Watch Live: May And Juncker Make Joint Statement, But "No Deal Today"

With the Irish border issue reportedly resolved, and the Brexit process suddenly progressing unexpectedly smoothly, Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker are set to make a joint statement momentarily, however for those expecting a formal announcement of a deal, don"t hold your breath because as a BBC correspondent just announced:

• NO DEAL TODAY FROM BREXIT TALKS: BBC

The news sent the pound tumbling:

Live feed below:

And here are the highlights:

• EU"S JUNCKER: WE HAD A FRIENDLY MEETING WITH UK"S MAY


• EU"S JUNCKER SAYS IT WAS NOT POSSIBLE TO MAKE COMPLETE DEAL


• EU"S JUNCKER SAYS IT WILL REQUIRE FURTHER DISCUSSION


• EU"S JUNCKER SAYS WILL CONTINUE DISCUSSION WITH UK THIS WEEK


• EU"S JUNCKER SAYS CONFIDENT BREXIT PROGRESS POSSIBLE BY DEC. SUMMIT


• MAY SAYS HAD A CONSTRUCTIVE MEETING WITH THE EU


• MAY SAYS IT"S CLEAR EU, UK WANT TO MOVE FORWARD TOGETHER


• MAY SAYS WILL RECONVENE BEFORE THE END OF THE WEEK


• MAY SAYS SHE"S POSITIVE THEY WILL CONCLUDE THIS POSITIVELY

"No-One Knows What’s Going On Now": Britain, EU Fail To Reach Brexit Deal

There was a burst of hope this morning that after many repeated false starts, Theresa May and JC Juncker would finally announce a Brexit deal on Monday. Alas it was not meant to be and after a brief conference between the two leaders, we learned that despite progress, a Brexit deal "was not possible today."

According to the BBC"s Laura Kuenssberg, "it was the DUP call that sunk today"s chances of a deal - Foster held her press conf, 20 mins later May leaves talks with Juncker to call her, goes back into the room and the deal is off."

However it was another BBC reporter, Katya Adler, that had the best summary of today"s events: "No-one knows what’s going on now, one EU diplomat told me"

No-one knows what’s going on now, one EU diplomat told me #Brexit

— katya adler (@BBCkatyaadler) December 4, 2017

What we do know is that despite the lack of a deal, hope remains and speaking after talks between the UK and the European Commission’s negotiators, Jean-Claude Juncker said: “Despite our best effort and a significant effort, it was not possible to reach a complete agreement today” adding that "this is not a failure, this is the start of the very next round."

Juncker added that “we now have a common understanding on most relevant issues, with just two or three open for discussion. This will require further consultation, further negotiation and further discussion,” and that "we were narrowing our positions to a huge extent today thanks to the British prime minister, thanks to the willingness of the European Commission to have a fair deal with Britain."

In her first public press statement in Brussels alongside Juncker since the start of Brexit talks nine months ago, May chimed in: “I am confident we will conclude this positively" adding that “on a couple of issues, some issues remain which will require further negotiation and consultations. We will reconvene before the end of this week."

As reported earlier, talks had come unstuck over the Northern Irish border in recent weeks. Earlier in the day after government sources in Dublin said London had agreed to keep Northern Ireland “aligned” to EU regulations to avoid a “hard border” with the Irish Republic. Word of that sent the pound higher on hopes of rapid trade talks but according to Reuters, provoked an angry response from May’s allies in Northern Ireland, demanding equal treatment with the rest of the United Kingdom.

Underlining the conundrums of Brexit, the idea of Northern Ireland remaining closely linked to the EU single market prompted speculation that, to avoid new barriers between Belfast and London, the British mainland would have to follow suit.

The leaders of Scotland and London, which voted against Brexit, demanded they be allowed the same EU relationship as Northern Ireland. Yet May has ruled out such differentiated treatment or staying in a customs union or the single market.

* * *

So where do we stand after today"s chaos? Well, Juncker said that he is “very confident” the Brexit negotiations will achieve a breakthrough this week: “I’m very confident that we’ll reach an agreement in the course of this week,” the Commission president told reporters after his meeting with May.

