Showing posts with label hope. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hope. Show all posts

Friday, January 19, 2018

Selco: Who Survives and Who Dies When the SHTF?

This article was originally published by Daisy Luther at The Organic Prepper


city-catastrophe-disaster


Did you ever wonder about the differences in how people behave in a crisis? Why some people survive and some people die? Are there characteristics that we can nurture now in good times that could help see us through bad times?


I’d talked with Selco previously about who lives and who doesn’t in a long-term emergency, and a great determiner is a flexible mindset. In this interview, we go deeper into who can withstand the stress of an SHTF event and who crumbles. Today he shares his insights from the Balkan War.


What were the worst mental stressors during the situation in Bosnia that are probably common in many long-term scenarios?


Obviously, it was a situation when violence was very widely used and in a sporadic way ( very often without any logic) so people lived under constant physical threat, and also in very poor condition.


On first look that was mental stressors, but this part or field of survival is in my opinion very important and commonly overlooked in prepper community, and there is much more to it.


It is a huge topic, but we can touch on some of this in the article. I researched it a lot. A few factors were important, and will be important in any future collapse event:


#1) Loss of control


If you are living a normal average life with your family, you have a job, kids go to school, you go to the physician when you are sick, kids eat their favorite foods.


There are police for problems, there is law and order, everybody knows its place more or less.


You feel that you are in control of your life and lives of your family.


And then one day all that is gone. You find yourself in the world where very often things of life and death are a matter of pure coincidence or luck if you like, or a matter of event. For example, is there going to rain that day for enough water?


People had a very hard time of dealing with it, you can be prepared very well to some extent, but also you need to be prepared that for a number of things (big number) you are simply not in control anymore.


#2) Hopelessness


Hopelessness is the big word when it comes to survival, and from my experience, it is hard to beat it.


A survival event that lasts for few days, even a week or two, is like a camping trip, something like people go together, share food, help, there are nights spent next to lamps, violence is possible but not widespread because people see that event gonna last only for week or two.


Some people gonna take chance and do violence or stealing but the majority is gonna keep it together to the end of SHTF.


Events that last for month or two are harder, more violence and harder time, but still, people see that everything gonna go back to normal.


When you are thrown into an event that looks (or you think ) like it is gonna be a permanent or very prolonged condition, rules change.


From one side you have people that are not gonna be so nice and helpful to each other simply because they see this is gonna last and they gonna be forced to fight for resources and from the other side you gonna have hopelessness.


Most humans need to see cause in order to operate on the proper way, or in other words, in hard conditions people need to see ‘light“ no matter how far it is, otherwise, you might just mentally “surrender“ because it is hopeless to push on.


#3) Re-setting of the values


In normal life, you are, for example, lawyer or clerk, or teacher, or famous writer and then one day the world collapses (let say because of EMP).


In 20 days you find out that you are living in the world where you are valuable if you can quickly and efficiently chop the trees, or pickle vegetables, or repair weapons, or invent a setup to charge car batteries, or simply shoot from the rifle.


I am not saying a teacher or writer is useless in SHTF, but values are “re-set“ and simply if you do not have any immediate useful skills you’ll be forced to learn it, and you’ll be forced to understand that your values (knowledge and skills) that you had prior collapse simply may not be valuable anymore.


People had problems with this new “value system“.


#4) Responsibility


People have responsibilities in normal time taking care of their families. Those responsibilities are still there when some serious collapse come but because the system is out, all help is out too.


For example, you are responsible for you old mother who has high blood pressure problem and there is no doctor anymore, there is no medicine. There is no help from the system for your kid who has special needs, for example.


You realize that everything is up to you.


Some people simply could not take that. People could not watch their sick kids because they could not help them.


Some people would simply “surrender“ or leave everything.


#5) Bending the rules


Most interesting is actually how people would (or not) bend the rules that they had prior to the collapse.


A majority of us live by some rules (mental and moral rules) that tells us what is right and what is wrong.


