Showing posts with label Capital gains tax. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Capital gains tax. Show all posts

Friday, December 22, 2017

Of Taxes & Whales: Bitcoin"s New Headaches

Authored by Constantin Gurdgiev via True Economics blog,


I have recently mused about the tax exposures implications of Bitcoin "investments", and in particular, my suspicion that many of today"s BTC enthusiasts (retail investors speculating on BTC and other cryptos) are likely to be caught out with unexpected and un-covered tax liabilities arising from trading in currencies pairs that involve cryptos and regular currencies (e.g. BTCUSD pair).


Normally, every trade in BTC that involves sale of BTC for USD is subject to capital gains tax.


This is a nasty side effect of the BTC trading.


And here comes a new and a worse one: the GOP tax plan will make even trades between cryptos (e.g. BTCETH pair) subject to capital gains.


The GOP plan removal of the like-kind swap tax deferral provision for everything other than real property sweeps cryptos put of the deferral cover because back in 2014, the IRS designated cryptos as non-currency property-type assets, like gold.


In addition to catching many investors off-guard and leaving them facing potentially explosive tax bills, the new change induces more liquidity risk into the system: removal of the deferral imposes a de facto transaction tax on BTC and other cryptos. This is likely to reduce frequency of trading conducted by investors. Which, in turn, reduces liquidity of the BTC and other cryptos.


This tax change, in part, likely explain why the BTC and other cryptos concentration is falling: the whales, who used to control up to 40% of the entire BTC issuance to-date, are selling, and selling at speed.  Ordinarily, this would be a good thing (lower concentration risk, increased liquidity), but cryptos are not your ordinary assets.


The problem with whales selling is that one of the key arguments in favor of cryptos is that crypto-enthusiasts and pioneers are market-makers who prefer mine-and-hold strategy.


In other words, to-date, the argument has been that the whales simply will never sell their holdings before BTC issuance reaches its bound of 21 million units.


That reasoning is now going, like the proverbial hot air out of a punctured balloon:










Monday, December 4, 2017

Trump Tax Plan Greatest Gift Establishment Ever Got

The following article by David Haggith was published on The Great Recession Blog:


Trump tax plan trumps the middle class

As soon as President Trump put his Goldman boys, Gary Cohn and Steven Mnuchin, in charge of his tax plan, I knew Trump’s tax plan would never fulfill his and his henchmen’s promises of helping the middle class and of not giving additional tax breaks to the rich. The Trump Tax plan, as it now exists, proves those conjoined promises to be the greatest lie Trump ever told.


After two decades with Goldman Sachs, Munchkin (as he shall hereinafter be known for he lives on the Goldman-bricked road) bought his own bank, IndyMac. He renamed it OneWest and turned it into a mega repo machine in 2009, whirring out hyuuge amounts of crash cash during the Great Recession. His revamped bank set a speed record for putting homeowners out on the street, foreclosing one home every thirty seconds. A vice president of OneWest even admitted in court she shortened her signature so that she could spend less than thirty seconds processing each foreclosure. As a result of this rush to foreclose, the court found the bank had frequently mishandled documents because it did not even read many of them before foreclosing.


Munchkin’s grim reaper of a bank closed its greedy grip on a whopping 35,000 homes during the Great Recession. The bank was even so unscrupulous as to instruct homeowners to stop making payments, ostensibly because it was going to modify the loans, but in reality in order to purify its argument for repossession. (For more on the Munchkin’s greed, read “U.S. Treasury Becomes a Laughing Stock.”)


Cohn, meanwhile, was president and COO of Goldman Sachs during the years when the Goldman squid monstrously raped its own clients by encouraging them to make investments that it bet its own money against. Cohn claimed in his own testimony that never happened, and his defense consisted of arguing that his company lost money during the Great Recession, so this couldn’t be true … as if a complex company with many areas of business couldn’t lose money overall during a crisis while making money in one area of business where it bet against its own advice to its clients. (See WSJ: “Gary Cohn Testimony: Goldman Didn’t Bet Against Clients.”


The senate subcommittee Cohn was speaking to on the matter disagreed in its own conclusion:


 


“Investment banks such as Goldman Sachs were not simply market-makers, they were self-interested promoters of risky and complicated financial schemes that helped trigger the crisis. They bundled toxic mortgages into complex financial instruments, got the credit rating agencies to label them as AAA securities, and sold them to investors, magnifying and spreading risk throughout the financial system, and all too often betting against the instruments they sold and profiting at the expense of their clients.” (The Independent: “Goldman ‘bet against securities it sold to clients"”)



 


The SEC ultimately fined Goldman half a billion dollars for its dishonesty, and Goldman conceded to its dishonesty. (See “Goldman Sachs and The ABACUS Deal.”)


By placing these financial weasels in full charge of creating his tax plan, Trump proved to my satisfaction that he never intended to serve the middle class. Some people, however, did not accept my claims putting the worst swamp creatures in charge of his signature campaign pledge did not prove Trump would prove to be a Trojan horse for the establishment. Now that we have seen both Senate and House versions of the plan, however, the proof is in the pudding (the sloppy mess that envelops Trump’s tax plan).


The Trump tax plan, in either of its current conceptions, will be the worst thing that ever happened to America, even though it will certainly boost stocks, and I’ll tell you why below. Still, many will refuse to see the truth and will be addled in their evaluations down the road by the fact that the plan did kick the stock market into even higher gear.


 


Trump tax plan is a loophole haven for the richest of the rich


 


One of the biggest promises of tax reform was that it would, in Trump parlance, hyuugelysimplify the tax code by eliminating loopholes. This loophole elimination would make sure that any reduction in the upper tax bracket for the rich did not create additional tax savings for the top one percent so that, this time around, tax revision would benefit the middle class.


Contrary to the Goldman boys’ promises, both the senate and house versions of the Trump tax plan create the most massive tax cuts the rich have ever received because they leave most of the loopholes in place. Even President Reagan’s tax designer, David Stockman, calls the Trump tax plan “a wish list of … Wall Street.” Why wouldn’t it be when it was designed by Wall Street moguls whose snaky mouths revealed a forked tongue at their corner whenever they smiled and promised their plans would not include tax cuts for the rich?


This tax plan, in either incarnation, is the Christmas Wish Book for Wall Street, and it is built on total economic denial about the rampant deficits it will create as far as the eye can see.


The biggest loophole of all, the one loved by hedge-fund managers, lawyers and stock brokers, is left firmly in place. The House bill preserves for its wealthiest cronies on Wall Street the carried-interest tax loophole for private-equity managers, venture capitalists, hedge-fund managers and certain real estate investors … like Trump. Trump and Cohn specifically stated they were committed to ending this special provision that helps hedge-fund managers, but this grand loophole they bedeviled during the campaign is still there. (So, watch carefully to see how loudly they argue for its removal now that we can all see it remains firmly in place.)