“We now have a common understanding on most relevant issues, with just two or three open for discussion,” Juncker concluded.

The markets have taken Juncker"s optimism in stride: after sliding to day lows following news of the no deal, cable has recovered half the loss, and was last trading around 1.347.

Latest NAFTA Talks End In Disappointment As Attendees Question Lack Of U.S. Engagement

President Trump has threatened a quick termination of NAFTA a countless number of times, with the latest coming just last weekend via twitter:

We are in the NAFTA (worst trade deal ever made) renegotiation process with Mexico & Canada.Both being very difficult,may have to terminate?

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 27, 2017

Of course, like with most Trump deals, it"s often very difficult to differentiate between bombastic rhetoric utilized for establishing negotiating power and actual desired results.  According to Bloomberg, so far the speed of U.S. negotiations, led by Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, have failed to live up to the President"s rhetoric leaving many to question whether a "deal" is the desired outcome for this administration.

The latest Nafta talks are nearing conclusion without a major breakthrough or agreements on even the least-contentious topics, officials familiar with the negotiations say, fueling doubts among observers that a deal can be reached this year.

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer is scheduled to speak publicly alongside Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo and Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland Tuesday to conclude the second round of talks toward a new North American Free Trade Agreement. Their appearance will cap a five-day session in Mexico City.

While negotiators have made some progress, they have yet to agree on any major contentious issue and are far from a deal on individual Nafta chapters, the officials said, asking not to be identified discussing private matters. On some topics, discussion has been verbal with no specific text proposals submitted, they said.

The talks came after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened outright withdrawal from the agreement. While slow progress is normal in most trade negotiations, the nations have been seeking an unusually quick timeline for Nafta, and officials expressed doubt a deal could be reached by the target date of December. That sentiment is shared by many observers and stakeholders who say the U.S. has been slow in detailing its actual demands.

Meanwhile, folks from all sides attending negotiating sessions in Mexico City have been surprised by the lack of U.S. engagement with one trade strategist from Canada predicting that the earliest date for a possible deal would be February or March 2018.

David Wiens, a farmer and vice president of the Dairy Farmers of Canada, said he’s been surprised by the lack of written and firm policy proposals put forward by the U.S. government. That makes him believe it’s "a bit unrealistic" to get a deal by December.

"What we’re hearing on the ground here is the Americans have still not posted all the texts for the different chapters," Wiens said in an interview in Mexico City. "If there’s a strategy behind all of that, I’m certainly not recognizing it.”

"They can’t possibly finish. The Americans haven’t started negotiating yet," said Peter Clark, a trade strategist and former Canadian official. Jerry Dias, a Canadian labor leader, said he’d "be shocked if it gets done before Christmas."

Clark said the earliest possible date for a deal is February or March, and even then it would likely be an agreement-in-principle that wouldn’t be finalized until after Mexican and U.S. elections. "It’s not really a negotiation. What you have is a president who says he’s been robbed for years," Clark said. "He wants to break a contract without any penalty."

Finally, the most critical component of the NAFTA negotiations (or at least the component that gets all the media attention), auto manufacturing, apparently hasn"t even been touched yet. 

One key issue without a firm policy proposal is what threshold the U.S. is seeking for the so-called rules of origin on the auto sector -- the share of a vehicle that must be sourced within Nafta countries to receive the pact’s benefits. The current level is 62.5 percent and Dias said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross wants a "significantly" higher figure.

The auto threshold is "the heart of the American objective," said Flavio Volpe, president of the Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association in Canada. "Negotiators will be very careful before pegging a rate that would drive assessments of success or failure.

The outlook isn’t entirely gloomy. One official described a two-track process -- a political one dominated by Trump’s threats, and a more constructive and technocratic track with negotiators plodding forward in search of agreement.

So what say you?  Is this all a clever charade from a White House that has no real interest in negotiating and would rather withdraw from NAFTA altogether, or is it all just another sign of a woefully unprepared, chaotic administration?