Showing posts with label Daniel Hannan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Daniel Hannan. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Three Cheers For MEP Dan Hannan: Why Not A Better Brexit Deal For Everyone?

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,


The EU values political correctness more than jobs.


The result was a collapse in support for Angela Merkel, and the rise of AfD and FDP in Germany. Let’s not forget Marine Le Pen in France, Beppe Grillo in Italy, and the far right in Austria.


For the sake of political correctness, the EU is bound and determined to punish the UK for Brexit even though new studies suggest that a Hard Brexit Will hurt the EU More Than Britain.





The European Union will lose more than twice as many jobs as Britain after a hard Brexit, research by one of the world’s leading universities found as tough UK-EU divorce talks begin in Brussels.



Hard Brexit describes what will happen if the UK and EU fail to reach a divorce deal by 29 March 2019. Britain would revert to WTO tariffs on imports and exports to and from the EU rather than the zero tariffs afforded by membership of the bloc.



The return of tariffs to goods and services would cost 526,830 British jobs and 1.209 million jobs in the remaining 27 EU member states, according to researchers at Belgium’s University of Leuven, one of the top 50 global universities. The damage would lead to a 4.48% drop in UK GDP and 1.54% in EU GDP, researchers found.



Free Trade Benefits


As I have pointed out previously, a free trade agreement can fit on a napkin. Her is my proposal once again: “Effective immediately all subsidies and tariffs cease regardless of what any other nation does.”


The first nation that adopts that policy will see an enormous economic benefit.


Very few people fully understand free trade. Even fewer politicians understand free trade. One of the few who does understand is British MEP Daniel J Hannan.


In a Telegraph Op-Ed Hannan writes By embracing free trade, we can use Brexit to make everyone better off.


Free trade is actually between individuals, not nations.



The following caption is correct.



Institute for Free Trade


On September 27, Hannan launched the Institute for Free Trade (IFT).





We want to use Brexit to boost global commerce. We have an International Advisory Panel made up of statesmen who successfully pursued liberalisation in their own countries, from Spain’s José María Aznar to Australia’s Tony Abbott. Brexit, after all, shouldn’t just be about having an engaged and global Britain; it should be about reviving a stalled world trading system.



Why does such an institute need to exist? Largely because, however successful free trade has been in practice, it remains counterintuitive.



In rich countries, people fear being undercut by lower wages. In poor countries, conversely, they fear being overwhelmed by superior technology. Logically, these worries cannot both be justified; and, in truth, neither of them is. Free trade between a rich and a poor country, as between any two countries, benefits both.



Excellent Set of Hannan Tweets





















Better Deal For Everyone


Hannan’s last Tweet is my favorite of the group. Why not a better deal for everyone?


The EU is a customs union, not a free trade union. It promotes clean energy but puts tariffs and restrictions on solar panels and countless other items.


EU Hypocrites on Free Movement of Goods


Think goods move freely? Then think again. Please consider French Farmers Dump 90,000 Bottles Worth of Spanish Wine Because…Spanish!


EU Hypocrites on Free Movement of Services and Freedom of Establishment


In Germany, a license to bake cupcakes does not allow one to bake pretzels or donuts.


Freedom of movement is a downright lie. A prime case in point is Germany’s Apprenticeship System.





After 18 months of study, $2,200 in tuition and three exams, Ewa Feix is now permitted by German law to bake two variations of cupcakes.



“Not pretzels, not Black Forest gâteau, not bread,” said Ms. Feix, a Canadian who moved to Germany in 2009. Becoming a professional bread baker entails a three-year apprenticeship and more exams.



Germany’s thicket of rules and standards shields roughly 150 professions from competition, from ski instructors to well-diggers. Stiff fines await uncertified practitioners. German authorities conduct thousands of enforcement raids each year.



Ridiculous EU Rules


There are a lot of claims and counter-claims over Ridiculous EU Rules but Business Insider investigated. Here are the ones labeled true.


  1. Banana’s cannot be too bendy.

  2. It is illegal to claim water hydrates you on a bottle of water.

  3. Prunes cannot be promoted for a bowel function effect.

  4. Turnips cannot be labeled “swedes”, except in one place.

  5. Diabetics are banned from driving (passed but not enforced).

  6. Eggs cannot be sold by the dozen, they have to be sold by weight.

In regards to prunes, the EU ruled “The evidence provided is insufficient to establish a cause and effect relationship between the consumption of dried plums of ‘prune’ cultivars (Prunus domestica L.) and maintenance of normal bowel function.”