 


The plan, as it stands in the Senate, allows “pass-through” businesses …. to deduct 22 percent of their income before paying taxes, up to a certain limit. In the House, it allows those pass-throughs to pay taxes at a special low rate. The pool of pass-through businesses includes any number of cookie shops and bodegas and corner stores, but also law firms, hedge funds, consulting firms, real-estate development companies, investment partnerships, and lobbying businesses. An estimated 70 percent of the benefits for such pass-through firms go to the top 1 percent of income earners—meaning this benefit is more about helping rich families than it is about helping small local businesses.


 

Moreover, such changes to the way pass-through businesses are taxed complicate the code and create a preferential category for rich individuals to try to work their income into…. The new provisions have “the potential to become the single greatest inducement to tax arbitrage ever enacted by a single Congress,” the tax expert Daniel Shaviro of New York University Law School has written, also saying that they “might end up being the single worst structural change in the history of the U.S. federal income tax.” (The Atlantic)



 


“After I saw that tax bill, I lost hope with the drain the swamp concept,” Gundlach said. “The swamp keeps getting bigger.” (NewsMax)



 


Swamp wins all in this plan. In either of its currently approved forms, the Trump tax plan trumps the middle class for decades to come!


 


Capital gains tax cuts preserved in Trump tax plan


 


If President Trump’s tax plan was intended to help the middle class, the first thing it would do is finally end the one tax provision that has created the biggest income disparity in history between the top ten percent of tax payers and all the rest of us. It would eliminate the special capital-gains tax break that has built real-estate bubbles and stock bubbles but done nothing to create jobs for the middle class in spite of endless promises that it will — promises that are now believed by blue-collar Republicans at the level of religious dogma.


While the new plans offer no additional capital-gains tax reduction for the rich, they keep this now sacred loophole locked in place. Republicans and Democrats wouldn’t dare talk about further reductions in this area because that would risk putting this special rate that has served the one percent so well at risk by putting it back into the discussion. Best to be happy with the massive gains the rich have already secured in this area and focus on opening entirely new areas of gains for the rich rather than to bring this up for discussion again.


I’m bringing it up precisely because they don’t.


Recently I’ve listened to Rush Limbaugh (because I listen to broadcasters on all sides) repeat and re-repreat his oft’ told lie that the rich are already taxed more than the middle class because the rich — say the top twenty percent — pay more in income tax than the entire eighty percent beneath them. It’s a lie in the form of a half truth. Rush and others like him fully know this; but you will never hear them tell the remainder of the truth. The lie turns on your natural assumption when you hear the truth that 20% of the people are paying 80% of the income taxes — that the rich are clearly doing the lion’s share of the pulling.


Limbaugh and other establishment shills make it sound like the rich are incredibly generous but that only works because the real truth is so incredible — so obscene — that it never occurs to people. The untold half of this truth is that this 20% are making more than 80% of all the income in the US. So, if they were even paying an equal share, they would be paying more than eighty percent of all the income taxes in the US. (Limbaugh even as the audacity to rebrand himself as being anti-establishment as he repeats this old canard and supports Trump.)


Here’s the catch with the special capital-gains tax rate that has been enshrined in the tax code for decades: the rich do not make most of their money off of salaries! They make it off of their stock options in the companies they manage and other stock investments, and off of trading bonds and buying and selling real estate, football teams and art. All of the profit from those activities is taxed as capital gains, and if you hold those investments for longer than a year, income from those investments is all taxed at a rate that is insanely lower than the middle class income tax rates! The rich pay only 15%! (Only the top one percenters pay the slightly higher cap-gains tax rate of 20%, which is till lower than the tax rates paid on ordinary income by most of the middle class.)


Tell me that the privileged capital gains tax rate is not a tax savings that is almost exclusively for the richest of the very rich! Believe it not, 56% of the benefit of privileged lower tax rates on capital gains goes to the top 0.1% of the US population! Yes, you heard that right: not the top ten percent, not the top one percent, but just one-tenth of the top one percent receive 56% of ALL the tax savings realized by the nation’s preferred lower tax rate on capital gains!


That’s why this privileged loophole isn’t being talked about by anyone. It’s already the single-largest reason the rich pay far less than their fair share in taxes, and it is the single-greatest reason for the wealth disparity that has grown so wide in the US since the Reagan years. The form of money making that the rich use gets taxed at a much lower rate than your form of money making. That’s the dirty little secret that hides in plain sight.


The fact that the richest people do not make their money off of wages and salaries explains why Donald Trump could not care less about getting paid a salary to be president. His willingness to forego a presidential salary was pure showboating because even a presidential salary is chump change compared to how much money the Donald will make from becoming president if his new tax cuts become law (and how much he already saves by this preferential rate on his gains from real-estate investments which is new tax plan preserves for him and his kind). What Trump’s tax plan does is continue to enshrine for years to come the disproportionately beneficial tax treatment the rich already receive for their primary source of income.


Yet, the middle class majority happily allows the rich this filthy special privilege on their kind of income. They are beguiled by the current top income-tax rate of 39.6%, which is nothing but smoke and mirrors, to believe the rich are paying higher taxes. In truth, the rich rarely even pay that higher rate on their ordinary income due to loopholes, but ordinary income is by far the SMALLEST source of their personal income. That high tax rate is simply there to complete the illusion so the middle masses will continue to believe the rich are already doing more than their fair share. It enables Rush and others to say, “Look, the Rich are already paying more than their fair share.”


The establishment Republican’s argument for this privileged from of income in the tax code has always been that a lower cap-gains tax rate creates jobs. Really? Do you suppose that people getting capital-gains tax breaks are spending their savings building new factories, as Ronald Reagan promised they would when he first trotted out voodoo economics?


Of course, they are not. Why on earth would they? They use the money to buy more stock in companies that already exist, bidding up the stock market because that is the low-hanging fruit. Why would anyone build a factory in the US or any other kind of business that creates jobs with their tax savings when the deferred profit from that factory would all have to be taxed as ordinary income? Why would you try to reinvest your tax savings in a area where your next profits will be taxed at a much higher rate? That’s insane. Why wouldn’t you, instead, invest in more stocks where the future gains on your re-investment will all be taxed at the preferred cap-gains tax rate you just enjoyed? The concept that the rich would ever invest in new factories is ludicrous just from a simple tax principle.


Show me the thousands of new factories created across America since we started down this road under Reagan. Show me how the middle class has seen its income grow. Show me how much middle-class benefits have grown during our decades of lower capital-gains tax rates. Show me how the continuance of these low rates kept us out of economic crashes in the intervening years by providing sustained economic growth from Reagan to now. (A privileged rate has been in play that long, but we’ve had plenty of busts during that time.) Show how in any manner the middle class is better off today — more robust — because of this huge tax gift to the so-called “job creators.”


