Showing posts with label CoinDesk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CoinDesk. Show all posts

Sunday, December 10, 2017

Bulgaria Government Shocked To Discover It Owns $3 Billion In Bitcoin

Bulgaria’s GDP is about $52.4 billion (2016), so it is quite a shock that the Bulgarian Government is sitting on an approximate $3 billion worth of Bitcoins seized in an anti-corruption operation back in May.



Putting this into a little more glaring context, Bulgaria is holding 18% of the national debt in bitcoins...



Bulgarian law enforcement jointly worked with the Southeast European Law Enforcement Center (SELC), a regional organization comprised of 12 member states, to bust a sophisticated organized-crime network, arresting twenty-three Bulgarian nationals and seizing a total of 213,519 bitcoins.


 


SELC described the organized-crime scheme as the hacking of Bulgarian Custom’s computers and allowing those associated with the group to skip fees for importing goods into the country. To make it work, the group recruited corrupt Customs officers to upload a virus into government machines, so that hackers could establish remote access.




The organized criminal group consisted in Bulgarian nationals having connections in The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Hellenic Republic, Romania and Republic of Serbia. The modus operandi used was recruiting corrupted Customs officers in all involved countries with the purpose to infiltrate a virus in the Customs’ computerized systems. Once the virus installed, from distance, the offenders were able to finalize various transports, as in the Customs’ system appeared that the cargo was already checked and passed.  




Further, SELC provided details of how the operation was conducted, involving a large-scale search of “more than 100 addresses, suspects, and vehicles.” Out of the 23 suspects arrested, 5 of them were Bulgarian Customs officers. Police seized “equipment, devices for communication, computers, tablets, and bank documents.”




Bulgarian authorities have searched more than 100 addresses, suspects and vehicles. A large quantity of money was seized, as well as equipment, devices for communication, computers, tablets, bank documents, etc. 23 suspects were arrested, 5 of them acting as Bulgarian Customs officers. As result of this criminal activity the damages recorded by the Customs Agency, only for year 2015, is around 10 million Leva.




Here is where things get interesting... Police also seized 213,519 bitcoins, at the time, worth $500 million. As of writing this article, the amount seized, is now worth approximately 3,676,583,661, according to CoinDesk.




As well, up to now were found in the virtual space bitcoin wallets of the main suspects with a total value of 213,519 bitcoins. As a reference, the value of one bitcoin is rating to 2354 USD. The offenders choose the bitcoin way of investing/saving the money, because it is rather difficult to be tracked and followed.  




SELC explained why the criminals used bitcoin,




The offenders choose the bitcoin way of investing/saving the money, because it is rather difficult to be tracked and followed.




What remains a mystery to most, is what the Bulgarian government will do with the seized bitcoins? As mentioned in the beginning, the national debt could certainly be reduced. Have we just discovered a large seller that is ready to pour cold water on the party?








Thursday, December 7, 2017

America"s Biggest Bitcoin Exchange Just Broke As Prices Tumbled $4,500 From Highs

Mike Novogratz is on the wires calling Bitcoin a "cultural revolution."


GDAX just broke...



Additionally, Bitfinex says it is under a significant denial of service attack.


As Bitcoin tumbled $4,500 from its highs...



 


And now the giveback...Bitcoin is down $3000 from its $19,600 highs...but is still up 30% on the day



 


Bwuahahaha... $19k...on GDAX



After tagging $19,697, Bitcoin prices tumbled to $17,900...



Prices are varying dramatically across exchanges with $2000 differences.


For those keeping track, this is how long it has taken the cryptocurrency to cross the key psychological levels:


  • $0000 - $1000: 1789 days

  • $1000- $2000: 1271 days

  • $2000- $3000: 23 days

  • $3000- $4000: 62 days

  • $4000- $5000: 61 days

  • $5000- $6000: 8 days

  • $6000- $7000: 13 days

  • $7000- $8000: 14 days

  • $8000- $9000: 9 days

  • $9000-$10000: 2 days

  • $10000-$11000: 1 day

  • $11000-$12000: 6 days

  • $12000-$13000: 17 hours

  • $13000-$14000: 4 hours

  • $14000-$15000: 10 hours

  • $15000-$16000: 5 hours

  • $16000-$17000: 2 hours

  • $17000-$18000: 10 minutes

  • $18000-$19000: 3 minutes

Coinbase is struggling to keep up...



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Update: $18,000, that is all!



*  *  *


Update: WTF! $17,000...



We do note that GDAX pricing appears to be at a significant premium to several other exchanges.



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Update: Bitcoin just surpased $16,000... speechless...