It is wrong to steal, it is wrong to harm people. It is right to take care of sick and elderly.


When SHTF you’ll be in a position to “bend“ these rules, simply because you’ll be faced with lot of tough decisions and choices.


For example is it right to steal from others if that means my kid’s not gonna be hungry or die from infection?


Is it OK to harm other people because of that?


How are you gonna mentally live with that?


I am not advocating anything here, and I cannot give you suggestions but be sure that you’ll have to bend the rules, and that you gonna be faced with tough decisions.


It is up to you how much you gonna bend it.


All of the factors mentioned above are examples, and usually, you meet all of them more or less, and in combinations.


What kind of person tended to do better when everything went belly up?


First, we need to formulate a definition of “person who tended to do better when everything went belly up.”


I know people who were powerful in that time because they had manpower, a role in the black market, for example, they’d sell baby formula to people (sometimes mixed with plaster), or simply rob the people.


When war stopped they ended up very powerful and they are still (years after) very powerful.


But they are not in my definition of normal people.


We are talking now about ordinary folks, and I use the term “small circle“ when describing how to live in those times.


You need to mentally adapt to the fact that you’re gonna have to overcome some serious problem, but what is more important you need to adapt to the fact that some of the problems cannot be solved, some people will not survive, and you still will have to move on.


That small circle is your family or your group, and while the world outside is falling apart that does not mean your family needs to fall apart. You will just have to adapt to the new world.


Many people survived hard times, some of them by doing bad things. Other survived but fell apart when they found themselves back in normal times.


One thing about who did mentally good in that times is that people who had support from other people (family, friends) in that time went good.


It is very hard to be alone during events like that, especially if it is prolonged, of course, because obvious reasons for example security reasons (guarding home) or simply resources gathering. But when it comes to the mental aspect you need to have support from trusted people (just like they gonna need that support from you) otherwise resetting the values from topic above is much harder, or hopelessness  will kick you harder, or simply bending the rules may kick you in a way that you bend the rules too much, and at the end  turn yourself  in something that is more animal then human. 


Do you remember any stories you can tell about specific people who thrived?


Ordinary folks usually did not thrive. We all dragged ourselves through that way-too-long period feeling lucky if we were alive, with all parts of the body still there, and with families alive.


Everything else was day by day.


I remember this guy, I’ll call him Ed here, he was the man with information.


You need to know that it was complete information blackout, and even if you could somewhere find radio most of the stuff that you heard on it (on local languages)  was pure propaganda junk.


When you find yourself cut off from real information, all that you’re gonna have is a whole bunch of rumors and misinformation, and only then you realize how bad we people are used to having information.


I cannot even remember what kind of ridiculous information I have heard in that times, and I believed in many of them because I kinda needed to believe in that.


I have heard (and believed) probably 100 times that peace is coming in 3 days, or new big UN convoy with food for everybody coming to the city tomorrow, big enemy movements there.


People need to know. It is human nature.


And during very hard times people are simply ready to believe in a lot of things that look like clear nonsense in normal times.


Note: have a means to communicate with other people, CB, radio, satellite phone, ham radio.  To hear correct information, it is valuable because of many reasons, and also it is mentally very valuable


Ed was the guy who spread rumors-informations-news, and people would give him food for that information.


I believe we all deep in ourselves knew that it is probably just rumor, but “Ed said yesterday“ was some kind of information, something to talk about, something to hope for.


Ed survived alone whole event (pretty rare) thanks to the fact that “he had information.”


What kind of person suffered the most?


Survival is about being able to adapt to new things, and those new things are bad mostly.


There are many factors here that are influencing how you gonna mentally cope with collapse. A few of those are:



  • how prepared you are (how many preps you have like food, water, medicines…)

  • how many usable skills you have (natural remedies knowledge, gardening, technical skills, fighting skills…)

  • how dependent you are of the system (you are living in city apartment building or in small rural communities)

  • what kind of group (or family) you have around you, what kind of skills those people have, how close (trusted) those people are…


These are just a few examples, and even if you have everything above you still need to have mental strength.