Even if you assume the rich are too dumb to reinvest the money they save back into stocks where they can continue to benefit from a much lower tax rate, why would they invest in building new factories with all the liabilities and legal and political obstacles involved in building a factory? Why would you take on the huge risk of a new venture when you can just invest in a going concern? It’s ludicrous to think that is where this tax savings goes.


So, why on earth do blue-collar Republicans continue to believe it is only fair to give the richest of all Americans a MUCH LOWER tax rate on the largest portion of their income than the middle class pays? (I put it in caps and underline it to scream it out because for decades people keep believing the nonsense that the rich establishment feeds them, and Democrats really do nothing to stop it because they serve the same establishment.)


Why? Because of the pure fantasy that someday they will be there. When their ship finally comes in, they don’t want it taxed away. It’s a lottery mentality. As in any lottery or casino, the jackpot almost never comes, but it hits just often enough to keep the fantasy afloat.


Follow the money. Where has the tax savings really gone? It was used to bid up the price of ball teams, to bid up the stock market, to bid up the real-estate market, to buy bigger yachts and more lavish mansions and bigger car collections and art collections. That’s why most of those things have appreciated extravagantly while the middle class has shrunk.


The savings are thoroughly locked up in assets that will be passed along (mostly untaxed) to the wealthiest of children, who will either piss it all away or, in rare cases, continue to build up daddy’s dynasty … not by creating jobs, just by hoarding more assets.


Disgustingly, there is one exception to the Republicans’ choice not to tangle with capital-gains tax breaks under the new Trump tax plan. In the one area of capital gains that helps the average person the most — the elimination of all capital-gains tax on the first $250,000 in gains on the sale of one’s personal residence ($500k per couple) — Republicans want to make that exemption harder for the average person to get. They are now raising the number of years one must have resided in their personal residence from two years to five. It must have bothered members of congress to see that this tax exemption helped the average person disproportionately compared to the rich for whom the first $250,000 would be a small part of their total gains on the sale of their mansions. They also want to remove the tax loss you can claim if your house burns to the ground.


 


Trump tax plan completely eliminates the estate tax


 


Trump and his good ol’ Goldman boys score a victory that inures purely to the top one percent with this one, which means the beneficiaries include Trump. This gift goes only to the rich because the federal inheritance tax already includes an exemption for the first $5.49 million of any estate PER HEIR. (i.e., an $11 million exemption per married couple, even though — with the exception of the deepest backwoods swampy parts of the south — only one person in any couple is an actual heir by blood.


The estate tax has already been whittled down by Bush and others over the years to where only 0.2% of the estates in the US ever pay any estate/inheritance tax. In it’s already reduced form, the estate tax is a tax that only hits the dynasties of the wealthiest of all Americans, but the effective tax (already much lower than it used to be) can range as high as 40% of the estate. (Because of the massive exclusion, no estate ever pays anything near the rate of 50% that you hear people talk about.) The average windfall for the top 0.2% from the elimination of this tax will be about $3 million PER HEIR. For the crème de la crème, however, the tax savings is $20 million per heir and higher.


Those who love to feed the rich on a silver spoon call this a “death tax,” even though no one who dies in America pays this tax. It is only the very richest of wealthy heirs who continue living who pay this tax on the gift they receive from daddy’s dynasty.


Now you can see why Donald Trump, in his eighties, is willing to work the presidency for just $1 per year. When you are the Donald’s age and have so much time and ego tied up in establishing vast real-estate holdings, your greatest concern is preserving the empire you have worked your life to build and that displays your ego, especially when your name is written all over it. Handing down the dynasty into which you were born and which you further developed is your last great ego accomplishment, and the complete repeal of the estate tax will assure that all of the Donald’s wealthy children inherit the entire empire unbroken, completely tax free.


Trump’s nemesis, The New York Times, calculates this revision in the tax code will save Trump’s heirs over a billion dollars, making this one reform the greatest Christmas gift the Donald could give those who will remain as an extension of his ego when he passes on. This tax savings clearly does nothing to create jobs. It merely assures that the family mansions remain occupied by the progeny of the Great One.


The original idea of the estate tax was to plow these tycoon estates back into the common ground so they don’t keep building up as ever-expanding empires for generations to come. Those who feel sorry for the top 1% should be in favor of this tax break. This one serves only to make sure the families of the banksters of Wall Street keep their ill-gotten gains. At best for all the rest, it may assure we retain a handful of jobs as gardeners, butlers, and maids to warm their milk and tie their ties.


If you believe the nonsense that repeal of the estate tax will save some family farms, ranches and small businesses, forget it. Only about 80 small businesses and family farms in the entire United States would pay any estate tax in 2017 under current law, and most of those would pay very little because of the large exemption. It is estimated that those 80 farms and businesses that get taxed as estates in any year pay less than 6% of the estate’s value in inheritance tax.


Some will say that it is unfair to go after the rich, but consider how many of them are banksters who made their wealth in unscrupulous manner and who were bailed out by you when they broke their banks. This tax is a final way to claw back those unscrupulous gains after you’ve allowed the banksters to enjoy them to the end of their lives. If fact, I think it is a fairly safe bet that most of the 1% have only climbed to that rarified height by employing some fairly unscrupulous tactics. (Not all; just most. Call me jaded.)


If the Donald really cared about the middle class, he’d eliminate of the manifold loopholes (such as grantor retained annuity trusts) that the rich use to dodge estate taxes altogether. Most large estates would have sufficient liquid assets to cover the tax, and existing law allows payments to be made at little interest over a period of fifteen years. (Remember, that estates often have large sources of income they can use to make these payments without having to sell off assets.)


Of course, the assets of major estates like the Donald’s — whether tied up in buildings or stocks or art — is wealth that has appreciated during the many years those assets were held, which means the rich have not paid any capital-gains tax on that added wealth before passing the gain down to their children. It is entirely untaxed wealth accumulation (if there is no estate tax) that gets passed along and continues to build tax free until the asset is finally sold.


That is one of the big reasons estate tax was created in 1916 — to stop this pass through of completely untaxed gains by people like the Rockerfellers and Vanderbilts, who owned vast amounts of stock in their own corporations. Wouldn’t it be ghastly if the top one percent of rich kids had to work for their money, instead of just inherit it all tax-free after it has gained in value for decades?


Given the minuscule number of people who will benefit from this Trump revision, you might think elimination of the estate tax does not amount to enough government revenue being lost to even be worth contemplating. But think again: current estate taxes, reduced as they already are, provide enough revenue each year to fund the entire Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease and Prevention and the EPA. O.K. so you’re one who hates the EPA. No problem, just substitute in the National Parks Service or some branch of government that you somewhat like.


You start talking about a billion dollars here and a billion dollars there, and pretty soon you’re talking about real money.