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In the last 36 hours, Bitcoin has blasted through $12,000, $13,000, $14,000, and now $15,000 levels in an unprecedented 28% surge...



With a market cap of around $250 billion, Bitcoin is bigger than Proctor & Gamble and approaching the size of Wal-Mart as the 12 biggest "company" in the S&P 500.


As CoinTelegraqph reports, the price is likely being driven by news of the imminent launch of Bitcoin futures trading. CBOE will be launching their futures market this coming Sunday, December 10, with CME Group following on December 18. Nasdaq plans to launch futures trading in the summer of 2018 and Japan’s Tokyo Financial Exchange is preparing to launch futures trading as well.


Bloomberg has announced that brokerage firms TD Ameritrade and Ally Invest will be offering Bitcoin futures trades to their clients. Even J.P. Morgan Chase may follow suit, despite CEO Jamie Dimon’s infamous views on the digital currency.


GDAX, Coinbase’s digital currency exchange, has been leading the rally all day. The price on GDAX is currently about $500 ahead of other Western Bitcoin exchanges. The likeliest - and most bullish - explanation is that Coinbase is the easiest way for new Bitcoin investors to get involved. Consequently, when GDAX leads the charge as it has today, it probably means new “retail” investors are fueling the rally.


Meanwhile, as CoinDesk reports, Ron Paul wants to know: would you take $10,000 in bitcoin, cash or something else?


The former U.S. Congressman from Texas is currently holding a poll on his official Twitter account that asks in which form they would take $10,000 from a "wealthy person". The catch: you can"t get rid of it for 10 years.


Paul – who earlier this year called for the U.S. government to "stay out" of bitcoin – put the question to his more than 650,000 followers, asking if they would take $10,000 in the form of bitcoin, dollars, gold or 10-year U.S. Treasury Bonds. The result thus far – one hour remains in the poll at press time – indicate that of the more than 70,000 responses, 54 percent expressed support for bitcoin.


Gold took the second-highest amount with 36 percent, followed by a mere 8 percent for the 10-year bonds. Just 2 percent indicated that they would take the Federal Reserve Notes if offered.



Speaking with TheStreet in October, Paul conceded that he"s no expert on cryptocurrencies (back in 2014, he argued that bitcoin wasn"t "true money"). That said, he voiced his support for cryptocurrency in the most recent interview, arguing that it lends credence to the emergence of alternative currencies against the U.S. dollar.


And while Bitcoin"s eye-popping price movements have some observers saying the market is in bubble territory, Naval Ravikant, the co-founder of AngelList, while he"s not ruling it out entirely, holds a less alarmist view.


"Money is a bubble that never pops," he said at yesterday"s Token Summit II in San Francisco.



He told attendees:


"It"s a consensus hallucination."



And speaking to the newfound attention to bitcoin, Ravikant said people are interested in growing the wealth that they have. With most savings accounts returning zero these days – as central banks conduct what Ravikant called their "grand money printing experiment" – the general public is looking for alternative places to store their money and watch it grow.


Bitcoin and other protocols seem to offer that, as even the less-developed cryptocurrencies are showing substantial returns.


"I think people are looking to solve their money problems," he said.



Additionally, Coindesk notes that the former chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, has joined the many financial luminaries to recently criticize bitcoin"s value.


Speaking to CNBCGreenspan compared bitcoin to that of an early American form of money called "Continental currency" that came into use in 1775 and had become worthless by 1782. The paper-based legal tender was used at the time of the American Revolution and was not backed by a commodity such as gold.


Noting that bitcoin will likely suffer similar fate, Greenspan said that a "significant share" of  Continental currency was still used to create "real goods and services," even though it had no ultimate worth.


He continued:


"Bitcoin is really a fascinating example of how human beings create value, and is not always rational ... It is not a rational currency in that case."



Greenspan"s comments come as the value of a bitcoin is soaring beyond most expectations, having gained thousands of dollars in value in the last two days.


And in response to that...



And finally, for those calling this a "bubble" - we would humbly suggest you ain"t seen nothing yet...


 










Tuesday, December 5, 2017

Expect Desperate, Insane Behavior From Government In 2018 – Part 2

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,


The financial crisis of 2008/09 was the most significant event to happen in my lifetime. That event, coupled with the deeply unethical and corrupt response to it, led to a direct delegitimization of governments and institutions worldwide. It’s precisely this self-inflicted destruction of credibility which opened up the window for the birthing of a new monetary and financial system in the wake of Bitcoin’s emergence in early 2009.



Bitcoin is a system designed to be everything the status quo isn’t. Decentralized, transparent, permissionless, with a well-defined and restricted monetary supply curve.