Or in other words, you may be perfectly prepared survivalist when SHTF just to find that you are falling apart mentally because this new situation is simply not for you.


In my case (I am talking about people who were not preppers at all) people who suffered most were people who failed to recognize the new rules.


We had (in that time, in my family) college professor, man that was pretty important in normal times. Students were kinda trembling when they use to see him.


When SHTF he mentally fell apart and become useless because he felt that suddenly he become nobody, completely unimportant.


Every scum with a rifle was more important than him.


It is not about that we could not find a use for him, it is about fact that he was “plugged“ so heavily in the system and when that system was gone he felt there was no sense to anything.


He did not want to try to be useful in any other ways.


One definition would be that people who are “plugged“ or depended too much on the system had worst time when system disappeared (SHTF).


What are some things that can help a person who is having a difficult time during a crisis?


I mentioned that you need to have support from other people, but also you need to have peace of mind.


It is easier said then it is done, but yes, faith and religion, or kind of spiritual-mental order helps a lot.


I cannot say that religious people had less hard times, but I am sure that religious people went more peacefully through that hard time because it helps you to make sense of everything.


Personally, I had kinda “philosophy“ over the time that went something like “I’ll do whatever I can, and the rest is not in my hands anyway.“


Over the times it grew into “It will be whatever it has to be.“ It worked for me at that time.


It sounds simple, but this philosophy helped me through some of the hardest periods because I understood that I can do only “this“ amount of effort, but there were so many things that were way out of my control, and way random. If I worried too much about it I might lose my mind.


It worked for me then, but remember that I was not prepared. Preppers today are more prepared, and by combining that prepping with peace of mind, it makes even more sense.


Remember that you need to find sense in life when SHTF. You need to have reasons to push on and on.


God, faith, kids, love… you need to have some reason and to stick to it.


It can be things like teaching others about herbs, or food growing.


If you do not have good reasons you either end up dead because you stop caring, or simply you turn to an animal just following the most primitive instincts.


What are the things that made people feel better and helped recapture some normalcy?


I have to say that drugs and heavy alcohol drinking were in use very much, but not as a mean to recapture normalcy, it was more to get lost – to forget reality.


You need to have a “vent“- it is different for different people. As I said, for a lot of people it was alcohol or drugs, for me it did not do the complete job and often it was dangerous to get “lost“ in times like that.


It was very usual to see people smoking marijuana, people who never even heard of it prior the SHTF.


For me, two things were like “charging my mental batteries“ – music and reading.


Music was rare, and it was actually if you stumble on someone who plays guitar, reading was more available, and for me, it was like I was still there but I had escaped to a better place while reading or listening music.


In some bad situations I did find myself singing songs, maybe I  looked retarded in that moment because that, but actually it helped.


When you are dirty, hungry, frightened for security, worried for your family, and when all that goes for months, you need something that gonna make you feel fine for some time, not to forget all troubles (like with heavy drinking or drugs maybe) but more like to push all worries aside for a bit.


Note: do not mix alcohol abuse with fact that it is a great idea to store alcohol for SHTF. Have alcohol for a trade, or drink, but do not try to solve heavy times with alcohol abuse, it does not work.


Small snacks, like candies, are precious things as a mental help.


Check today what kind of small things comfort you when you are down or having problems, and count that when SHTF those small things will probably comfort you 10 times more.


Are there specific personality traits that we can focus on now which would help us through a situation like this? 


A sense of humor!


In that time friend with a good sense of humor for me was worth like 5 rifles or 50 MRE.


A good sense of humor is an important survival skill and often overlooked. I am not joking.


And storytelling.


We had in our family old man who was guerilla fighter during WW2, and he combined both of these qualities.


In hard times, when we were more or less desperate he would tell us stories of his fighting in WW2 – how they fled from the Nazis, how they starved, how they froze in the woods.