 


Trump tax plan cuts corporate income tax from 35% to 20%


 


I’m not opposed to eliminating corporate income tax on the basis that it is double taxation. (First, you tax the profits of the corporation as a corporation. Then you distribute the remainder of those profits to the stockholders and tax them again as personal income.) I also see that corporations are job-producing economic giants, so I can see an argument that says, “Let’s not suck all the fuel out of our economic engines. Tax it when it only when becomes personal income.”


HOWEVER, and it is a BIG “however” that must be writ large, that is not what will happen with this huge corporate tax cut. If Trump and his sly Goldman boys wanted to do that, their corporate tax cuts would come with restrictions that make certain the money is used for job creation. The problem I have with this huge new tax break is that it comes with no such provisions.


Here is what will really happen with almost all of that money, and we know if for a fact because of years of experience: stockholders have established a clear pattern in this country of making themselves rich through stock buybacks, which do nothing whatsoever to grow the business or to create jobs. That is what will happen with nearly all of these tax savings. Now that central banks are promising to suck money out of the system, which has fueled stock buybacks up to the present, the Trump Rescue team is coming in with a HYUUGE new source of money.


Corporate boards will spend their newfound tax savings either buying up other corporations and consolidating (which always kills jobs; it never creates jobs) or spend it on stock buybacks and dividends to shareholders. Here again, the top ten percent of the population benefit disproportionately over the rest of the populace.


Stock buybacks do two things simultaneously that directly benefit the rich board members who who are the ones who vote to do the buybacks: 1) they reduce the supply of shares on the market, bringing up the value of each remaining share; 2) they create a huge buyer (the corporation) that is more than willing to buy the board members’ own stocks at any escalating price in order to keep pushing the price up.


The Dom Perignon corks will be popping all over Wall Street if this one becomes law as it is the biggest boost the establishment has seen since capital-gains tax breaks were introduced. It’s a whole new realm for growth in income disparity.


Now, if Trump ever intended to help the middle class or Cohn and Munchkin ever intended to live up to their promises that there would be no tax cuts for the rich, then this tax cut would come with the clear restriction that no company benefiting from the lower corporate tax rate could engage in stock buybacks or use it to boost dividends. I’ll bet you haven’t heard ANY talk about that, and you never will because it was always Trump’s, Cohn’s, and Munchkin’s intention to give the greatest tax break in history to the supremely rich and cover it by saying, “This is to help businesses build jobs.” No, if you wanted it to build jobs, you’d put provisions in the tax code that require all of this tax benefit to be spent doing exactly that! Then it would actually juice the overall economy and not just the stock market. Not there!


Ask yourself one question: Why would an American board of stockholders, infamously known as they are for focusing on short-term quarterly gains, choose to reinvest billions of dollars saved on corporate taxes into creating new US factories with all of the regulations, liabilities, employment issues, construction issues, etc. that are involved in such expansion when they can just buy back the company’s stocks, making their own shares worth 20% more every year with no effort and no liability and no wait for a return on investment?


There will be NO jobs created from this kind of corporate tax cut unless it comes with restrictions, which it won’t because job creation has never been the real concern. What willbe created, if some form of the Trump tax plan passes both houses, is more inflation in the speculation-driven stock market … and about a trillion dollars (some say much more) of additional federal debt to pay for this gift to the rich so they can continue to play in their casinos a little longer before the tops come down.


You now know that Republicans only talk like deficit hawks when they know they’re not the party that will be in charge of actually passing a budget. This year, when they finally control all branches of government, fiscal spending was higher than in any year in the history of the US government, other than 2009 when the stops were first pulled out to try to end the financial crisis. The deficit from their profligate spending this year was well over half a trillion dollars, and that was with the second-highest income-tax revenue in the history of the United States, which will be greatly reduced if some version of this plan makes it through both houses.


Surprise, surprise, Republicans are not truly deficit hawks at all! Their debt concerns were pure fraud. It was easy to sound like they cared about fiscal responsibility when they knew Democrats would be the ones deciding the budget. The Republican budget recently passed didn’t curb any of this spending, and the projected revenue increases of the present tax plans are based on dreams that were already disproven in the Reagan era, when even Reagan’s tax man has admitted the administration had to scramble to quickly raise taxes back up some because of the yawning debt that immediately opened up when revenue failed to grow due to tax cuts to the extent the administration had promised. These cuts go far beyond those, so the damage will be worse.


You might wonder how Republicans are managing to pass these huge deficits through the Senate while avoiding the filibuster. The answer is, they are scheduling all the individual tax breaks that bust the budget to end in 2025. In fact, people making less than $75,000 a year will see a tax increase by 2027. That allows tax revenue to go back up just as the new tax plan becomes ten years old, meeting the “reconciliation” process says there can be no filibuster unless a bill creates a greater deficit ten years down the road.


While there will still be massive deficits after 2027, even with the end of the middle-class tax breaks, the Republican choice to run a massive deficit this past year has enabled them to establish an easy deficit threshold to come back down to. While the individual tax breaks that slightly help the middle class end quickly, the corporate tax breaks and capital-gains breaks that primarily help the rich will continue forever.


 


Middle class bears the burdens of breaks for the rich under Trump’s tax plan


 


The middle class pays for these tax-breaks to the rich by having their mortgage interest deduction capped, as well as their property tax deduction and their deductions for state and local taxes. These caps or eliminations hit the fabulously wealthy, too, but the wealthy get all the new benefits to far more than compensate while the middle class does not.


A study by Congress’s nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation says the senate plan will raise taxes for 13.8 million moderate-income American households making between 75,000 a year and 200,000. After 2023, 22% of Americans will pay more in taxes (and none of those will be in the one-percent class).


While the Trump tax plan throws a little candy in the form of tax breaks for the middle class initially to smooth its passage, you get trumped bigly in the end.


Even with all this boost for the establishment, Trump was not satisfied with the tax benefits for the rich and asked that even the smoke-screen 39.6% top income-tax rate be brought down to 35%. Even the window dressing rate apparently appeared too hard on the rich.


Trump is such a good snake-oil salesman that he has actually managed to con the middle class into cheering him with slogans at rallies as he shafts them and their children to enrich himself and his children in the years to come. His legacy will be that his kids are much richer than they are now, and yours are not. Cheer him all you want, but that’s where this ends up.


Kept entirely out of the tax discussion are payroll taxes, such as Social Security and Medicare where the rich pay much less as a percentage of their total income because those taxes have low caps on them and do not apply at all to capital gains. The rich pay nothing on any income above a certain level.


Democrat or Republican politicians prefer not to talk about that. What they talk about, instead, is the need to someday cut the amount you are entitled to. (You are entitledbecause they promised when they took your money they would give it back to you as retirement, so it is YOUR money they have been holding in trust. You’re entitled to it, because they took it from you with a promise to give it back later.) Instead, of cutting back on what the middle class is entitled to (since it was all their money taken in trust), they should talk about removing the tax caps that protect the rich in order to end the entitlement problem. They won’t.


