Showing posts with label Och-Ziff. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Och-Ziff. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

"Was It Luck?" I Don't Know, Maybe": Is A 34-Year-Old Och-Ziff Trader Worth $280 Million?

Och-Ziff Capital Management put a five-year-long investigation by Department of Justice and Securities and Exchange Commission to rest last year when it agreed to pay a $412 million fine to settle allegations that its Africa unit violated the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act by paying more than $100 million in bribes to corrupt government officials. But even after slashing its management fee following a wave of customer redemptions, the publicly traded hedge fund is in rough shape. Its shares are languishing around $3, well below their peak of $26, and investors have pulled nearly a third of their assets from the fund, which had $32 billion AUM in May, down from more than $50 billion at its peak in 2015.


With the firm in dire need of rebranding, Dan Och, CEO and chairman of his eponymous firm, announced a major management shakeup back in February hoping it would help revive the firm"s battered image. While Och retained his titles, much of the firm’ day-to-day operations would be handled by Jimmy Levin, the former star of its credit business, who would take over as co-chief investment officer. Och personally contributed 30 million of his shares – about one-third – to Levin"s $280 million incentive package, a massive sum that Bloomberg noted is a rarity in Wall Street today.



Jimmy Levin


But in a profile of the newly minted hedge-fund heavyweight published Monday, Bloomberg questions whether Levin’s appointment was a calculated bet, or a reckless gamble by Och, who is struggling to win back investors’ trust after the federal government accused him personally of ignoring red flags that could’ve prevented the corruption scandal.





“Inside the firm, some seethed. Outside, they sneered; the move smelled a bit of desperation. Five months later, that remains the burning question: Is this a Hail-Mary stab by Och to win back his seat of dominance in the hedge-fund universe or a stroke of genius?



‘It’s a bet he’s making, just as he was making on any of his investments,’ said Adam Kahn, a managing partner at the executive-search firm Odyssey Search Partners. ‘Dan probably likes the risk-reward in the package he’s giving to Jimmy,’ who has become ‘for all intents and purposes the succession plan’ at Och-Ziff.”



Levin is facing a “sizable” challenge in trying to turn around Och-Ziff. However, there’s at least one item on Levin’s resume that would appear to justify the promotion: Levin previously helped run the firm’s credit business. And while that might not seem like a sensible path to leadership at a firm known for its equities expertise, Levin"s appointment comes as Och-Ziff is rapidly transforming into a fixed-income shop, according to Bloomberg.





“The challenge Levin faces is sizable: to reverse the merciless bleeding of assets - and defections of personnel -- triggered by Och-Ziff’s misconduct in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Libya and other African countries. If Levin makes it happen, it’ll be because he’s successful in his push to remake Och-Ziff, a firm long dominated by equity trades, into something of a fixed-income shop. The firm now has half of its $32 billion in assets tied to credit, including dedicated funds that have cropped up in just the past few years.



"We certainly weren’t known as a credit shop when I first met with clients," Levin said recently from an Och-Ziff conference room overlooking Central Park, recalling when he was a twenty-something on the road trying to convince investors to part with their money. “Those early meetings weren’t the easiest in the world.”



Levin made his first big play in the aftermath of the financial crisis, when he convinced his then-boss and now co-CIO David Windreich, to bet on battered mortgage-backed securities, and, later, Spanish regional debt, that paid off big for the firm. Under Levin, the firm’s main credit fund has notched average gains of 13 percent since its 2011 inception. In 2012, Levin’s credit trades accounted for $2 billion - more than half of the firm’s total gains that year, according to Bloomberg. Levin was named global head of credit in 2013.



Dan Och


Of course, Levin’s gains sound less extraordinary when one remembers that they coincided with an extraordinary bull run in credit that’s persisted since shortly after the crisis. As a trader during normal market conditions, to which the Fed is promising a swift return, Levin is largely untested, which begs the question, what portion of Levin’s achievements should be ascribed to luck?


