • Larger constituencies often mean the candidate is more physically remote, even when the candidate is at "home" and not at a distant parliament or congress. This further reduces access. 

None of this, of course, can diminish the importance of significant cultural differences between the Swiss and the Americans. However, these differences can also be reenforced by political institutions. When looking at the super-sized institutions of the United States — as compared to the small, localized political institutions of Switzerland — it"s hard to conclude that these vast differences in the constitutional landscape can be ignored.









Monday, October 30, 2017

Stocks, Bond Yields Tumble On Disappointing "Gradual" Tax Cut Headlines

Having continued Friday"s melt-up as soon as US equity markets opened this morning, headlines from Washington that the corporate tax cuts may be enacted "gradually" reaching 20% in 2022.


As Bloomberg reports, House tax writers are discussing a gradual phase-in for the corporate tax-rate cut that President Donald Trump and Republican leaders want -- a schedule that would have the rate reach 20 percent in 2022, according to a member of the chamber’s tax-writing committee and a person familiar with the discussions.


The phase-in plan has been considered, but may not yet be final, said a member of the House Ways and Means Committee, who asked not to be named because the discussions are private.


Under that plan, the rate may be reduced from its current 35 percent rate by three percentage points a year starting in 2018.


This is clearly not what the "Veruca Salt" market demands... "I want it all.. and I want it now."



This follows the SALT elimination over the weekend. As Bloomberg reports, bowing to concerns from Republican House members in high-tax states, the chamber’s chief tax writer said he’ll preserve a federal income-tax break for property taxes.


“At the urging of lawmakers, we are restoring an itemized property tax deduction to help taxpayers with local tax burdens,” House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady said in a statement Saturday afternoon.



The announcement was welcomed by Representative Chris Collins, a New York Republican, who said the compromise would address the need “to protect middle income working families” in states like his own. He predicted it would assuage Republicans’ concerns.


And that sent stocks lower...



 


Even FANG Stocks are rolling over...



 


And 10Y Yields are at one week lows...










Tuesday, October 24, 2017

House Committees Announce Investigation Into Hillary"s Approval Of Russia"s Uranium One Deal

Today is shaping up to be a fairly bad day for Hillary Clinton.  Just moments after the House Judiciary and Oversight committees announced an investigation into Comey"s handling of the Hillary email investigation, the House Intelligence and Oversight committees have also announced an investigation in the Uranium One deal which handed Russia 20% of America"s uranium reserves and landed the Clinton Foundation some $145 million in donations and a $500,000 speaking gig for former President Bill Clinton.


As we"ve pointed out over the past couple of days, the Uranium One deal has recently resurfaced in public discussion after a former FBI informant came forward suggesting that he personally witnessed Russian operatives in a massive bribery, extortion and money laundering scheme discussing efforts to curry favor with the Clintons. The informant has requested an audience with certain Congressional committees but has so far been silenced by an NDA he signed with the FBI.


Here are a couple of our recent posts on the topic as a recap:









As the The Hill points out, the Uranium One investigation will initially look into whether or not the FBI bothered to investigate the circumstances surrounding the approval of the deal which occurred during their ongoing investigation.








Two powerful House committees on Tuesday announced a joint investigation into the 2010 sale of a U.S. uranium company to a Russian company.


 


The two panels, the House Intelligence and Oversight Committees, will first probe whether there was an FBI investigation into the deal, approved when former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton was Secretary of State.


 


Rep. Pete King (R-N.Y.) on Monday cited “very, very real concerns about why we would allow a Russian-owned company to get access to 20 percent of America’s uranium supply.”


 


“It’s important we find out why that deal went through.”


 


A confidential informant has come forward to the committees, according to Rep. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.), and the two panels are currently in discussions with the Justice Department to release that individual from a nondisclosure agreement.



Meanwhile, House Intelligence Committee Chair Devin Nunes told reporters earlier that it"s too early to determine whether Hillary will be called to testify.