If Trump and Republicans wanted real tax reform, they would eliminate income tax entirely and replace it with a value-added tax (or better yet, a simple sales tax on the end consumer), which would allow them to end the tyranny of the IRS by cutting the agency’s size by 90%, as sales tax is such an easy tax to monitor and collect. THAT would be true reform. Instead, their much ballyhooed reforms still leave us with the most complicated tax system in the world!


 


If these tax plans are reconciled and approved in something near their current shape, there will be a lot of merry moguls this Christmas.


Thursday, November 23, 2017

Taxes: Here"s What"s Going To Stay The Same

Authored by Simon Black via SovereignMan.com,


On October 3, 1913, US President Woodrow Wilson signed the Underwood-Simmons Act into law, creating what would become the first modern US income tax.



The legislation (at least, the income tax portion) was only 16 pages and imposed a base tax rate of just 1%.


The highest tax rate was set at 7%– and it only applied to individuals earning more than $500,000 per year, which is about $12.6 million today according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.


And individuals earning less than $3,000 (about $75,000 today) were exempt from paying tax.


Tax rates moved up and down over the years– the government raised rates to fund World War I, then lowered them in peacetime.


In fact, taxes were cut at least four separate times during the 1920s alone, reaching a low in 1929 of just 0.375% for the bottom tax bracket.


Back then, making major changes to tax law was pretty simple. Today, thanks to heavily vested interests on all sides, it takes a miracle to make any serious modifications to the tax code.


That’s why there hasn’t been any significant tax reform in the Land of the Free since Crocodile Dundee was the #1 movie in America (that’s 1986, by the way).


There are now two versions of legislation that will make major changes to the US tax code– one in the Senate and one in the House of Representatives.


I spent most of the nearly 30 hours of travel time during flights over the past week from Santiago to Sydney, Sydney to Bangkok, and Bangkok to Singapore, reading the proposals’ 400+ pages.


The media is touting these bills as a ‘major overhaul’ and ‘comprehensive reform,’ and financial markets have been treating this legislation as if the second coming of capitalism is walking across the water.


It’s not.


Sure, there are a few significant changes.


They’re scrapping the idiotic Alternative Minimum Tax, which ensnares more and more people each year.


Tax rates on certain business profits are going down substantially.


And they’re making tax reporting a lot simpler, saving countless hours of senseless paperwork.


Undoubtedly there are plenty of positive changes in this proposed tax code.


There are also plenty of negative changes.


Some people will benefit. Others will see their tax bills grow.


But for the most part the tax code will stay the same– they’re essentially just rearranging the pieces on the board rather than coming up with an entirely different game.


The existing tax code is built on a legal framework that goes back to the 1950s… a time when manufacturing and agriculture were economic mainstays.


Businesses rarely outsourced their production back then or even thought about selling their products overseas.


Entrepreneurship was uncommon. Employees often remained with the same company for decades. And few women were in the labor force.


Today it’s completely different. The digital economy has displaced manufacturing; business is now dominated by ideas, not factories.


And it’s easier than ever before in human history to start a business, sell products and services worldwide, and even hire employees who live on the other side of the planet.


It seems ludicrous to govern the digital, global businesses of the 21st century with such an antiquated, industrial-era tax code.


True reform would have started by throwing all of it in the garbage, right where it belongs.


You wouldn’t even have to reinvent the wheel; there are plenty of great examples in the world of tax systems that work extremely well– like right here in Singapore.


Singapore’s government is awash with cash.


They almost always run a small budget surplus, yet they’re able to provide ample public services, world class health care, high quality education, strong national defense, pristine infrastructure, and a substantial reserve fund.


But at the same time they encourage people to become wealthy, ensuring that they keep the vast majority of what they earn.


Tax rates in Singapore are quite low and incredibly competitive. Whereas the US corporate tax rate may drop to as low as 20%, in Singapore a company pays no more than 17%, and typically less than 10%.


Right now I’m in the process of negotiating the sale of an asset we purchased here a couple of years ago which will likely produce several million dollars in net realized gains once the deal is closed.


But we won’t pay a dime of tax here on any of it… because Singapore does not tax capital gains.


It’s a model that works: Singaporeans have one of the highest standards of living in the world… plus there are more millionaires per capita here than in any other country.


And this country is just one example. There are plenty more.


Point is, while it’s nice that they’re trying, it’s going to be very difficult for the US government to achieve anything meaningful or truly revolutionary when they’re essentially just making some changes to the pitifully outdated, existing tax code.


But the good news is that, even though the euphoria and expectations about this new proposal are totally overblown, there are still plenty of gems from the current tax code that aren’t going anywhere.


For example– if you’re a self-employed professional and you’re worried that the new tax code will probably increase your tax bill, you still have some excellent options.


There’s nothing in the proposed law that changes, for example, the substantial tax benefits you can realize from establishing a solo 401(k) or SEP IRA plan.


Nor did I see anything changing the enormous benefits from setting up a captive insurance company (in which you effectively insure yourself against certain risks, shielding up to $2 million per year from taxation).


Those are still fully intact.


So is the US federal tax exemption for certain legal residents of US territories. Which means that you can still qualify for Puerto Rico’s ultra-generous 0%/4% tax incentive programs.


There are dozens of other great tax strategies from the old tax code which will remain.


To continue learning how to legitimately reduce your taxes, I encourage you to download our free Perfect Plan B Guide.









Wednesday, September 6, 2017

Australia's Dystopian Future: A Nation Of High-Rise Renters

Authored by James Fernyhough via TheNewDaily.com,


Young Australians are increasingly likely to live most of their lives in high-density rented accommodation – and that’s not necessarily such a bad thing.


That was one of the more controversial findings of a major study into the housing market released in recent days.


The Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) concluded that capital city home ownership would continue to be unaffordable for at least the next four decades.



It was grim news for many young Australians, particularly those who have bought into the Aussie dream of owning their own house and backyard in a spacious suburb.


But the study argued that a lower level of home ownership, and/or a greater level of high-density living, need not be a bad thing.


In fact, examples from overseas – and even some in Australia – suggest it could be a positive. But this would require a massive shift in policy and, more importantly, attitude.


What clearly emerged from the report is that there is no one culprit behind the property price explosion; rather, the picture is of a tangled mess of convergent causes, most of which will not go away.


CEDA blamed all the usual suspects, including foreign investment, negative gearing, capital gains tax rules, interest rates, increasing urban population, limited land supply, restrictive planning rules, and the tendency of stamp duty to discourage retirees from downsizing.


Professor Rodney Maddock, CEDA’s research and policy committee chairman, said the research showed that “barring any major economic jolts, demand pressures are likely to continue over the next 40 years and supply constraints will continue”.


In other words, if you’re holding out for the “bubble” to burst before you make your move, you may be waiting a long time.


Many of the partial solutions were equally as predictable: replace stamp duty with a land tax; raise capital gains tax on investment properties; loosen planning restrictions; and improve infrastructure to more remote suburbs.