Given the backdrop upon which it emerged, it’s unsurprising that as more time passes, the more popular it becomes.


Humanity is desperate for a major reboot and an entirely different way of doing things. Bitcoin and other crypto assets offer exactly that opportunity in the realm of finance and money, thus capturing the imagination of millions of the most brilliant and passionate people across the world. Since the status quo stubbornly refused to reform and change the system after the financial crisis, humanity had no choice but to take charge and do it independently at the grassroots level.


One thing that’s become increasingly clear to me as I’ve added years and experiences to my life, is that governments, generally speaking, hate freedom. It’s why something as beneficial and benign as cannabis remains illegal throughout the world, and why people like Jeff Sessions still want to criminalize it even in states where the actual people living there voted to make it legal (see Part 1 of this series). While the fairytale we’re conditioned to believe tells us government exists to protect us and create an environment in which humans can thrive, the reality is quite clearly the opposite. The crooked response to the financial crisis demonstrated this in spades to anyone paying even the slightest amount of attention.


As we transition into 2018, increasing numbers of people will see government and large corporations as the unified threat they represent to the global economy and human freedom. Younger generations are particularly aware, as they’ve been thrust into a parasitic system designed to prey upon them via a lifetime of debt serfdom. The more people learn about the way the world really works, the more they’ll want to reject it and create something entirely different. This is where Bitcoin and crypto assets come into play.


As Bitcoin rose through the $10,000 mark, I noticed an explosion in panic and fear on behalf of those who want to keep the current system in place.  This is to be expected, as Bitcoin’s popularity is and should be seen as a report card on the global status quo. The financial system as it’s currently constructed is being publicly rejected with every uptick in the Bitcoin price, and with every billion dollars added to total crypto asset market capitalization. Naturally, this will make those in charge of the current predatory system, and those who have benefited most from it (oligarchs), increasingly hostile to its popularity.


There are so many recent examples of such hostility it’d be impossible to highlight them all, but I’ll provide you with a few examples so you know what I mean.


First, there was the clip of two billionaires discussing Bitcoin on Bloomberg.



These weren’t the only two billionaires who chirped in about Bitcoin last week. Financial oligarch Ken Griffin came out with the truly original line of comparing Bitcoin to tulips, something I’ve heard non-stop in the more than five years I’ve been involved in the community. Via CNBC:


Citadel’s Ken Griffin said Monday that bitcoin may be in a bubble.


 


“Bitcoin right now has many of the elements of the tulip bulb mania we saw back hundreds of years ago in Holland,” said the billionaire hedge fund manager in an exclusive interview with CNBC’s Leslie Picker.


 


Griffin, however, said he does believe the blockchain technology backing the cryptocurrency is valid.



Griffin’s estimated net worth is $8.6 billion. Makes you wonder what sort of society and economy enriched someone like this to such an extent.


Carl Ichan also chimed in. Via Coindesk:


Billionaire investor Carl Icahn has jumped on the bandwagon of financial bigwigs saying bitcoin is in a bubble


 


The business magnate and founder of Icahn Enterprises told CNBC that the cryptocurrency “seems like a bubble” and that he didn’t understand the hype around bitcoin.


 


Icahn stated:


 


“I got to tell you honestly, I don’t understand it … I just don’t get it. I just stay out of something if I don’t understand it.”



He admits he doesn’t understand it, but calls it a bubble anyway. This is surprisingly common.


Of course, there was the infamous nonsense spouted by Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz who appears viscerally triggered by Bitcoin, saying it has no social function and should be outlawed.



Add to the above a plethora of central banker commentary about how dangerous Bitcoin is, and you know status quo types are beginning to sweat. Which brings me to the point of this piece. With Bitcoin having succeeded beyond the wildest imagination of status quo sycophants, many will begin to clamor and beg for an official response in order to defend their sleazy government sanctioned rackets.


At this point, I could attempt to outline all the various ways the U.S. government and others could target free market crypto assets, but I’m not going to do that. The reason I’m not going to do this is because I think the cat’s already too far out of the bag for the power structure to stop this trend. The benefits to humanity generally, and younger generations specifically, will make any attempts to stop this freight train futile. Any government that tries to do so will simply shoot themselves in the foot.



Unfortunately, most governments exist to protect and defend the status quo, versus doing what’s best for the public. If government actually cared about the future, every single country would be competing aggressively right now to be the most crypto asset friendly region on earth. The human brainpower and talent voluntarily dedicating their lives to this space is extraordinary. It’s a global movement and community the likes of which has rarely, if ever, emerged on this planet.