“It’s a little premature. Let us first determine whether or not there was an open investigation by FBI or DOJ and then we’ll get back to you with more information,” Nunes told reporters.




Of course, Hillary once againg reiterated that concerns over the approval of the Uranium One deal, a deal which netted her family foundation $145 million in donations, by a committee on which she served is nothing but "politically motivated baloney."










Saturday, October 21, 2017

Bannon Blasts "Embrarrassing" Bush, Slams Silicon Valley"s "Lords Of Technology"

Freed of any need to be marginally politically-correct, former Trump chief strategist Steve Bannon took his fight to the Republican establishment during a speech to a capacity crowd at an almost oxymoronic California Republican Party convention.


The ubiquitous protesters were there...



But were kept behind steel barricades on a plaza across an entrance road at the hotel and no arrests were made, as Bannon blasted former President George W. Bush for "embarrassing himself" for his comments suggesting a Trump America led to "nativism" and "casual cruelty."


Bannon said Bush has no idea whether “he is coming or going, just like it was when he was president.”


“There has not been a more destructive presidency than George Bush’s,” Bannon added, as boos could be heard in the crowd at the mention of Bush’s name.



As AP reports, the remarks came during a speech thick with attacks on the Washington status quo, echoing his call for an “open revolt” against establishment Republicans.



He called the “permanent political class” one of the great dangers faced by the country.


Bannon said that while John Mccain "deserves our respect, as a politician, he"s just another Senator from Arizona."


Bannon also took aim at the Silicon Valley and its "lords of technology," predicting that tech leaders and progressives in the state would try to secede from the union in 10 to 15 years. He called the threat to break up the nation a "living problem."


Bannon also argued that the coalition that sent Trump to the White House, including conservatives, Libertarians, populists, economic nationalists, evangelicals, could hold power for decades if they stay unified.


“If you have the wisdom, the strength, the tenacity, to hold that coalition together, we will govern for 50 to 75 years,” he said.



He also tried to cheer long-suffering California Republicans, in a state that Trump lost by over 4 million votes and where Republicans have become largely irrelevant in state politics.


In Orange County, where the convention was held, several Republican House members are trying to hold onto their seats in districts carried by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential contest.


"You"ve got everything you need to win," he told them.



He ended his speech with a standing ovation.



Bannon is promoting a field of primary challengers to take on incumbent Republicans in Congress. But in California, the GOP has been fading for years. Republicans are now a minor party in many California congressional districts, outnumbered by Democrats and independents. Statewide, Democrats count 3.7 million more voters than the GOP.


Not all Republicans were glad to see Bannon though. In a series of tweets last week, former state Assembly Republican leader Chad Mayes said he was shocked by the decision to have the conservative firebrand headline the event.


“It’s a huge step backward and demonstrates that the party remains tone deaf,” Mayes tweeted.



As AP concluded, California Republicans have bickered for years over what direction to turn - toward the political center or to the right.



"Steve Bannon is a natural fit for a party that is hungry for a revolution, and the party in California is definitely hungry for a revolution," former Orange County Republican leader Scott Baugh said.









Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Bipartisan Congress Put Jeff Sessions in His Place, Shut Down His Expansion of Civil Asset Forfeiture

civil asset forfeiture

While it is a rare occasion when the group claiming to represent the will of the American people actually votes accordingly, the House of Representatives voted in opposition of Attorney General Jeff Sessions’ plan to expand civil asset forfeiture on Tuesday.


The Make America Secure and Prosperous Appropriations Act will now include Amendment 126, which “restricts the use of the federal government’s use of adoptive forfeiture.” It is co-sponsored by a group of nine bipartisan representatives, including Justin Amash, a Republican from Michigan, and Tulsi Gabbard, a Democrat from Hawaii.


“About to speak on the House floor in support of my amendment to rein in unconstitutional civil asset forfeiture,” Amash wrote on Twitter. “We must defend our rights.”