While all of these would help the situation, none would comprehensively reverse the astonishing increase in property prices over recent decades.


The result of all this is that more and more people will be forced to rent – which, indeed, has already been happening.


In 1982, the report showed, just over 40 per cent of 25- to 34-year-olds were renters. Now it’s closer to 65 per cent. The proportion of renters has increased in every age group over that time period, excluding the over-65s.


Predicting this trend will continue, CEDA recommended improving tenancy laws to “provide adequate protection and certainty to long-term renters”.


It pointed to countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden, where “long-term contracts exist within the private rental market, and termination is only possible in limited circumstances”.


The case of Germany is an interesting one. Only ­52 per cent of Germans own their own home, compared with 67 per cent of Australians. Given Germany is a developed country with a high standard of living, this shows home ownership is not a prerequisite for wellbeing.


At the end of the report, CEDA presents a utopian, and occasionally dystopian, vision of high-density living. It takes the example of an existing high-density development in Sydney’s northern beaches, called ‘The Village’.


A particularly irksome passage talks about a “hierarchy of spaces to create an intuitive sense of public and private space, without excluding non-residents from the residential parts of the site”.


While this vision may be off-putting, the fact is this sort of development is the most logical answer to the problems raised by the report. It makes economical and sustainable use of space, and in so doing solves many of the problems we are currently facing.


However, embracing such an ‘un-Australian’ style of accommodation would clearly require a fundamental shift in attitude.


But if we don’t make this shift, many younger Australians may find their quality of life greatly diminished, as more and more of their pay goes towards servicing massive mortgages, paying inflated rents, and simply getting to and from work.

Sunday, May 14, 2017

Arizona Passes Bill To End Income Taxation On Gold And Silver

Sound money advocates scored a major victory on Wednesday, when the Arizona state senate voted 16-13 to remove all income taxation of precious metals at the state level. The measure heads to Governor Doug Ducey, who is expected to sign it into law.


Under House Bill 2014, introduced by Representative Mark Finchem (R-Tucson), Arizona taxpayers will simply back out all precious metals “gains” and “losses” reported on their federal tax returns from the calculation of their Arizona adjusted gross income (AGI).


If taxpayers own gold to protect themselves against the devaluation of America’s paper currency, they frequently end up with a “gain” when exchanging those metals back into dollars. However, this is not necessarily a real gain in terms of a gain in actual purchasing power. This “gain” is often a nominal gain because of the slow but steady devaluation of the dollar.  Yet the government nevertheless assesses a tax.


Sound Money Defense League, former presidential candidate Congressman Ron Paul, and Campaign for Liberty helped secure passage of HB 2014 because "it begins to dismantle the Federal Reserve’s monopoly on money" according to JP Cortez, an alumnus of Mises University.


Ron Paul noted, “HB 2014 is a very important and timely piece of legislation. The Federal Reserve’s failure to reignite the economy with record-low interest rates since the last crash is a sign that we may soon see the dollar’s collapse. It is therefore imperative that the law protect people’s right to use alternatives to what may soon be virtually worthless Federal Reserve Notes.” In early March, Dr. Paul appeared before the state Senate committee that was considering the proposal.


“We ought not to tax money, and that’s a good idea. It makes no sense to tax money,” Paul told the state senators. “Paper is not money, it’s a substitute for money and it’s fraud,” he added, referring to the fractional-reserve banking practiced by the Federal Reserve and other central banks.


After the committee voted to pass the bill on to the full body of the Senate, Dr. Paul held a rally on the grounds of the state legislature, congratulating supporters of the measure and of sound money.


Paul told the crowd that “they were on the right side of history” and that even though those working to restore constitutional liberty to Arizona and all the states “had a great burden to bear,” there are “more than you know” working toward the same goal.


Referring to the bill’s elimination of capital gains taxes on gold and silver, the sponsor of the bill, State Representative Mark Finchem, said, “What the IRS has figured out at the federal level is to target inflation as a gain. They call it capital gains.”


Shortly after the vote in the state Senate, the Sound Money Defense League, an organization working to bring back gold and silver as America"s constitutional money, issued a press release announcing the good news.


“Arizona is helping lead the way in defending sound money and making it less difficult for citizens to protect themselves from the inflation and financial turmoil that flows from the abusive Federal Reserve System,” said Stefan Gleason, the organization’s director


As a reminder, in 1813 Thomas Jefferson warned, “paper money is liable to be abused, has been, is, and forever will be abused, in every country in which it is permitted.” This is also why the men who drafted the Constitution empowered Congress to mint gold and silver, sound money, and why they included not a single syllable authorizing the legislature to "surrender that critical power to a plutocracy with a penchant for printing fiat money."


Slowly, states may be summoning back the days when money was actually worth something. At least 20 states are currently considering doing as Arizona is about to do and remove the income tax on the capital gains from the buying and selling of precious metals: some state legislatures, including Utah and Idaho, have taken steps toward eliminating income taxation on the monetary metals.  Other states are rolling back sales taxes on gold and silver or setting up precious metals depositories to help citizens save and transact in gold and silver bullion. 

Monday, May 8, 2017

April Was Cruel… To The US Treasury

Submitted by Nicholas Colas of Convergex


April Was Cruel… To the US Tre


Our monthly review of tax data from the US Treasury’s Daily Statement shows three important points.  First, overall employment and wage trends in the US are still on a solid footing.  Individual tax/withholding payments from salaried/hourly workers rose 4.5% year over year in April and are up 3.7% on a three month rolling average basis.  Second, April tax season was a bit of a bust for Treasury, with receipts down 5.7% from last year and at the lowest levels in 5 years. We attribute that to the delayed realization of capital gains in 2016, with asset owners deferring sales ahead of anticipated tax changes this year. That also explains a bit of the slow US equity trading volume and low volatility of 2017 – those asset owners still don’t know what the new tax code may bring and may be continuing to defer sales.  Lastly, “Gig economy” tax receipts (not withheld, but paid directly by the worker) show this post-Financial Crisis labor market phenomenon is on the wane, down 5.5% in Q1 2017 after a 4.8% decline in Q4 2016.


April is to the US Treasury what Christmas is to retailers: the busiest and most profitable time of the year.  In 2016, for example, the Treasury’s Internal Revenue Service took in $193 billion in payments from individuals as a result of the usual April deadline for filing personal taxes.  By comparison the IRS took in only $15 billion in the month before and $12 billion the month after from taxpayers sending their remittances to the US government.


Last month, however, was not so good to the US Treasury. “Individual Income and Employment Taxes, Not Withheld” (the Treasury line item for receipts outside the customary withholding process) were down 5.7% year over year to $182 billion. Moreover, this is the lowest April haul since 2012. The April tax receipts of 2013 to 2016 ran between $193 billion (2014) to $219 billion (2015). This year’s receipt totals are far from those.