That tweet above more or less summarizes how I see the situation. Anyone who bets against this overall space will ultimately end up historical roadkill. The emergence of Bitcoin and the crypto-asset ecosystem generally is one of the most liberating, paradigm disrupting events that’s ever manifested on this planet. Of course, entrenched interests won’t like it and will try to fight back, but they’ll be no more successful than those who wanted to ban the printing press.



The above occurred despite governments having placed many roadblocks in the way. Imagine the innovation explosion that would be unleashed if governments decided to support this extraordinary community rather than fight it? At over $11,000 per bitcoin, a lot of money’s been made. While hodlers certainly prefer to spend fiat as opposed to bitcoin, the higher the price rises, the higher the percentage of their net worth is denominated in crypto.


If the U.S. government actually cared about dynamic economic growth as opposed to merely protecting status quo interests, it would unleash the power of this crypto asset wealth creation machine by eliminating taxes on gains. If no capital gains were owed, it’d encourage people to spend some of this newly created wealth in the economy. It’s an obvious move, but because governments are mainly about control and power, their initial reaction likely will be to go in the opposite direction.


The opportunities available right now for regions and nations willing to be openminded about Bitcoin and crypto assets generally are extraordinary. Government roadblocks and bans cannot and will not kill the spirit of this community and the ideals that motivate it. The only question is which regions/governments will put arrogance and control aside to do the right thing by their people. We’ll find out the answer to that question soon enough.



As a declining global empire, the U.S. is unfortunately prone to doing particularly stupid things in order to protect the predatory system beloved by the oligarchs in charge. On the flip-side, there are plenty of wealthy Americans and others with influence who see Bitcoin for the incredible opportunity it is, and cooler heads may prevail. The truth is nobody knows exactly how all of this will turn out.


In the short-term, we’re likely to face increased push back and we should be mentally prepared to face it. In the longer-term, the future appears exceptionally bright.


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Friday, December 1, 2017

Bitcoin Rockets Higher, Then Crashes Lower, Then Repeats

 


 


Bitcoin Rockets Higher, Then Crashes Lower, Then Repeats


Written by Nathan McDonald, Sprott Money News


 



Bitcoin Rockets Higher, then Crashes Lower, Then Repeats - Nathan McDonald


 


The Bitcoin markets are in utter turmoil at the moment - the cryptocurrency that has become the envy of all speculative assets, possibly one of the greatest in modern history, is experiencing extreme volatility.


 


 


Long familiar with extreme ups and downs, Bitcoin has a history of moving higher rapidly, and also crashing suddenly. This past 24 hours appear to be encompassing both of these directions as the markets engage in an active game of tug of war, with billions of dollars on the line.


 


 


Those who have only recently gotten on the cryptocurrency bandwagon, buying into the recent parabolic rise of Bitcoin, have to be vomiting in disgust as they watch their hard-earned money being beaten like a dirty rug, but this is it - this is what it looks like to be involved in the cryptocurrency space, and something that veterans of the markets have seen time and time again. It is not all peaches and cream.


 


 


It began yesterday, when Bitcoin surged higher, out of nowhere, rising to a high of $11,323 USD from a $9721 USD start of the day. This was a monstrous gain in less than 24 hours. However, it was not meant to last as it promptly plummeted downward to $9435 USD, causing many of the major Bitcoin exchanges to crash themselves and go offline, including Coinbase, which is the most well funded exchange within the sector.


 


 


Following this crazy few hours, Bitcoin began to climb higher once again, easily breaking the $10,000 USD mark in overnight hours trading, but this too was not meant to last.


 


 


 




Chart Source, CoinDesk


 


 


Seeing this extreme volatility has caused many holders of the cryptocurrency to take profits, pulling out their money and causing another rapid crash lower - which as of this writing, has Bitcoin resting around $9,362 USD.


 


 


Compounding these problems is the fact that prominent names within the precious metals space have recently come out and suggested that perhaps it is time to take some gains, as the price of Bitcoin has gone parabolic throughout 2017, shocking even some of its most stout supporters.


 


 


As I have previously mentioned, 2017 has been a phenomenal year for Bitcoin. For those who got in even at the start of the year, you should be congratulated, as you made the right call and are now looking at huge gains. But as I have also seen numerous times in the past, Bitcoin can evaporate the majority of your gains in the blink of an eye. This isn"t the first time, nor will it be the last time that Bitcoin suffers uncontrolled volatility.


 


 


It has been, and continues to be, a wild, uncontrolled and incredibly speculative asset - one that has the potential to either change the financial world for all time, or possibly be the greatest scam we have seen since the Tulip mania.


