With today"s spike in Treasury yields, perhaps triggered by BoJ"s taper, Bond guru Bill Gross has called the end of the 25-year bond bull market...
In a tweet via Janus Henderson, Gross signals the bond bear has begun...
Gross: Bond bear market confirmed today. 25 year long-term trendlines broken in 5yr and 10yr maturity Treasuries.
— Janus Henderson U.S. (@JHIAdvisorsUS) January 9, 2018
Gross said last year that 10-year yields persistently above 2.4% would signal bear market.
He is correct that trendlines have broken but we have seen the occasional false-alarm breakout in the last 25 years...
10Y Treasury Yields...
5Y Treasury Yields...
Notably, the "other" bond guru -Jeffrey Gundlach - has been flagging for higher yields for a while as copper has broken out relative to gold...
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