That should seem strange to you.  After all, virtually all asset prices have risen in the past 5 years.  Stocks, bonds, real estate… Everything is higher.  And when individuals sell those assets, they need to pay the capital gains tax as part of their annual April true-up with the US Government.


My explanation: asset owners are deferring sales while they wait for the details of Washington’s new tax plans. Why sell an asset (unless you have to) if you think the tax code might change in your favor?  Better to wait – especially if asset prices are in an uptrend – and see what develops.


I have been writing a lot about US equity market volatility this week, and it strikes me that this phenomenon might have a role in creating the current low-vol environment.  Since the details of the President’s proposals to change the tax code are still not public, asset owners may be continuing to defer sales in the hopes of better tax treatment down the road.  It is a sort of “Sellers’ strike”, where individuals with capital gains in equities are waiting for a new (and hopefully more capital-friendly) tax code before selling stock.


On the plus side of things, the same report we use for the tax receipt analysis (Treasury’s Daily Statement, https://www.fms.treas.gov/dts/index.html) shows that the US labor market is still humming along.  Looking at “Withheld Income and Employment Taxes” – the amounts deducted from employee paychecks every cycle – we see that April receipts were up 4.5% from last year and +3.7% on a three month rolling average.



Withheld tax receipts are a function of the number of people employed and wage levels, so a positive comparison shows underlying strength in the labor market.  Yes, there is a mix issue here.  The top 10% of wage earners may be taking most of the wage gains and therefore paying those to Treasury in their regular withholding.  Even still, the annual increases in withholding to Treasury have been remarkably stable (see attached charts in the PDF link above) at +4-10% since 2013, mirroring the growth in overall US employment.


Even as the overall US labor market has improved over the last year, one group seems to be left behind: those individuals who work in the “Gig economy”.  These workers pay Social Security/Medicare taxes just like those “Employed” by companies, but their remittances to Treasury tell a different story from the withholding data we described in the prior point.


For the first quarter of 2017, tax payments by self-employed/contract workers to Treasury were down 5.5%.  In Q4 2016, they were down 4.8%. Compare that to the growth in withholding/tax payments for payroll workers, and you see the problem.  One group is seeing growth in total wages (people employed times wages earned); the other is not.


Now, it could be that as the US economy has strengthened in the last year those previously in the “Gig” workforce have transitioned to traditional employment.  A few points here:


  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics has not done a study on “Gig economy” workers since 2005, so they are not much help in understanding the possible migration of workers between formal and “Gig” employment. Their work at that time showed “Contingent workers” represented 2-4% of the US labor force.  In addition, about 7% were “independent contractors”.  The BLS plans to update their findings with a study to take place this month.  Read the BLS piece here: https://www.bls.gov/careeroutlook/2016/article/what-is-the-gig-economy.h...

  • If workers are transitioning from “Gig” to traditional employment, they may still do occasional outside work as a means to augment their income and preserve their options; this trend should be visible in the BLS data. In fact, the number of Americans who report holding multiple jobs has started to rise in the last year. As of March 2017, 5.3% of the US workforce has more than one job, up from 5.0% a year ago. That is the highest reading since before the Financial Crisis.

  • Interest in typical “Gig Economy” jobs seems to be on the wane. Looking at the data from Google Trends, US searches for “Gig jobs”, “Uber driver”, “Delivery driver”, “Freelance work”, and “Online job” are all either flat or slightly down over the past year.

  • The one area of incremental interest: searches for “Work from home” were up 50% in 2016 from 2015.

  • McKinsey did an excellent study, published in October 2016, about the Gig economy in the US and Europe if that is a topic of interest for you: http://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/employment-and-growth/independent-work-choice-necessity-and-the-gig-economy.

In summary, the tax data we’ve reviewed sheds some useful light on a few critical capital markets questions.  First, the US labor market is still strong. It is proving strong enough, in fact, to pull “Gig” workers back into the salaried labor force. Second, lower April tax payments highlight the possibility that asset owners are reluctant to sell appreciated assets such as stocks until they know the details of any revision to the tax code.  This will likely continue until either equities become more volatile or changes in the tax code are clearly on their way to becoming law.


While the tax data we’ve reviewed here is not typically part of the econometric toolbox used to analyze the US economy, it does provide an independent take on key issues. Who says there’s nothing good about taxes?

Thursday, April 27, 2017

Tiny Trump Hands Deliver Teeny Tiny Tax Plan, US Stocks Collapse in Despair

The big announcement of the really, really big Trump Tax Plan with the “biggest tax cuts in history” came out bigly on Wednesday, as Trump promised. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn, Trump’s latest tax team, beamed proudly as they presented their baby. The stock market took a deep breath, then  looked at their brainchild and completely petered out.

First, let me say, I clearly have nothing to recant from my earlier predictions about Trump’s tax plan. The plan that came out looks almost exactly as I thought it would — the only difference being that it is far more pathetic.


Some news organizations, getting a little ahead of themselves, talked about the US stock market taking off because of the Trump tax plan when the market first got wind that the plan had been released and heard some of the key points:




Once again, investors appear to be placing the bet that Good Donald Trump will be great for the market and that Bad Trump won’t be all that horrible. That was on display on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared more than 230 points after it was reported that the White House’s tax plan, whose broad outlines will be announced on Wednesday, will propose cutting corporate tax rates to 15 percent, a Trump campaign pledge that many thought the president was backing away from. (Newsmax)




Ah, but that was this afternoon, and now it is the evening after the market plunged as steeply as it soared (and twice as far) to finish the day with the Dow slightly down from its pre-tax open — a sign of a mercurial market that was, for an instant pleased, until it started to feel a little indigestion from consuming its dinner too quickly. At that point, it barfed up all its gains for the day and went to bed sour.


What the White House billed in its release as “the biggest tax cut in history” rapidly turned into digestive gas. As I speculated earlier in the day, no real plan was released. Just gas. Once again the Trumpet blew his horn loudly (probably from his back side) as he released the big plan, and then his team turned out a summary statement, devoid of any details or calculations.



Here is my own summary of the Greatly Trumped-up Tax Plan:



  • The plan will eliminate estate taxes, which only the wealthiest Americans now play, helping Trump and family considerably in the future, but most of you not one iota. (This is a cut 100% for the rich, but it makes things equitable.)

  • The White House compensates for this by saying some other tax breaks that help the rich will be eliminated so that the plan would largely help the middle class; only, as usual, it doesn’t specify what those “other” current tax breaks are that will be eliminated. (So, read that as, “Just trust us on this one.”)

  • The new, new New Trump Tax Plan contains no math to show how much of a deficit the new plan will create, but co-creator Cohn offers assurances that the tax cuts “will pay for themselves” through economic growth and that the president knows we have to “be good stewards.” (“Just trust us on that one.”)