Levin’s peers appear uncomfortable with the question, perhaps for fear it could reflect poorly on their own returns.





“Was it luck? I don’t know, maybe, I’m not sure it really matters,” said Mike Rosen, chief investment officer at Angeles Investment Advisors, who has put money into Och-Ziff’s credit-opportunities fund. “I do want to invest in lucky people - that’s better than investing with unlucky people.”



As for whether Levin deserves such an exorbitant pay package, his peers appear to have embraced the logic that, if Dan Och thinks he’s worth it, then he probably is.





“The $280 million pay package is, of course, a vote of confidence. “You pay people for what they’ve done, but you also pay people for what you think they’re going to do,” Rosen said. It’s also an important sign to investors that Dan Och is willing to do what it takes to keep Levin on board, according to Odyssey’s Kahn.



Of course, Och Ziff wasn’t just paying Levin for his talents; they were paying for his loyalty, too. Levin knew his hand when he bargained for the $280 million pay day amid a rash of employee defections, including the loss of three senior executives in March.


By taking payment in the company"s battered shares, Levin is making a gamble of his own. And thanks to his incentive pay, if he can help push the company’s share price closer to $7 over the next three years, he stands to receive a potentially massive bonus.





“The deal: Levin was granted 39 million shares tied to performance; he has to stay for three years and the stock has to return 125 percent, including dividends, for him to score the full payout. If the shares rise the minimum of 20 percent, he’ll make $50 million.”



Still it remains to be seen if there’s anything the firm can do to reclaim its reputation as an industry powerhouse following the scandal, which also saw Och pay a personal fine of $2.2 million. Furthermore, some of the firm’s investors have questioned whether Levin was the right pick, complaining about his lack of experience and depth.


Levin brushes off these criticisms, saying he prefers to focus on investing.





“It’s not worth spending time wallowing,” he said. “It’s definitely been a challenging time, but to move forward we’re just focused on what we can influence, and that’s our investing.”



Whether Levin is sufficiently qualified for a leadership role at one of the world’s largest hedge funds is something only time will tell. But at the very least, thanks to his massive stock grants, Levin’s financial interests are 110% aligned with the firm’s. Levin’s incentive-pay package looks attractive, but where will those shares be when they vest?


The company’s other shareholders are probably wondering the same thing.
 

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Executives Abandon Och-Ziff Following $13 Billion In Withdrawals And An 80% Share Price Decline

What is that saying about rats and sinking ships, we forget?  Irrespective, a trio of senior executives from Och-Ziff decided they"ve had enough fun after their fund lost $13 billion to withdrawals over the past 13 months and their stock tanked roughly 80%.


According to Bloomberg, among those departing are Drew Gillanders, a top European equity analyst; James Keith “JK” Brown, a partner and head of investor relations; and Paula Drake, chief compliance officer.





Gillanders, who’s based in London, helped manage Och-Ziff’s successful bet on drugmaker Actelion Ltd., which soared when Johnson & Johnson agreed to buy it in January, the people said. Och-Ziff had built a stake worth about 767 million Swiss francs ($761 million), according to a filing on Dec. 24. Gillanders, who used to work for billionaire Steven Cohen when his firm was called SAC Capital Advisors, didn’t respond to repeated calls and emails seeking comment.



Brown, a member of the partner management committee, joined in 2003 from Goldman Sachs Group Inc., according to Och-Ziff’s website. He is staying through June then leaving to pursue other interests, one of the people said. Two other partners, Lee Minton and Nathan Urquhart, are replacing him as co-heads of investor relations, the person said. Brown didn’t return an email and a phone call seeking comment.



Drake, who joined Och-Ziff in 2015, previously worked for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Drake is leaving to return to Boston, where she lives, one of the people said. The firm hired Robert Mendelson, a long-time partner at Morgan Lewis & Bockius LLP, to replace her. Mendelson didn’t return a message left on his voicemail at Och-Ziff.