And over the time it helped. For example, one of us would comment “Oh, there is only one can[of food] today for 5 of us“ and then he would say “Oh, you wimps, it is piece of cake, during the WW2 in the German encirclement I ate my shoe for a week.“


And for whatever hard time in our SHTF, he would have a story of “Oh, you wimps, during the WW2 I…“


Over time it became partly a joke, but also partly a serious thing.


Even between each other, when we saw it is a hard situation, we would joke “S..t, this is bad, we are in serious trouble now, call grandpa with one of his “oh, you wimps, during the WW2“ stories.


That old guy knew exactly what kind of mental relief we needed – joking and storytelling how someone else had hard times and how he managed to survive.


He had a sense of humor, a gift for storytelling, and he had spirit.


Thanks to him I grew the habit of using humor in hard situations.


More articles from Selco:


Stories from an SHTF Christmas: An Interview with Selco


Selco: How to Stay Warm During a Long-Term SHTF Situation


More information about Selco


Selco survived the Balkan war of the 90s in a city under siege, without electricity, running water, or food distribution.


In his online works, he gives an inside view of the reality of survival under the harshest conditions. He reviews what works and what doesn’t, tells you the hard lessons he learned, and shares how he prepares today.


He never stopped learning about survival and preparedness since the war. Regardless what happens, chances are you will never experience extreme situations like Selco did. But you have the chance to learn from him and how he faced death for months.


Real survival is not romantic or idealistic. It is brutal, hard and unfair. Let Selco take you into that world.


Read more of Selco’s articles here: https://shtfschool.com/blog/


And take advantage of a deep and profound insight into his knowledge and advice by signing up for the outstanding and unrivaled online course. More details here: https://shtfschool.com/survival-boot-camp/




The Pantry Primer


Please feel free to share any information from this article in part or in full, giving credit to the author and including a link to The Organic Prepper and the following bio.


Daisy Luther is the author of The Pantry Primer: A Prepper’s Guide To Whole Food on a Half Price Budget.  Her website, The Organic Prepper, offers information on healthy prepping, including premium nutritional choices, general wellness and non-tech solutions. You can follow Daisy on Facebook and Twitter, and you can email her at daisy@theorganicprepper.ca


Saturday, April 15, 2017

Does Hope Trump Reality?

Authored by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog,





“The real hopeless victims of mental illness are to be found among those who appear to be most normal.



“Many of them are normal because they are so well adjusted to our mode of existence, because their human voice has been silenced so early in their lives, that they do not even struggle or suffer or develop symptoms as the neurotic does.



"They are normal not in what may be called the absolute sense of the word; they are normal only in relation to a profoundly abnormal society. Their perfect adjustment to that abnormal society is a measure of their mental sickness. These millions of abnormally normal people, living without fuss in a society to which, if they were fully human beings, they ought not to be adjusted.”



-Aldous Huxley, Brave New World Revisited



The Fed’s balance sheet will not be growing unless we have another market crash.



  • GDP barely grew in the 1st quarter.

  • Stock valuations are at all-time highs.

  • The auto industry has begun to implode.

  • Corporate profits are falling.

  • Retailers are declaring bankruptcies and closing stores like we’re in the midst of a depression.

  • Wages for the average person are stagnant. Real household income is declining when using real inflation numbers.

Hope can work for awhile but it eventually runs head on into reality.



We are living in a hope driven, profoundly abnormal society. 





“Let me tell you something my friend. Hope is a dangerous thing. Hope can drive a man insane.”


-Red – The Shawshank Redemption



“Hope. It is the only thing stronger than fear. A little hope is effective. A lot of hope is dangerous. A spark is fine, as long as it’s contained.”


President Snow – Hunger Games



People don’t realize it, but danger is lurking just over the horizon.

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

This Won't End Well; Never Has

The worst trade deficit in five years is the latest example of "hard" data disappointment and decline - something that is dramatically different from the massive spike in "soft" survey data that we have been exposing for months. The reality-gap between the two - call it "animal spirits" - has never been bigger... and that gap has never been filled by real activity"s rise to hope.