  • The plan comes with Cohn’s personal assurance that the president “will get this done for the American people.” (I feel better knowing that assurance is still being offered as it was in past months. I do note, though, that missing their stated and revised schedules during those months now leaves them simply assuring us it will still get down, but without anymore undoable deadlines.)

  • Corporate taxes will fall from 36.9% to 15%. (That will include closely held businesses and limited partnerships, like legal firms, construction companies in the oil industry, and … real-estate companies, where business income largely passes through to the owners (sometimes the family) so the business does not pay the tax but the owner does when the money passes through. (In other words, the bulk of Trump’s income tax — and his children’s — will drop from 35% to 15%, except that the plan comes with a footnote that this will be done in such a way as to insure that wealthy Americans do not exploit the change. So, we’re good!)

  • The plan reduces the number of tax brackets to three simple levels (10, 25, and 35 percent), and states the tax rate of each bracket. (Unfortunately, it omits stating what income levels will apply to each bracket.)

  • The plan comes with a note that details will be hashed out with the House of Representatives and the Senate in coming weeks. (Maybe months? Like the Obamacare repeal details got hashed out … of existence?)

  • “We know this is difficult,” Cohn said. “We know what we’re asking for is a big bite.” (That’s a plus because with Obamacare, “who could have thought it would be this difficult?” At least, now they’ve learned it is difficult. They have learned something on the job, so we can feel good about having a smarter team.)

  • It does help some of the middle-class by doubling the standard deduction for married couples, and it maintains the allowance for charitable deductions, and it says it will allow tax relief for childcare expenses (though, again, without any details).

  • The plan promises to alienate anyone who lives in a state with high state income taxby making state income tax no longer deductible. (No help if you’re not in such a state, and a bite in the butt if you are; but the plan softens this news by noting that this effects higher income people the most — well, yeah, the ones unlike Romney and Trump who have been known to pay no state income tax.)

  • The plan simplifies tax code (albeit it doesn’t tell us how, just that it WILL). This will presumably happens when congress actually sits down to create the plan with laws under Trump’s instruction that the laws be more simple. (Trust us on that one, even though everything we’ve simplified so far has been ruled unconstitutional in a court of law or died in debate.)

  • Repatriated corporate profits will get a one-time major tax reduction, but all profits made overseas after that will be completely tax free for years to come! (That’s a glory-hallelujah! Well, except for the detail that the tax rate for repatriation is omitted. But, hey, at least they’re thinking about it! And they’re gonna do something! Those cuts will be the “biggest in history!” We just don’t get to know how big until they figure that out. Details.)

  • One thing that is NOT mentioned in the Trumped-up Tax Plan is capital gains tax. If the lack of mention means there will no longer be a special capital-gains tax rate, the elimination of that gift, which goes largely to rich stock and real-estate speculators who can pay to play in that realm, is something I will like. (But the plan doesn’t say one way or another, and you can be sure Republicans will insist on putting that objectionable trickle-down part in as details are “hashed out.”)

Fine print: “details to be determined.”



Wouldn’t you know it? The one part where the devil always rests is still cloaked under a sheet to be revealed at some vague later date.


Written on all of one side of one page, the newly Trumped-up Tax Plan looks like a scheme worked out by a couple of guys in a paneled club room, smoking cigars over whisky on the rocks and deciding what sounds “great.” That’s clearly why the US stock market plunged once the cigar smoke cleared so investors could actually see the Trumped-up Tax Plan … and the napkin it was written on. How pathetic is that plan when it gives the “biggest tax cuts in history” all aimed at pumping up the stock market, and all its coming-out accomplishes is to cause the stock market to slump in disappointment? Talk about an anti-climax.


I think Trump announced, “We’re going to present our tax plan on Wednesday,” and his two tax boys said, “Yikes, we better get the plan laid out. Let’s meet tonight after work for drinks and draw something up, and then we’ll give it one of our secretaries to make it look nice.”


Where we got Trumped on this plan was in thinking a plan might actually be coming out today!


Hah! Silly us! It’s more of a promissory note, really. I’ve seen footnotes larger than this plan. What we got today was, again, nothing more than just talk! Talk about what Team Trump WILL do … whenever it is that it finally does it. They’ve managed to finish a one-page outline. I think the market rose when it heard general statements about the plan, then plunged all the way to closing when it saw that it was written with lots of white space and NO detail on one page. What the market first thought were summary statements introducing the plan, actually are the plan. Great work for your first hundred days, Boys!


Read my last article, “You Got Trumped! Trump tax plan taxing for the maestro of negotiation?” and you’ll see I sure called this one. If there is anything that has gotten to be predictable about Trump, it’s that he’s all talk all the time. He’s appropriately named after his loud and brassy mouth. Now, if he can just get his band of merry boys to orchestrate a tune. Trump promised the plan would be beautiful, and it is that; it’s written on a lovely piece of paper — very high quality like the menu at Mar-A-Lago — in an attractive font. It’s a thing of beauty. You should see it. Really, you should see it. I think it even has a picture of chocolate cake on it!



Here is the actual plan if you want to read something truly pathetic after months of waiting:



It’s so full of vague platitudes or catch phrases that it’s practically a tax cliché.



Goals for Tax Reform


? Grow the economy and create millions of jobs


? Simplify our burdensome tax code


? Provide tax relief to American families—especially middle-income families


? Lower the business tax rate from one of the highest in the world to one of the lowest


Individual Reform


? Tax relief for American families, especially middle-income families:


• Reducing the 7 tax brackets to 3 tax brackets of 10%, 25% and 35%


• Doubling the standard deduction


• Providing tax relief for families with child and dependent care expenses


? Simplification:


• Eliminate targeted tax breaks that mainly benefit the wealthiest taxpayers


• Protect the home ownership and charitable gift tax deductions


• Repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax


• Repeal the death tax


? Repeal the 3.8% Obamacare tax that hits small businesses and investment income


Business Reform


? 15% business tax rate


? Territorial tax system to level the playing field for American companies


? One-time tax on trillions of dollars held overseas


? Eliminate tax breaks for special interests


Process


Throughout the month of May, the Trump Administration will hold listening sessions with stakeholders to receive their input and will continue working with the House and Senate to develop the details of a plan that provides massive tax relief, creates jobs, and makes America more competitive—and can pass both chambers.”




If you voted for Donald Trump, you got trumped

Trumped you!




In other words, it is a plan to start creating a plan!


And you thought I was just joking about how vague and utterly deplete of details this so-called plan is! After six months of poring over the details and laboring late into the nights, this fourth rendition of Trump’s plan is not that different from what he presented during the campaign, and it’s equal in depth of thought and detail to the kind of outline you come up with after a day of brainstorming and sorting out the the most-liked ideas.


Now that Team Trump has done all the heavy lifting, it falls to congress to turn this masterplan into months of argument and volumes of law.


I knew it was going to be pathetic; I didn’t know it was going to be deplorable.