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Gabbard noted that she co-sponsored the bill because it was yet another area where AG Sessions must be stopped in his unconstitutional attempts to expand civil asset forfeiture.”


“I’ll be on House floor soon with Justin Amash urging support for our bipartisan amendment to stop AG Sessions expansion of adoptive forfeiture,” Gabbard wrote on Twitter. “Adoptive forfeiture allows state law enforcement to sidestep state laws and use federal law to seize people’s property without conviction or charges. Burden of proving innocence is on the individual, not on law enforcement. Even if innocence proved, the property/cash is often not returned.”








Defining civil asset forfeiture as a pernicious practice that throws due process out of the window and allows permanent seizure of assets based on an extraordinarily low evidentiary standard,” FreedomWorks.org noted that Amendment 126 seeks to “prohibit the use of funds authorized by Division C from being used for adoptive seizures, through which state and local agencies can circumvent protective state laws to seek forfeiture of seized assets under federal forfeiture laws.”


Sessions announced a new policy to increase civil asset forfeiture in July, labeling it as a means to “better protect victims of crime and innocent property owners, while streamlining the process to more easily dismantle criminal and terrorist organizations.”



“As any of these law enforcement partners will tell you and as President Trump knows well, civil asset forfeiture is a key tool that helps law enforcement defund organized crime, take back ill-gotten gains, and prevent new crimes from being committed, and it weakens the criminals and the cartels. Even more importantly, it helps return property to the victims of crime. Civil asset forfeiture takes the material support of the criminals and instead makes it the material support of law enforcement, funding priorities like new vehicles, bulletproof vests, opioid overdose reversal kits, and better training. In departments across this country, funds that were once used to take lives are now being used to save lives.”



However, as The Free Thought Project has reported extensively, and as the majority of the representatives in the House seem to understand, civil asset forfeiture has only led to more corruption.



READ MORE:  Before & After Photos Prove the US is Funding a War on Human Rights in Syria



In fact, even one of the co-creators of the civil asset forfeiture program in the United States has said he thinks it should be abolished. “Three decades ago I helped create our civil asset forfeiture system; now it is time to end it,” Brad Cates, former director of the U.S. Justice Department’s Asset Forfeiture Office, said in February 2016.




“During the Reagan administration I helped establish these programs because I believed they would quickly channel seized criminals’ profits into the fight against organized crime and drug cartels. Yet over time we have created a new bad incentive: policing for profit, out of the reach of the proper legislative budget process.”



The purpose of “due process” is to ensure that suspects are given a chance to prove their innocence. However, when police are given the power to confiscate cash, weapons, cars and other possessions, the suspects they are targeting are assumed guilty until proven innocent, and even if their innocence is proven in court, their possessions that were stolen by the state are not always returned.

Thursday, July 27, 2017

House panel decides to investigate ‘real crimes’ of Hillary Clinton

WASHINGTON (INTELLIHUB) — The Republican House Judiciary Committee decided to finally take note of President Trump’s tweets and has ordered a new probe into the FBI’s investigation of Hillary Clinton’s email server following the recent arrest of Florida Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz’ IT guy, Imran Awan.


When speaking about the matter publically Wednesday, Committee member Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) said, “If it’s in the public interest to investigate the Trump administration, it is most certainly in the public interest to investigate the real crimes by the real criminals.”


All of this comes on the heels of a Tuesday tweet straight from President Donald Trump’s device which read: “Problem is that the acting head of the FBI & the person in charge of the Hillary investigation, Andrew McCabe, got $700,000 from H for wife!”




The President’s tweet has caused quite some controversy for obvious reasons.


Featured Image: Ted Eytan/Flickr

©2017. INTELLIHUB.COM. All Rights Reserved.