Real economic activity has tumbled back to its weakest level since the election as surveys" hope soars near record highs.




Breaking down the data further shows that in fact the household has suffered the most even as surveys have soared on hope.




And for those that "believe" that the real economy will catch up to the "pretend" economy soon. Think again...




It never has - and stocks tend to follow the "hope" lower.

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Trump "Hope" Gap Nears 400 S&P Points

The trend in "actual" earnings has been dismal.. but the trend in "hope" has been exceptional. Will hope prove right?




The gap between "history" and "hope" is now almost 400 S&P points (and almost 5,000 Dow points) - With VIX heading towards single-digits, the market seems very sure that earnings will realize the "hope" in a straight line.

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Reports of Great Barrier Reef’s Death Have Been ‘Greatly Exaggerated’

New images of the Great Barrier Reef show that rising water temperatures have severely damaged the world’s largest reef system, which stretches for over 1,400 miles off the coast of Australia. [1]

How bad is it? Hmm. It depends on who you ask.

One scientist who visited the reef said that “if it was a person, it would be on life support.”




Last week, Outside Magazine reported that the Great Barrier Reef had “passed away in 2016 after a long illness.” Well, it’s not dead, but some researchers say it’s just barely hanging on. [2]


In May, researchers found that more than 1/3 of the coral in northern and central parts of the reefs was dead, and 93% of individual reefs had been affected by coral bleaching. [1]


When the water gets too warm, corals expel zooxanthellae algae living in their tissues, causing the coral to turn completely white. Corals can survive bleaching, but it puts them under great stress and makes them more likely to die. [3]


The algae provide about 90% of the coral’s energy. Without it, the coral eventually starves to death. [2]


Scientists say the problem is getting worse.


Amanda McKenzie, CEO of the Australian Climate Council, said:


“After the bleaching event in May, 60 per cent of what we saw was bleached very white. Another 19-20 per cent was covered in sludgy brown algae. Even of what remained healthy, some looked a bit on edge.


When we went back a few weeks ago to see if they had recovered or died, quite a large proportion had died.” [1]


McKenzie estimated that approximately half of the bleached corals they visited had died, and that the bleaching had mostly affected delicate corals rather than the stronger “brain corals.”


McKenzie and her colleagues also found fewer species of fish around the reef.




Professor Tim Flannery said that coral he visited in September was “bleached and in danger a few months back has now mostly died.”


image-coralbleaching-large-710
Click for larger version.

He added:


“On top of that we’ve seen a whole lot of new damage, a whole lot of white coral out there that’s been killed by Crown of Thorns starfish because it was too weak to defend itself. If it [the reef] were a person, it would be on life support.”


Russell Brainard, chief of the Coral Reef Ecosystem Program at NOAA’s Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, said it’s unfortunate that Outside Magazine posted a premature obituary for the reef, because it can make people who don’t know any better lose hope and think that nothing else can be done. [2]


Terry Hughes, director of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, agreed. He said:


“The message should be that it isn’t too late for Australia to lift its game and better protect the Great Barrier Reef, not we should all give up because the Great Barrier Reef is supposedly dead.”


More than Half is Still Living


But despite all the dire warnings and concerning discoveries by researchers who have visited the Great Barrier Reef, the truth is that more than half of it is still alive. Brainard said that “These natural systems do have some ability to be resilient and bounce back.”


Source: National Geographic - A healthy section of the Great Barrier Reef
Source: National Geographic – A healthy section of the Great Barrier Reef

In March 2015, the Australian government unveiled its Reef 2050 Plan to help save the Great Barrier Reef. The plan includes improving water quality to help corals recover from bleaching. Rerouting boats around the reef, limiting fertilizer and sewage runoff that damages coral, and avoiding overfishing key animals that eat excessive algae can also save the Great Barrier Reef.


