Showing posts with label Megacity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Megacity. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Mapping The World's 20 Most Populous Cities By 2100

If you look at a modern map of the world’s most populous cities, you’ll notice that they are quite evenly distributed around the globe.


Metropolises like Moscow, New York, Tokyo, Cairo, or Rio de Janeiro are spread apart with very different geographic and cultural settings, and practically every continent today can claim at least one of the world’s 20 most populous cities.


However, as Visual Capitalist"s Jeff Desjardins notes, in the future, things will be very different, according to projections from the Global Cities Institute. In fact, over the next 80 years or so, some cities will literally 10x or 20x in size – turning into giant megacities that have comparable populations to entire countries like modern-day Germany, France, or the United Kingdom.


The most interesting part? None of these cities will be in the Americas, Europe, China, or Australia.



Source: Visual Capitalist


The Top Four Megacities of the Future


According to predictions from the Global Cities Institute, these will be the biggest cities in the world in 2100:


Lagos


Lagos is already one of the biggest metropolises in Africa, and we previously noted that it was one of the fastest growing cities in the world.


In fact, it’s growing so fast, that no one knows how big it actually is. The U.N estimated it had 11.2 million people in 2011, and the year after The New York Times said it had at least 21 million inhabitants. In any case, this Nigerian metropolis is growing like a weed, and the Global Cities Institute estimates that the city’s population will hit the 88.3 million mark by 2100 to make it the biggest city in the world.


The city is already a center of West African trade and finance – but Lagos has ambitious plans to up the ante even further. Right now, the city is building Eko Atlantic, a massive new residential and commercial development that is being pitched as the “Manhattan of Nigeria”. It’s just off of Victoria Island, and it is being built on reclaimed land with special measures in place to prevent flooding from global warming.


Kinshasa


When people think of the DRC, sprawling metropolises generally aren’t the first things that come to mind.


But Kinshasa, once the site of humble fishing villages, has already likely passed Paris as the largest French-speaking city in the world. And it’s getting bigger – by 2100, it’s projected to be the world’s second largest city overall.


How Kinshasa develops will certainly be interesting. As it stands, approximately 60% of the 17 million people living there by 2025 will be younger than 18 years old. How the city deals with education will be paramount to the city’s future progression.


Dar Es Salaam


Have you heard of Dar Es Salaam, the Tanzanian megacity that will hold 73.7 million inhabitants in 2100?


It’s not on a lot of people’s radars, but its population will explode 1,588% to become the third largest city in Africa, and in the world.


Interestingly, East Africa will be home to many of the world’s biggest cities in the future – and many will be seemingly popping up out of nowhere. Consider Blantyre City, Lilongwe, and Lusaka, for example. Most Westerners will not likely have heard of these places, but these centers in Malawi and Zambia will each hold over 35 million people.


Mumbai


Finally, the last city to round out the top four is Mumbai, which is already one of the world’s biggest megacities with over 20 million people.


As the entertainment capital of India, it will be interesting to see how Mumbai evolves – and how it ends up comparing to other Indian megacities like Delhi and Kolkata, which each will hold over 50 million residents themselves.

Sunday, February 12, 2017

The Megacity Economy: How Seven Types Of Global Cities Stack Up

Back in 1950, close to 30% of the global population lived in cities.


As Visual Capitalist"s Jeff Desjardins notes, that has shifted dramatically, and by 2050, a whopping 70% of people will live in urban areas – some of which will be megacities housing tens of millions of people.


This trend of urbanization has been a boon to global growth and the economy. In fact, it is estimated today by McKinsey that the 600 top urban centers contribute a whopping 60% to the world’s total GDP.





SEVEN TYPES OF GLOBAL CITIES


With so many people moving to urban metropolitan areas, the complexion of cities and their economies change each day.


The Brookings Institute has a new way of classifying these megacities, using various economic indicators.


According to their analysis, here’s what differentiates the seven types of global cities:


Important note: This isn’t intended to be a “ranking” of cities. However, on the infographic, cities are sorted by GDP per capita within each typology, and given a number based on where they stand in terms of this metric. This is just intended to show how wealthy the average citizen is per city, and is not a broader indicator relating to the success or overall ranking of a city.


1. Global Giants


These six cities are the world’s leading economic and financial centers. They are hubs for financial markets and are characterized by large populations and a high concentration of wealth and talent.


Examples: New York City, Tokyo, London


2. Asian Anchors


The six Asian Anchor cities are not as wealthy as the Global Giants, however they leverage attributes such as infrastructure connectivity and talented workforces to attract the most Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) out of any other metro grouping.


Examples: Hong Kong, Seoul, Singapore


3. Emerging Gateways


These 28 cities are large business and transportation hubs for major national and regional markets in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. While they have grown to reach middle-income status, they fall behind other global cities on many key competitiveness factors such as GDP and FDI.


Examples: Mumbai, Cape Town, Mexico City, Hangzhou


4. Factory China


There are 22 second and third-tier Chinese cities reliant on export manufacturing to power economic growth and international engagement. Although Factory China displays a GDP growth rate that is well above average, it fails to reach average levels of innovation, talent, and connectivity.


Examples: Shenyang, Changchun, Chengdu


5. Knowledge Capitals


These are 19 mid-sized cities in the U.S. and Europe that are considered centers of innovation, with elite research universities producing talented workforces.


Examples: San Francisco, Boston, Zurich


6. American Middleweights


These 16 mid-sized U.S. metro areas are relatively wealthy and house strong universities, as well as other anchor institutions.


Examples: Orlando, Sacramento, Phoenix


7. International Middleweights


These 26 cities span across several continents, internationally connected by human and investment capital flow. Like their American middleweight counterparts, growth has slowed for these cities since the 2008 recession.


Examples: Vancouver, Melbourne, Brussels, Tel Aviv