In regards to eggs, they can be packaged by the dozen, but the package has to include the weight. This is nothing but needless red tape.


The UK does not need any of this madness.


Fair Trade is Unfair


In response to every article like this one, I get slews of emails and comments along the lines of “I support fair trade”.


Such arguments are presented by people who want to drive up prices or protect their jobs at your expense.


Here is my counter-reply: Fair Trade is Unfair; In Praise of Cheap Labor; Are Bad Jobs at Bad Wages Better than No Jobs at All?


The unions howl they want “fair trade”. Fair to whom? The answer is fair to their self-interests, damn the enormous costs to everyone else.


China Doesn’t Play Fair!


Also consider Reflections and Reader Comments on Free Trade: “China Doesn’t Play Fair!”


My inbox and comment box are filled with reader comments and emails telling me “China doesn’t play fair”.


As part of that allegation, many point out Chinese pollution. I’ve written about that many times myself. Yes, it’s disgusting.


Let’s assume for a second that China is the one and only nation that plays unfair, or if you prefer plays the “most unfair.” Let’s also assume China subsidizes its manufacturers.


Who Benefits, Who Loses?


The logical conclusion of such an arrangement is the Chinese government is robbing its people for the express benefit of citizens of the United States.


There is no other logical conclusion. To subsidize exports, every person in China has to pay a cost, via taxation, pollution or both.


The winners are US consumers.


Reader Stuki eloquently explained the math in response to one of my free trade posts. He writes …





In order for a foreign government to subsidize one sector, it must necessarily pull the money from others, rendering them less competitive. Conversely, by subsidizing steel, the Chinese government is indirectly subsidizing each and every industry that uses steel as an input, in the US and elsewhere. While simultaneously taking that subsidy back from their home market companies, in order to pay for the steel subsidies.



So, the net result is the Chinese government subsidizing a low value add, albeit politically well connected, industry at home, while disproportionately subsidizing higher valued add industries abroad. Any way you look at it, it’s a better deal for foreigners than for the domestic Chinese. Which shouldn’t come as a surprise, because, as Friedman has pointed out, the Chinese government is taxing it’s own people, in order to pay for free gifts to foreigners.



If we would only be so lucky…… Of course, the Chinese collectively aren’t nearly stupid enough to not understand that. So the whole “subsidize” gift we’re supposed to be getting from China is, in reality, nothing more than the figment of some congressman-on-the-take’s imagination, planted there by the lobbyists for whatever LBO shop happens to have bought the steel maker that paid for his campaign.



Problems with Free Trade?


There are no problems with free trade, but there are two rules that prevent free trade.


  1. Every country wants free trade for exports

  2. No country wants free trade for imports

“Fair Trade” is a concoction by industries that seek or need protection via tariffs and import restrictions, to the damage of everyone else.


It is absurd to have everyone pay triple for underwear to “save 500 underwear manufacturing jobs” but that is precisely what the “fair trade” advocates seek.


Steel tariffs, Trump’s current hot button, constitute a similar story.


Steel tariffs may protect a small percentage of jobs in the steel industry (at best), but that is at the expense of auto manufacturing, fence manufacturing, etc. jobs, as prices rise everywhere else.


Fair Trade Irony


Finally, think of all the trucking, shipping, and shelf-stocking, and refueling jobs lost when trade slows because of protectionism.



Ultimately, the only “fair trade” is “free trade”.

Monday, June 12, 2017

Brexit Still Means Brexit! May's Mistake Not What Most Suggest

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,


Contrary to what many are saying, the Tory election debacle was not about Brexit. Rather, the election was about everything but Brexit.


Sure, the youth vote, turned out en masse for Corbyn, but Labour and Corbyn himself had already admitted the Brexit reality.


Tory MP Jacob Rees-Mogg explains nicely in This election created no mandate for watering down Brexit. There must be no backsliding.





Negotiations are about to start, and the nation cannot afford to show weakness across the channel. Already, people who never wanted to leave the European Union are calling for a change of tune, by which they mean a reversal of the referendum. “Hard” and “soft” Brexit are code words for leaving or staying in the EU, rather than for the terms of our departure. No such denial of the people’s will can be permitted.