The only drawback of the plan is that improving water quality will cost $8.2 billion in the next decade, 10 times what the local and federal governments currently spend.


Sources:


[1] The Telegraph


[2] The Verge


[3] National Ocean Service


National Geographic


Storable Food


About Julie Fidler:


Author Image
Julie Fidler is a freelance writer, legal blogger, and the author of Adventures in Holy Matrimony: For Better or the Absolute Worst. She lives in Pennsylvania with her husband and two ridiculously spoiled cats. She occasionally pontificates on her blog.

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Weird: Toyota to Sell “Companion Robot” Next Year for the Lonely

Japanese car maker Toyota plans to sell a “companion robot” next year for about $400 in the hopes it will serve as a friend to lonely people. [1]

At just 4 inches tall, the robot – Kirobo Mini – speaks in a high-pitched baby voice, and will hit the market in Japan in 2017. [2]


Kirobo is a combination of the Japanese word for hope and robot. The Kirobo Mini is a tinier version of the original Kirobo, which Toyota joint-developed and blasted into space in 2013 alongside Koichi Wakata, the first Japanese astronaut to command the International Space Station. [3] [1]


The pint-sized robot can hold basic conversations while blinking its doe eyes and wagging its limbs. It comes with a “cradle” that can fit in a car’s cup holder, “helping it fulfill its role as a cuddly companion always on hand for heart-touching communication,” said Toyota. [3]


A cuddly robot?


Videos depict Kirobo entertaining children, chatting over tea with an elderly woman, and giving a pep talk to a new college graduate as she heads to a job interview.


The friendly gadget can even identify human emotions. If you’re feeling blue, Kirobo knows it, and it will ask you why you’re sad.


The video’s narrator says:


“As you live together, you will come to love and be kind towards the Kirobo Mini, just as it does to you.”


If you slam on the brakes suddenly in traffic, the pseudo-pal yells, “That was scary!”


The Kirobo Mini comes with a smartphone connection and a monthly 300 yen ($3) subscription fee. (Aren’t the best things in life free?) It comes equipped with a camera, microphone, and Bluetooth. [1] [2]




Unlike cats, Kirobo Mini responds when spoken to.


Fuminori Kataoka, general manager in charge of the project, said:


“Toyota has been making cars that have a lot of valuable uses. But this time we’re just pushing emotional value.” [2]


He went on to say that more people in Japan are now living alone, including the elderly and some singles, and they need someone…er, something…to talk to.


“This is not smart enough to be called artificial intelligence. This is about the existence of something you can talk to.


He wobbles a bit, and this is meant to emulate a seated baby, which hasn’t fully developed the skills to balance itself.


This vulnerability is meant to invoke an emotional connection.


A stuffed animal might not answer back, but people do talk to it, like my daughter once did. But if it talked back, wouldn’t that be better? And isn’t this better than talking to a box?”


In the United States, the concept of a robotic friend is still a bit odd and futuristic, but it’s fairly accepted in Japan.


Read: Intelligent Robot in Russia Makes 2nd Great Escape


In 2015, Japanese technology and telecom company Softbank Corp. introduced “Pepper,” a humanoid robot. The first 1,000 sold out right away; and so far, 10,000 Pepper robots have been sold in Japan. [2]


If you’re hoping to get your hands on a Kirobo Mini, you’re out of luck; there are no plans to sell the little robot outside of Japan.


Read: Meet Durus, the Swaggering Robot


But no worries; robotics experts at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology are about to launch Jibo, a robot that looks like a swiveling lamp. [2]


Sources:


[1] The Verge


[2] Sky News


[3] The Wall Street Journal


The Wall Street Journal


Storable Food


About Julie Fidler:


Author Image
Julie Fidler is a freelance writer, legal blogger, and the author of Adventures in Holy Matrimony: For Better or the Absolute Worst. She lives in Pennsylvania with her husband and two ridiculously spoiled cats. She occasionally pontificates on her blog.