Shepard Ambellas is an opinion journalist, analyst, and the founder and editor-in-chief of Intellihub News & Politics (Intellihub.com). Shepard is also known for producing Shade: The Motion Picture (2013) and appearing on Travel Channel’s America Declassified (2013). Shepard is a regular contributor to Infowars. Read more from Shep’s World. Follow Shep on Facebook and Twitter.


Arrested DNC Staffer Awan Retains Long-Time Clinton Associate For Legal Help

After getting arrested Monday night at Dulles Airport in Northern Virginia while attempting to flee the country on a flight to Qatar, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz" IT staffer, according to Conservative Review, has decided to hire a lawyer with longstanding connections to the Clinton family for legal help. 


Chris Gowen, a founding partner at Gowen, Rhoades, Winograd and Silva, apparently did a little bit of everything for the Clintons over the course of multiple years including working in the Clinton White House, helping President Bill Clinton write his book, "My Life", and serving on Hillary"s 2008 presidential campaign.  Per Gowen"s bio:





Mr. Gowen left the Public Defender’s office to work for former President William Jefferson Clinton and then-Senator Hillary Clinton. Chris was a fact checker for President Clinton’s memoir, My Life. He also served as a traveling aid for President Clinton’s national and international trips. Chris finished his tenure with the Clintons by directing the advance operations for then-Senator Hillary Clinton during her 2008 presidential campaign.



Another biography, published on the American University website, says Gowen worked with several other controversial Clinton projects, including The Clinton Global Initiative, The Clinton Foundation, and The Clinton Health Access Initiative.


Shortly after Awan’s arrest, Gowen immediately jumped into the fray and hit the ground running with allegations that Awan was a victim of Islamophobia. He labeled Awan’s arrest as part of “a right-wing media-driven prosecution by a United States Attorney’s Office that wants to prosecute people for working while Muslim"...it"s almost as if the words are coming straight from Hillary"s mouth.


Gwoen


As we noted last night, Imran Awan has been charged with bank fraud but it is unclear whether that charge is just a placeholder for other charges that are yet to come.  While details are scarce, media reports have alleged that Awan and his brothers potentially ran a procurement scheme in which they bought equipment, then overcharged various House members that employed their IT firm.  Meanwhile, some congressional technology aides have alleged that the Awan’s were blackmailing representatives based on the contents of their emails and files, due to the fact that these representatives have displayed unwavering and intense loyalty towards the former aides.


As background, Imran was first employed in 2004 by former Democrat Rep. Robert Wexler (FL) as an “information technology director”, before he began working in Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s office in 2005.


The family was paid extremely well, with Imran Awan being paid nearly $2 million working as an IT support staffer for House Democrats since 2004. Abid Awan and his wife, Hina Alvi, were each paid more than $1 million working for House Democrats. In total, since 2003, the family has collected nearly $5 million.


In total, Imran"s firm was employed by 31 Democrats in Congress, some of whom held extremely sensitive positions on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and the House Committee on Foreign Affairs.




Of course, one of the most intriguing parts of the Awan narrative is precisely why former DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (DWS) decided to keep him on her taxpayer-funded payroll right up until his arrest yesterday and whether that decision had anything to do with the whole DNC / Hillary email scandals that erupted last summer.


Along those lines, RNC Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel posed the following questions to DWS earlier this morning...




...and appeared on Fox Business to discuss DWS" curious decisions with regards to Awan (forward to the 4:00 minute mark in the video below for the relevant discussion).





“[Wasserman Schultz] kept him on her staff. He was a taxpayer-funded government employee until yesterday when she finally fired him.  We need to figure out why he’s under criminal investigation and we’re not hearing that across the country right now."



"We have to get to the bottom of this, and Debbie Wasserman Schultz has obstructed at every level on something that affects potentially our national security.  We are not hearing the Democrats talk about it at all. Where’s Debbie Wasserman Schultz?”





A preliminary hearing for Mr. Awan is scheduled for August 21.