 


 


I lean towards the former, but remember this always: there are powerful forces actively working against Bitcoin and its success - forces that will not take this change and threat to their fiat power lying down.


 


 


 


 


Questions or comments about this article? Leave your thoughts HERE.


 


 


 


 


Bitcoin Rockets Higher, Then Crashes Lower, Then Repeats


Written by Nathan McDonald, Sprott Money News


 


 


Check out these other articles by our contributors:




Jeff Thomas - What Will Push Them Over the Edge?


Rory Hall - If You THINK About Taking Someone’s Golden “Pet Rock” It Would Be a “Declaration Of Financial War”


Stewart Dougherty - The War on Gold Intensifies: It Betrays the Elitists’ Panic and Augurs Their Coming Defeat (Part 1)


John Rubino - “The Money Is Just Sitting There…Doing Nothing for Society”



 

Crypto Carnage Continues As The Fed Warns Digital Currencies Could "Pose Serious Financial Stability Issues"

Update: Bitcoin and Ethereum are holding at the lows of the day, but following ECB comments earlier (see below), The Fed"s vice chariman of supervision, Randy Quarles, warns that digital currencies like bitcoin pose "serious financial stability issues" as they grow...


Today, the vast majority of our payments by volume and value are processed by regulated financial institutions. In the U.S. payment system, digital currencies are a niche product that sometimes garners large headlines.


 


While these digital currencies may not pose major concerns at their current levels of use, more serious financial stability issues may result if they achieve wide-scale usage.



Perhaps most ironic is Quarles" description of the "drawbacks" of cryptocurrencies...


But from the standpoint of analysis, the "currency" or asset at the center of some of these systems is not backed by other secure assets, has no intrinsic value, is not the liability of a regulated banking institution, and in leading cases, is not the liability of any institution at all. Indeed, how to treat and define this new asset is complicated.



So because it"s not backed by "other secure assets" - analysing its value is complicated... like the dollar.


*  *  *


It"s a bloodbath in cryptocurrency markets this morning...



 


Having bounced overnight to over $10,600, Bitcoin prices are tumbling once again as we approach the US equity market open...



 


Ethereum is down over 20%...



While there is no immediate catalyst, CoinDesk notes that ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio  - ever eager to talk citizens away from decentralized "anything" - warned about the risks of investing in bitcoin at current valuations.


Speaking to CNBC, Vitor Constancio said developments in bitcoin"s price make it "a speculative asset by definition," continuing: "Investors are taking that risk of buying at such high prices."



Even so, Constancio told CNBC that the ECB is not in a position to regulate the cryptocurrency, saying, "We don"t have responsibility or even instruments that point to particular prices of particular assets, that is certainly not the role of central banks."


His comments echo those of ECB president Mario Draghi, who in September indicated that the central bank does not have the authority to regulate cryptocurrencies.


"It would actually not be in our powers to prohibit and regulate" bitcoin and other digital currencies, he said at the time.



However, on the more optimistic side, CoinTelegraph reports that Ronnie Moas has upped his End 2017 target for Bitcoin to $20,000.


Moas looks at Bitcoin as a whole, incorporating all the chain splits in his split-adjusted price is and considering the price of the forked Bitcoin chains alongside the original was $12,740 when Moas made his new prediction, $14,000 looked undervalued again.


$20,000 is a month away


Moas now puts the line in the sand at $20,000 for the split-adjusted price when the new year hits. Looking at how things have gone so far for Moas, a month is a long time, and perhaps $20,000 will be broken before that time.


Many pickers, investors and money movers have thrown their hats into the ring trying to hit the sweet spot of this volatile asset when it comes to prediction.


Tom Lee, rather conservatively, set a Bitcoin growth of 40 percent to happen by the middle of 2018. His prediction put him at $11,500. That prediction was made a week ago, and in that time Bitcoin topped at around $11,300.


Max Keiser has a much more bullish view, but over a longer time frame as the host of Russia Today’s Keiser Report believes that $100,000 Bitcoin is an eventuality.


Why split-adjusted?


Moas, as one of the most well-regarded stock pickers, is clearly in the Bitcoin game for its investment potential rather than the technology side which has seen different factions at war with each other. Some people are vehemently Bitcoin Cash supporters, and others true fans of the original chain.


Moas, however, with his investor’s hat on, sees that by buying Bitcoin he not only received free Bitcoin Cash, but also free Bitcoin Gold, and thus counts them together in his portfolio, urging others to d the same as a diversification strategy.


Bitcoin Diamond and the real gold


“I am raising my 2018 fork- and split-adjusted price target on Bitcoin from $14,000 to $20,000,” Moas explained. “The current price is $10,720 and the split-adjusted price is now $12,740 when factoring in Bitcoin Cash, Bitcoin Gold and Bitcoin Diamond.”