Indeed, the essence of our strength is in the negotiating reality that no deal really is better than a bad deal. By the end of March 2019, if nothing has been agreed, we leave with all our money, laws and border controls, and the ability to trade with the EU the way we successfully do with everyone else. This is rather an attractive position, and much preferable to being a European satrapy. Mrs May seems to be aware of the strength of this position, and that is a good reason for her to remain.



As for the claim that this result means Mrs May must now drop her approach to Brexit and seek to keep Britain inside the European Economic Area, that is simply wrong. Although the Tory party hoped that the general election of 2017 would be about Brexit, it was not. Indeed, it was about everything except Brexit – social care, grammar schools, foxhunting – and the cleverness of Labour’s campaign was to leave Brexit alone. It is clear that voters did not want to be asked the same question twice; one decision was made in 2016, and fresh ones were to be made on Thursday. Similarly, the Scots showed they did not want to be asked the same question multiple times, hence the SNP’s decline.



This means that there is no mandate at all from this election for undermining Brexit. Remainers kept quiet during the campaign because they knew the matter was settled – with the exception of the Lib Dems, who, despite getting a few seats, are irrelevant.



The Labour Party likewise made no serious challenge to the outline set out by the Prime Minister. This election was therefore a tacit endorsement of Mrs. May’s Brexit strategy, for voters showed no desire to change it; it is better that she should carry it out.



MP Daniel Hannan Tweets















Reflections on Hannan



May’s Mistake Not What Most Suggest






The youth vote turned out, en masses, demanding “free stuff”.

Sunday, October 30, 2016

Sterling Set To Slide: BOE Declines To Dismiss Speculation Carney May Announce Decision To Leave

As noted here yesterday, citing reports in British newspapers such as The Times and Mail Online, Mark Carney’s "self-imposed deadline" for declaring whether he will stay in office beyond 2018 is fast approaching, and the central banker may decide to step down as soon as next week. Reportedly, the 51-year old Canadian may announce his decision "within days" at his next scheduled public appearance on Thursday, when the BOE announces its policy decision and the governor holds a press conference in London.


Today, the FT followed up with a report that suggests Carney"s tenure at the BOE may indeed be coming to an end, when it reported that "the BoE declined on Sunday to dismiss speculation that the governor might announce his decision this week alongside the quarterly inflation report."


The FT"s Chris Giles prefaced this by saying that "ardent supporters of Britain"s vote to leave the EU believe they are on the verge of another victory by forcing Mark Carney to resign as governor of the Bank of England before the end of his term in 2018."


The impact on sterling will likely be rather adverse when it opens for trading:





With the governor seen by financial markets as a steady hand on economic policy in contrast with much more volatile government communication of its economic plans, sterling would again be vulnerable were he to announce his departure.



The fate of Carney may be linked to recent speculation whether the BOE has become too political, or is even independent: "Brexiters, who feel Mr Carney was always too supportive of Britain remaining in the EU, scent blood in their feud with the governor. Daniel Hannan, a Conservative MEP, said: “I am sorry to say this — he seems a nice enough fellow — but Mark Carney should indeed resign. He politicised his office inexcusably.”"


The post-Brexit political regime has been on the fence about the fate of the BOE governor: Lord Lawson, the former chancellor, and Jacob Rees-Mogg and Bernard Jenkin, prominent Conservative MPs have also called for the governor’s head in recent weeks, saying that he was too doom-laden on the post-Brexit economy and had been too political in office.


On the other hand, Carney has received strong support from the chancellor, who has urged him to stay until 2021, and from allies of Theresa May in 10 Downing Street. "They have believed until recently that the governor would stay until 2021. The governor has played his cards close to his chest, stressing
repeatedly that he would fulfil the commitment he made on appointment in
2013 to serve until 2018 and adding that the decision of whether to
serve a full term until 2021 was personal."





In evidence to the House of Lords last week, he dismissed suggestions that the prime minister was putting the BoE under pressure to change monetary policy or the personnel at the top of the central bank.



“To be clear, it’s an entirely personal decision and no one should read anything into that decision in terms of government policy. It is a privilege for me to have this role,” he said. “Like everyone, I have personal circumstances that I have to manage. This role demands total attention and I intend to give it as long as I can.”



As the FT concludes, "Financial markets interpreted the governor’s words as an indication he would stay on, while Brexiters thought he was hinting he would leave."


However, today"s report may tip the scales to the former. Keep an eye on GBP for further indications of whether the market is becoming convinced that Carney is on his way out, in the process further weakening the UK currency.