Among other problems, Och-Ziff has recently suffered the devastating consequences of a multi-year criminal investigation that ultimately resulted in them pleading guilty to more than $100 million in bribes paid in shady deals across Africa and $415 million in fines and penalties.  Per Bloomberg:





Those actions are part of a multiyear bribery conspiracy across Africa that benefited Och’s firm, Och-Ziff Capital Management LP, U.S. authorities said Thursday. The prosecution included regulatory sanctions against Och and another executive, a guilty plea by an Och-Ziff unit and $415 million in fines and penalties. It also broke new ground: Och-Ziff became the first hedge fund to be criminally sanctioned by the U.S. in an emerging-economy bribery scheme.



In court filings in federal and administrative courts Thursday, the government outlined more than $100 million in bribes as well as the questionable takeover of a Congo mining company and “suspicious payments” in Zimbabwe. Though the Securities and Exchange Commission said Och didn’t know about the bribes, the firm acknowledged it failed to accurately reflect how assets were used and didn’t have adequate internal controls.



"Och-Ziff, one of the largest hedge funds, positioned itself to profit from the corruption that is sadly endemic in certain parts of Africa, including Libya, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Chad and Niger," U.S. Attorney Robert Capers in Brooklyn, New York, said in a statement. "Despite knowing that bribes were being paid to senior government officials, Och-Ziff repeatedly funded corrupt transactions."



Of course, the company has attempted to retain talent through massive equity grants, including the recent grant of $280mm worth of stock to a 34 year old trader, Jimmy Levin, but with losses like this it doesn"t take a massively overpaid hedge fund guru to figure out the present value of those equity grants once they vest (hint: $0 discounted 5 years equals $0 no matter the discount rate).


Och Ziff

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Och Ziff In Trouble: AUM Plunges After A Record $4.8 Billion In January Redemptions

One of the world"s largest, public hedge funds, Och Ziff, gave active managers around the globel more reasons for concern this morning, when it reported results today which showed distributable earnings of $7.5 million, or one cent a share, in the quarter compared to a loss of $36.1 million, or 7 cents, a year earlier. For the full year, the company reported a loss of $121.3 million from a profit of $251.9 million in 2015. Revenue tumbled from $342.8mm to $281.3mm. However, the flashing red headline is just how much AUM the recent underperformance and legal problems by Daniel Och"s investment vehicle have cost him.



As Bloomberg reports, Och Ziff suffered withdrawals of about $13 billion over the last 13 months as the company settled a five-year bribery probe and saw its founder Dan Och singled out by regulators for ignoring red flags and corruption risks.


Clients redeemed $8 billion in 2016 with an additional, and very concerning, $4.8 billion in the month of January. The outflows were concentrated in the multistrategy funds, the company said Wednesday in a statement. Some of the asset declines were offset with performance gains, including a 3.8% return for its biggest multistrategy fund last year. Assets under management for the firm decreased to $33.6 billion as of Feb. 1 from $43.7 billion a year earlier. The hedge fund had peaked at the end of 2014 with nearly $50 billion in AUM.



That said, last November, OZ did want that it expected fourth-quarter redemptions to be higher than usual because of the settlement "and the general exodus of institutional investors from hedge funds." Pensions for Rhode Island, New Jersey and Goldman Sachs are among those that trimmed or exited their investments in Och-Ziff last year. However, the unexpected, record surge in January redemptions prompted some market watchers to wonder if the accelerating withdrawals may not prove terminal for the once iconic hedge fund.


Adding insult to inury, Och Ziff also saw its bond rating cut to junk on the back of the withdrawals and a reduction in management fees for clients to an average of 1.01% from 1.23%.


All this has slammed the stock: the publicly-traded firm lost almost half its value in the stock market in each of the last two years. The shares closed at $3.63 on Feb. 14.


Keep a close eye on ongoing OZ redemptions: as Bloomberg concludes, the combination of lower assets and revenue led to an unexpectedly high leverage ratio for Och-Ziff, which "could see another ratings downgrade this year if outflows continue and its debt ratio edges higher, S&P Global Ratings said Jan. 5."