Bitcoin Diamond is another fork of the Bitcoin chain that went largely unnoticed. Its aim is to switch from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake after mining is completed - after just 10,000 blocks.


“Bitcoin is now up split-adjusted by 394 percent since my July 3 recommendation,” Moas went on.


 


“There is no way to justify Gold $7 tln at 40X Bitcoin ($180 bln). An argument can be made that Bitcoin will be equal to Gold within 10-15 years. I do not know how much Gold there is in the ground … I do not know how much Bitcoin there is.”










Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Visualizing The Journey To $10,000 Bitcoin

It has been a breakthrough year for the world’s original cryptocurrency. At time of publication, the bitcoin price is at $9,650 – about 10X higher than how the cryptocurrency started the year. Further, as Visual Capitalist"s Jeff Desjardins notes, bitcoins are now on the brink of passing the important psychological barrier of $10,000, and it could do so at any moment based on current momentum.


Today’s infographic from Blockchain Intelligence Group helps to visualize the ups and downs of the cryptocurrency on its journey to $10,000.



Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist


Note: once the price hits the $10,000 barrier, we’ll do a final update on this graphic to make sure that’s represented.


THE JOURNEY TO $10,000 BITCOIN


Here are some of the key events that transpired over the last 11 months:



And here is how long it took bitcoins to hit each $1,000 barrier:



Note: These time periods are calculated based on closing prices for the Bitcoin Price Index on Coindesk.


THE YEAR OF THE ICO


While the journey to $10,000 bitcoin is an incredible one, it is part of a wider story as well.


Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) for other cryptocurrencies have also boomed, and more than 92% of all funds raised through ICOs happened in this year alone. With this mechanism hitting the mainstream, about $3.8 billion have been raised through ICOs in total.


Further, they’ve been profitable as well for speculators. A report from Mangrove Capital last month noted that the average return across 204 ICOs it was tracking was 1,320%.


Despite being temporarily banned in China and South Korea, ICOs have not been slowing down. So far in this month (up to Nov 26, 2017), ICOs have already hit new highs with $743.2 million raised, surpassing the earlier record-holding month of September 2017 ($662.9 million).









Friday, November 24, 2017

Ethereum Surges To New Record Highs - Bigger Than Capital One, ICE, & eBay

Following its big surge Thursday, Ethereum has broken through the psychologically important threshold of $400, establishing a new all-time high - currently hovering above $450.



image courtesy of CoinTelegraph


As CoinTelegraph reports, despite some market stagnation caused by the news of the $280 mln Parity wallet hack in early November, the second-most-popular cryptocurrency looks stronger than ever, now with a market cap over $43 billion.



That is bigger than Capital One ($42.3bn), The Intercontinental Exchange ($39.6bn), and eBay ($37.5bn).


Just as Standpoint Research founder and analyst Ronnie Moas forecast in July, Ethereum has topped $400 (doubling since his projection).


ETH has surged from below $350 to over $450 in the last few days...



To a new record high... (surpassing June 2017"s previous peak at $407)



As CoinTelegraph reported, Moas claimed that the cryptocurrencies will sustain their solid performance and steal some shares of other assets like stocks, bonds, fiat currencies and other precious metals in the market.


"I think investors should take a shot on this and hold for a few years. If you lose a few bucks, at least you took a shot," he said.


 


"In life, you miss every shot that you do not take. It will probably be more upsetting to watch it (from the sidelines) go up another 1,000 percent."



Aside from the two leading virtual currencies, Moas also forecast that the price of the digital currency Litecoin will increase by twofold to $80 per coin.


What is driving the resurgence in Ethereum?


CoinDesk notes that total trading volume jumped to $1.845 billion yesterday – the highest since Sept. 15. A high volume rally indicates strong hands are at play and more records could be set over the weekend.


Again, South Korean desks are firing on all cylinders. Volumes in the ETH/KRW pair offered by Bithumb, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the country, have gone up by 13.57 percent today.









French Asset Manager Launches World"s First Bitcoin Mutual Fund

Since bitcoin first entered mainstream consciousness in 2013, regulators have been wary of authorizing the creation of bitcoin-linked financial products that would create a patina of legitimacy for a product that was all-too-recently associated with dark-web bazaars like the Silk Road. So far, the only bitcoin-linked financial product is the Nasdaq Stockholm-traded ETN that JP Morgan Securities famously purchased – purportedly for its clients’ accounts - after Jamie Dimon called the digital currency a “fraud” and said he would fire any JPM traders caught trading it.