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

The Democratic Party Remains On The Verge Of Collapse

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,


You don’t need to be a genius to see that the Democratic Party doesn’t really stand for anything when it comes to the issues that matter most to U.S. voters. This is a topic I’ve written about incessantly since last year’s embarrassing loss by status quo, corporate media, donor-favorite Hillary Clinton, and it was highlighted once again in a recent Washington Post-ABC News poll with the response to the following question.



Despite the dire implications of the above, the brain-surgeons leading the party remain committed to running on “Trump works for Putin, let’s start a war with Russia” while ignoring the multitude of very important issues people really care about — you know, like oligarchy and increasing economic insecurity.


To give you a sense of the degree of cluelessness, read the following excerpts from a CBS News article titled, Democrats Split Over Core Message to Voters as 2018 Midterms Loom:





NEW YORK — House Democratic Caucus Chairman Joe Crowley hesitated when asked about his party’s core message to voters.



“That message is being worked on,” the New York congressman said in an interview this past week. “We’re doing everything we can to simplify it, but at the same time provide the meat behind it as well. So that’s coming together now.”



The admission from the No. 4 House Democrat – that his party lacks a clear, core message even amid Republican disarray – highlights the Democrats’ dilemma eight months after President Donald Trump and the GOP dominated last fall’s elections, in part, because Democrats lacked a consistent message.



That’s not exactly true. Democrats have consistently been yelling about Russia, and it’s not doing them any favors.





The soul-searching comes as Democrats look to flip at least 24 GOP-held seats necessary for a House majority and cut into Republican advantages in U.S. statehouses in the 2018 midterm elections. Yet with a Russia scandal engulfing the White House, a historically unpopular health-care plan wrenching Capitol Hill and no major GOP legislative achievement, Democrats are still struggling to tell voters what their party stands for.



For now, at least, Democrats are waging a tug-of-war largely between the Russia investigation and the GOP’s attempts to gut the 2010 Affordable Care Act.



Notice what’s not on the list. Oligarchy, Wall Street crime, imperial wars or unconstitutional police state surveillance.


Now here’s the most clueless thing you’ll read all day.





“We need to be talking about impeachment constantly,” said Scott Dworkin, co-founder of the recently formed Democratic Coalition Against Trump. He warned on Twitter, “If you’re an elected Dem & you’re not talking impeachment or 25th amendment then find a new party.



Great advice, I suggest people take it. 


Meanwhile, in case you still don’t grasp the contempt with which most Americans view corporate Democrats, a new poll from Bloomberg shows Hillary Clinton is now less popular than Donald Trump. But keep doubling down on a losing strategy Dems, your big money donors demand it.


From Bloomberg:





For a president with historically low poll numbers, Donald Trump can at least find solace in this: Hillary Clinton is doing worse.



Trump’s 2016 Democratic rival is viewed favorably by just 39 percent of Americans in the latest Bloomberg National Poll, two points lower than the president. It’s the second-lowest score for Clinton since the poll started tracking her in September 2009.



The former secretary of state has always been a polarizing figure, but this survey shows she’s even lost popularity among those who voted for her in November.



More than a fifth of Clinton voters say they have an unfavorable view of her. By comparison, just 8 percent of likely Clinton voters felt that way in the final Bloomberg poll before the election, and just 6 percent of Trump’s voters now say they view him unfavorably.



Instead, their comments often reflected the ongoing angst among Democrats about how best to position themselves against Trump and Republicans in 2018 and beyond. Many said they wished Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont had won the Democratic nomination, or that they never liked Clinton and only voted for her because she was the lesser of two bad choices.



Looking forward to 2018, we need to see the midterm election in historical context. As such, typical opposition party gains combined with the high unpopularity of Donald Trump, means our base case scenario should be to expect a huge sweeping win for Democrats throughout Congress. Anything short of this will be considered a total failure, and from my seat, there’s a good chance Democrat gains may disappoint. If so, the party will have nothing and no one to blame but itself — it is truly self-destructing before our very eyes.