Back in March, the SEC rejected not one, but two proposed bitcoin ETFs. Recently, CME Group announced it would launch bitcoin-linked derivatives by the end of the year. Their prices will be set using a daily reference rate designed by the exchange that some critics have pointed out could strengthen the case for the SEC to approve a bitcoin-linked ETF in the US.


Well, one French asset manager just created a newfound sense of urgency for its rivals in the US by introducing the first bitcoin-linked mutual fund.


Announced today, Tobam"s alternative investment fund perhaps represents the latest bid to attract institutional investors to cryptocurrencies (though, as in the case with similar financial instruments, investors wouldn"t be holding bitcoin directly).


 


…the mutual fund"s launch follows approval from the Autorité des Marchés Financiers, one of the country"s top financial regulators. Per the report, PwC will perform auditing services while Caceis, the asset servicing banking group of France-based Crédit Agricole, will hold custody of the bitcoins tied to the fund.


 


"This first move in the world of cryptocurrencies showcases our dedication to remaining ahead of the curve and to provide our clients with innovative products in the context of efficient (i.e. unpredictable) markets," Yves Choueifaty, Tobam"s president, said in a statement.



Choueifaty said he expects the fund to swell to an AUM of $400 million over the next several years.


Investors are already expressed interest, he said.


"We found some investors to launch the fund and we have had a lot of interest from an intellectual point of view," he told the publication.



As CoinDesk pointed out, the idea that institutional investors want to gain access to bitcoin is unsurprising, given recent reports from the traditional hedge fund world. Whether products like Tobam"s will further stoke interest remains to be seen.



The announcement coincides with another all-time high for the digital currency, which has climbed more than 700% this year despite a crackdown in China, a hard fork, the collapse of several high-profile ICOs, declarations by Dimon and others that bitcoin is a bubble, a hoax or is outright dangerous (“It’s going to get somebody killed”)…the list goes on.


However, bitcoin has benefited in part from the fact that there’s no easy way for retail traders to bet against it. That will soon change, now that a Swiss company has introduced futures contracts that will make it easier for retail investors to short bitcoin.



Of course, that would mean the investors buying into this mutual fund would be getting in right at the market top…
 









Sunday, November 12, 2017

Crypto Chaos Explained - Bitcoin Crashes As "Cash" Tops Ether For First Time

Bitcoin collapsed overnight, trading as low as $5555 - down 30% from its highs - before bouncing back above $6000, as Bitcoin Cash soared to as high as $2450 (4 times its price on Friday), overtaking Ethereum briefly as the second largest market cap cryptocurrency.



image courtesy of CoinTelegraph


Bitcoin has lost around $30 billion in market cap, but found buying interest as it ripped below $6000 and has stabilized this morning



Bitcoin Cash exploded in thje last two days - quadrupling in price at one point to over $2400 as Bitcoin crashed.



 


As Coin Telegraph reports, the sharp rise in Bitcoin Cash"s price has come at the expense of Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s price has been on a steady downtrend ever since the Segwit2X fork was cancelled. A lot of people had bought Bitcoins in the expectation that they would get free Segwit2x coins after the fork. While market observers had expected some of this hot money to flow into altcoins once the Segwit2X fork happened/got cancelled, Bitcoin Cash seems to have been the main, but not only, beneficiary. The combined price of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash is over $8,000, which is not very different from the price on Friday.


That surge in Bitcoin Cash pushed its market cap above Ethereum for a brief time...



 


All of this chaos has left many wondering what is going on. Arjun Balaji provides some much-needed context for what is occurring in the crypto space...


1/August, Bitcoin forks, spawning off a fork that"s supported by a minority of miners. It"s self sustaining though the rate at which Bitcoin blocks are mined is variable and the price tanks. It was initially trading on the futures market prior to the fork between 0.05 and 0.07BTC. The motivations for the initial minority fork are complicated and nuanced, but they were largely driven by the incentives of trading on the futures market prior to the fork between 0.05 and 0.07BTC. The motivations for the initial minority fork are complicated and nuanced, but they were largely driven by the incentives of Chinese mining and Bitcoin businesses whose operation depended on the low transaction fees in the network (given Bitcoin txn fees were approaching $10).


 


2/ When Bitcoin Cash (BCH) tokens were finally accessible, there was a rush to go liquidate the tokens on an exchange. With really thin orderbooks, price shot up to 0.26 on the BTC:BCH pair, but had a slow decline over the next 2 months, bottoming out around 0.05ish. This is all the while Bitcoin continued it"s meteoric rise to $8k+.


 


3/ However, "Segwit2X" (B2X), another long schemed fork was still planned. This fork had even less popularity, reflected on the futures market, but had a lot of support from many mainstream Bitcoin businesses. It had ideological overlap with Bitcoin Cash: increase the block size to lower transaction costs on the Bitcoin network. Many users of Bitcoin who were worried about the merits of the technical block size increase were vocal about avoiding these forks and still maintain conviction that lowering transaction costs through the Bitcoin network is possible through some recent upgrades.


 


4/ As the date for B2X fork grew closer, Bitcoin Cash eventually bottomed out. The market"s assumption here was that there is no need for 2 forks with ideological overlap to exist.


 


4a/ However, in a sudden move, there was a cancellation of the fork on November 8th, with much of the support of the 2X crowd going into Bitcoin Cash. This started a fantastic price spike--in USD, from $400-500 up to $2800 (as of last night) and in Bitcoin, even higher, with orders executing between 0.4-0.5BTC. As of now, it seems to be stable at low volume —0.3BTC.


 


5/ Many long-time holders and significant Bitcoin "whales" noted online how they are planning on selling BTC and buying BCH. Most notably, Roger Ver moved long-time cold storage Bitcoin holdings totaling over $250M to Bitfinex. Not sure if this has been executed upon or not, but the presumption is that he is either buying BCH or selling BTC for USD. The goal of this (IMO) is to generate momentum and the reflexivity needed to create a "flip" between BTC and BCH.


 


6a/ It seems like 1) miners incentives are aligned with BCH for now but it"s unclear if it"s just because of the volatile difficulty or if it is permanent;


 



 


6b/ 2) money is dumping out of BTC into BCH. When/if BCH becomes more profitable, miners will follow -- at that point, do businesses like Coinbase recognize Bitcoin Cash as the canonical Bitcoin? No idea, but it"ll be interesting to see play out.


 


7/ Bitcoin Cash has a planned hard fork on Nov 13th to adjust the volatile difficulty of mining. It remains to be seen whether (at a stable price), post-fork, miner incentives will remain as strong as before. If they are anticipating a large increase in price or have spent the last couple of months accumulating BCH at a low price like many have hypothesized, that could play a role as well.



Arjun concludes, net-net, this is a mess for most mainstream users (e.g. my dad), who have no idea what"s happening and potentially don"t own Bitcoin Cash.


The end of Bitcoin (BTC) and rise of Bitcoin Cash could hurt these users, who potentially bought Bitcoin on Coinbase in August and don"t know about these risks. This puts the emerging futures and ETFs in an interesting picture.


*  *  *


The various factions within the crypto space are increasing their rhetoric... (as CoinDesk reports)


When asked about the move Jiang Zhuoer, founder of bitcoin mining pool BTC.Top, said simply that "2x fans" are moving both funds and mining hardware to bitcoin cash.


 


"BTC is going to die," Zhuoer said. Hapio Yang, CEO of mining pool operator ViaBTC, responded similarly, indicating he believes that businesses and investors are now migrating funds to bitcoin cash.


 


"I think more and more bitcoin holders are starting to understand what is the real bitcoin," he said via WeChat.


 


"I think a positive feedback loop has been created. This is waking people up to the shaky foundations BTC is built on," he said.



However, as CoinDesk notes, there remains a great deal of skepticism over cash...


Jack Liao, the CEO of Hong Kong-based mining firm LightningASIC, for instance, sought to frame the idea that the bitcoin cash price increase represented any real uptick in interest in the project as "total bullshit."


 


For those following the scaling debate, Bitmain"s conduct has been one of the larger contentious narrative points, and Liao (like others) believes the explosion seen in the bitcoin cash market value is nothing more than an orchestrated bid by the firm (and its supporters) to prop up the market.


 


"Many, many investors just see the change in hash rate," he said. "But they cannot support such a big bitcoin cash price."


 


Beijing-based over-the-counter Zhao Dong reported a similar sentiment in some circles, crediting the price to manipulation by miners and investors who have supported Segwit2x and bitcoin cash in the past. Bitmain and Ver were both signatories of the agreement that sparked the 2x software.


 


"They have money, they have hash power, they have everything need to pump the bitcoin cash price," he said.



Finally, to clarify, Willy Woo, recently named one of CoinDesk"s Top 5 Token Analysts of 2017, sees the price move as perhaps one to watch. In contrast to other alternative cryptocurrencies that he said may lack value propositions, he went so far as to color bitcoin cash as a more nuanced option.


"It"s backed by a lot of money from China controlling its price and supporting its network. If you buy bitcoin cash, you are betting that China wants it to dominate. That"s a strategic and geopolitical bet," he told CoinDesk.