Finally, I want to end with excerpts from a excellent interview by David Sirota of the Russian activist group Pussy Riot. It’s fascinating to see how it often takes overseas observers to accurately analyze our own collective madness.


From International Business Times:





One prominent anti-Putin activist who was jailed by the Russian government says, in a new podcast interview, that America’s political class is deliberately promoting an inaccurate picture of Putin to distract from the United States’ own domestic problems.



In 2012, Nadezhda Tolokonnikova and two other bandmates from punk band Pussy Riot were imprisoned in Russia for daring to speak out against Putin’s regime. The case generated international headlines spotlighting the repressive practices of the Russian government. Tolokonnikova and her bandmates were released 21 months later. 



Sirota: Vladimir Putin is typically portrayed as an authoritarian thug in the American media. Is that the accurate way to view him?



Tolokonnikova: You see him exactly how he wants you to see him, and I think that’s a mistake. Because you just don’t want to really play his games. This image of being a thug is an interesting thing because if you read Masha Gessen’s book about Putin, “The Man Without a Face” it shows you how he constructed this image of being a thug, though he never been really was a thug… He was that person who been beaten on the schoolyard all the time, so he just decided to make his little revenge. So he’s literally man without a face when he came to power. He did know a little about politics, but he was bred by oligarchs and appointed just by chance. So he’s not as powerful as you think he is. It’s important. And don’t treat him as a strong man or thug or whatever you want to call him, cause he’s really a little insecure person. He’s even more anxious than I am, and he’s just trying to hide it under hyper-masculine bravado.



Sirota: Should the world be scared of Putin?



Tolokonnikova: I’m not terrified of him at all. I don’t think that you have to be terrified of him. He’s just a guy who claims that he has power, but I claim that I have power too and you have power… If you talk here about mainstream liberal media in America, which speak a lot about Putin, I think it’s just a trick, which is not easy to see… They don’t really want to talk about internal American problems.



Sirota: Do you believe the American political class and media exaggerate the threat of Putin for its own ends?



Tolokonnikova: Yeah. They’re just looking for a scapegoat and, you know, for Trump it’s Muslims and Mexican workers. And for liberal media in America it is Putin.



Sirota: What do you think is wrong with the way the American political discourse portrays U.S.-Russia relations?



Tolokonnikova: I think just the narrative should be different. I have questions about current narrative Democratic Party defending themselves and defending wealthy people who they do represent. And I think your narrative should be how oligarchs all around the world, they do unite, and though sometimes they don’t have a lot of things in common, they don’t have common views, but they have just one thing that they really want to do together to protect their wealth. I think you need to look at Putin and Trump from this perspective.



Sirota: Why do you think Russia has, so far, been unable to create a more functional government?



Tolokonnikova: Our history … Our government fooled Russian citizens all the time so Russian people, they don’t really trust politicians. They don’t really like to be involved in politics because they know they will try to do it. They will end up just even in a worse situation than it used to be. And you know partly American played its own role in creating a big crisis, which happened in 90’s, and Russians were really happy to buy it. They bought shock economy.



I’ve seen it in my own family, an example of my own family, we at some point in 1993, we didn’t have money to buy food. So it all creates feeling in Russian people that, if they will try to change something, they will end up being more poor than they used to be. Plus what happened in 90’s, we created this link in our minds that democracy means impoverishment and it means a liberal shock economy. We don’t really want to go back to that time. It’s a big argument of Putin that, “At least I can protect you and give you some sort to stability. Do you really want to go back to neo-liberal reforms, which [Boris] Yeltsin introduced you to?” And they say no…



All hypocritical things which been done by Western democracies doesn’t help. I think we would want to go there, but when we see a lot of hypocritical moves that America does, imprisonment, mass incarceration and worse, trying to establish your country as a world empire and world policemen. People don’t like it and they see it, even if they are in Russia. We are not dumb.



Pure gold.